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Thread: amoeba's Account Talk

  1. #1597

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,419

    Default Re: give to the rich now, take from the old later (late february)

    Amoeba,

    Isn't your last IFT of the month (spent on the 8th) worth more than a 10% adjustment? Yowser. And, while concerned about the Fed pumping money - which is getting pumped into the 'F fund' - you sustain assets in the riskiest of the equity funds we have. This move will have minimal affect on the risk of your account - in fact, I would bet your original 25/40/10/10/15 was less risky than your current 0/75/0/10/15 allocation. Now all you have is dumpy little '<1%' moves toward investments.

    But, you can always bail completely out to cash - or whatever it is in the 'G Fund'.

    My guess is that the 'F Fund' is in a gross bubble that will pop once the Fed stops buying as much of our Federal Junk Bonds. Have you noted that the return on the 'G Fund' went up? Does that mean that the Fed is lightening up on the pedal.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  3. Default Re: give to the rich now, take from the old later (late february)

    I am 100% in G. When will be a good time to move some of it out? Would I fund be a good option?

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  5. #1599

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,198

    Default Re: give to the rich now, take from the old later (late february)

    Quote Originally Posted by Check View Post
    I am 100% in G. When will be a good time to move some of it out? Would I fund be a good option?
    The ultimate choice is yours and yours only. Don't let anybody tell you what to do with your money. We can suggest and ask why someone moved from one fund to another. Read, read, read and learn, learn learn. Track some of the leaders and get a feel for how and why they do what they do. The "I" fund has been doing well since summer of 2012, but the "S" fund has been doing better than both the "C" and "I" funds. Good luck.
    May the force be with us.

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  7. #1600

    Default Re: give to the rich now, take from the old later (late february)

    Or perhaps you might want to try the premium services temporarily just to see how that would work for you. I did that in the past but got out for no particular reason; as Nasa1974 indicates, read and learn, track the leaders, read their posts, read Tom's daily comments, the various blogs, check the autotracker frequently and as mentioned by NASA1974, the choice is ultimately yours. Good luck.

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  9. #1601

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: give to the rich now, take from the old later (late february)

    Quote Originally Posted by Check View Post
    I am 100% in G. When will be a good time to move some of it out? Would I fund be a good option?
    LMBF method is a good one to follow, or do like me the past couple years was the "Follow ContrarianJeff until i feel confident enough about trying this on my own" method lol

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  11. #1602

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,462
    Blog Entries
    298

    Default Re: S is 250% above its five year lows, and some still call it a buy.

    Amoeba

    I see you made a move recently, reducing your risk in the small/mid caps. I'm curious as to your age, sometimes age helps me understand someone's risk tolerance. I'm 39ish, the all in, go big or go home type, so I can afford to cut my teeth and make some mistakes (so long as I learn from them.)
    Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats


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  13. #1603

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Location
    Illinois :(
    Posts
    467

    Default Re: S is 250% above its five year lows, and some still call it a buy.

    Well, I see NtvTxan and Wizard of Oz went in 100% and Meebs went out 100% today. Hmmm, that means one thing.... this things got some legs yet!

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  15. #1604

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: S is 250% above its five year lows, and some still call it a buy.

    It would appear we had a clucking today and now amoeba is frozen out of the market for the remainder of January - gosh that's 15 trading days of potential rewards. But hey, perhaps he's correct. It's his money and not mine.

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  17. #1605

    Default Who won on the fiscal cliff deal (early retirees with alot of cap gains).

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    It would appear we had a clucking today and now amoeba is frozen out of the market for the remainder of January - gosh that's 15 trading days of potential rewards. But hey, perhaps he's correct. It's his money and not mine.
    I believe BT (not me) was first to say he was going to lighten position @ ^VIX<16 and it's <14. I came close to my (lowered) return target for this first month; we'll see what happens from now on. I suspect there will be much more on the fiscal cliff next round - wouldn't be surprised if the cap gains tax was revisited. I suspect sideways action....not much upside, and growing risk.

    20%? (starting >$400K!). Take that and the estate tax, and there will be alot of early retirees who won't ever pay 20%.

    I think yObama booboo'd on his revenue math on that one; good luck getting any more after the dem's voted for it; and good luck on even more spending cuts to make up the difference.

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  19. #1606

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Who won on the fiscal cliff deal (early retirees with alot of cap gains).

    Yup, I'm sure glad I don't have an adjusted gross income greater than $450K - got lots of capital gains though that do not have to be harvested until ripe. I'm going to try and hold out on any selling until the VIX gets below the 10 level - this is primarily due to the early momentum that the market has delivered plus the Fed spending a QE4 of $85 billion a month until who knows when. Just staying with the current as we flow toward more new all time highs. Making money this year is going to be easy but it requires no fear.

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  21. #1607

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
    Posts
    24,244

    Default Re: Who won on the fiscal cliff deal (early retirees with alot of cap gains).


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  23. #1608

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,419

    Red face Re: Who won on the fiscal cliff deal (early retirees with alot of cap gains).

    But Birch, JTH, MJR, NASA, JamesE,

    If you put everything you had into the NASDAQ 100 in January of 2000 you still haven't made it all back. Your still broke. You have lost like 50% or 100% of everything. A complete loss. But if you still had anything and if you put 100% of it into the 'C Fund' in September of 2007 and pulled 100% of it out in February 2009 you are broke again. Broke, broker, and brokerer

    There is NO chance any of you buy and holders and traders and technicians and investor made any money. Look at the charts. I'll give you some funny date ranges that prove you can never make any money in the rigged stock market. And, who can figure out all that stuff about DCA and everything. The smart money has been out of the market since March of 2000!!!

    Dead broke I say. Dead Broke
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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