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Thread: amoeba's Account Talk

  1. #2329

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Setup for December looking good, aaii bulls backed off from the 40s to low 30s, suggesting there's yet more $ poised to move in. I think that will be this week....currently all in and looking out for potential bumps in the road. With online retail sales expected to hit records, the path ahead seems smooth at the moment.

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  3. #2330

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
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    3,031

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    ETFs, Boghie. Anyhow....I am all in right now on TSP...not convinced of any substantial risks. This week is the traditional easiest free money seasonal play of year, except for last year, of course.
    Yeah, last year kinda went south around this time. Ugh...

    Today doesn't look great either. However, the market often overreacts to the Tweeter in Chief
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  5. #2331

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    Yeah, last year kinda went south around this time. Ugh...

    Today doesn't look great either. However, the market often overreacts to the Tweeter in Chief
    Stuck in equities today....obviously...I made the wrong call here....will watch nearer to IFT deadline to see if I will bail on this huge loss for me, but no deal at all or 12/15 excise tariffs as scheduled will crush equities much more..more important than knowing when to walk away, is to know when to run.


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  7. #2332

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Stuck in equities today....obviously...I made the wrong call here....will watch nearer to IFT deadline to see if I will bail on this huge loss for me, but no deal at all or 12/15 excise tariffs as scheduled will crush equities much more..more important than knowing when to walk away, is to know when to run.
    It smarts, but I bailed completely...after 7 weeks of posturing for a deal; there clearly isn't one yet....when this rise (which I missed most of) started, there were a few days of similar drops around early October close to 2,880 SPY, and I thought then it was the beginning of a true correction, but then the agreement for a phase I deal (not on paper) and up she goes....then I put money in...and down she goes....consolation is only in that if I don't make any more dumb moves this year, I will beat my return of last year of 0.02% by over a hundred times. And I will have beaten the G fund. Oh boy. I should celebrate with a bottle of water.

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  9. #2333

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,031

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    China needs the deal more than we do...

    At this very second Nike is looking to have their shoes glued together in Mozambique (or somewhere). China will kowtow soon enough. Or not, resulting in our great capitalist system migrating production somewhere else. The state does not run everything here. The private sector is not in some State run Bureaucratic 5-year plan. They can move. And, they can move quickly.

    So, for a few more months your Nikes will cost 0.12 more per shoe or something. Don't worry about it.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  11. #2334

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    It ain't quite like that....China has a combination of worker and infrastructure base like no other. Yes, they need us, but we, and the rest of the world, need them too.

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