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Thread: amoeba's Account Talk

  1. #2197

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Changed my mind...50C, 50S COB....but only in the very short term....the 1st 1% either way gets the rip cord this month...I just wanna end this month positive, which I'm not yet. Missed the last 4 days....just didn't see that bounce coming, and sure as heck not today. I still think sentiment is extremely bullish ( which is a bearish indicator), but large caps have yet another golden cross (200>50 EMA), for a week now. Hence all in, but ready to jump out.

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  3. #2198

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Screaming sell....I've been averaging out since my buy a week ago....getting rid of the last 10% today. No way the FED will be able to hold off rate increases with these job numbers. It will be either inflation, or interest rates, or both if they wait. The flip flopping yesterday is an indication that others think the same and the positive move today is a non holiday gift horse. The AAII came in with it's largest neuts in weeks, and bears in the 20s again (which is a contrarian bearish signal but weaker with the high neuts). I wll have beat the G fund after being down, could have done much better, could have done worse. But them's the breaks.

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  5. #2199

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Literally done nuthin' this year. +11%

    No moves, no worries, nuthin'

    Don't care about the FED. The concern is the national debt. That is not a good thing. Kinda like the Great Depression, but it is the gubmint that is broke and gettin' broker...
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  7. #2200

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Illinois :(
    Posts
    459

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    You're not turning back into your old bear self are you? Ol Birchtree would be pouncing on you. I don't fight the tape anymore, lost too much money thinking "it has to pull back" over the years.

    I still see people posting about this being a bear market rally.....geez.🙄

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  9. #2201

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
    Posts
    3,022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I read some traders expect the FED to hold on hiking rates in 2019 but will modify QE in May from 30B down to to 15B to 0 in September. That sounds like a shock to the system. Thought that was an interesting discussion. The market is BULL right now and the folks I'm watch are engaging in irrational exuberance. My thinking it that resistance is at roughly 2880. The market will get there, likely with some ups and downs along the way. Then we'll see...
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  11. #2202

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    What a terrible ADP report, if the BOL report confirms, look out below.

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  13. #2203

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I panicked on March 23rd and did nothing.

    Now, my account is +13%. Oh, the humanity! I can't handle this...


    On a more serious note, I will probably back out to more G/F later this month. Go away in May you know. Gotta beat all the other slugs Goin' Away in May.
    But, I might panic again and do nothing. Oh those gains. Any more of them and I'll have to retire early.
    Some CongressCritters want the raw Mueller Report for the goodies in it.
    Maybe the Chinese real estate market will be flat.
    Maybe UK will finally Brexit.
    Look out below!
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  15. #2204

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Should I get out
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  17. #2205

    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Idabel, OK
    Posts
    299

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Run, Boghie, Run! Run like the wind!

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    Should I get out


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  19. #2206

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,022

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    I ran around in a circle.
    Didn't go anywhere.
    Didn't do nuthin.

    Still holding.
    Just under a 15% gain YtoD.
    Must be my amazing no trading system.
    Get bullish - do nuthin'. Get Amoebish - do nuthin'

    Honestly though, it might be time to take the winnins' back home. Summer is usually kinda bad and/or kinda swingy. It swings around and does nuthin' - like my trading system. But, why should I accept the risk for a likely gain of nuthin'. So, maybe take the 2030 Captain of the Yacht salary money off the table. I consider that Captain a retirement necessity now!!!
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  21. #2207

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    Thumping continues....very well telegraphed in the news...so I'm not hurting too bad...gotta be careful, though....one big down day does not necessarily make a bottom, although sometimes the 50EMA serves as an attractor of deadcats once initially breached. We'll see.

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  23. #2208

    Default Re: amoeba's Account Talk

    So how much were you in equities today? Were you still 50C 50S?

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