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Thread: XL-entLady's Account Talk

  1. #529

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    On this, my first post of 2009, I noticed that in the 8 months since I've joined this MB you all have visited this thread over 20,000 times. {Signs "from my heart"} Thank you all for helping to make me so comfortable in my MB home!

    Changing subjects, one of my paid subscriber services just issued a sell signal for bonds. I have 12% of my real world account invested in F Fund, which has been doing very well the last 3 months as equities have tanked. However we are seeing strength coming back into stocks now. But mostly on low volume. So has the trend fight between buyers and sellers really changed direction?

    It feels to me like we've been in a Stage 1 accumulation pattern in most of the equity index funds. Have we really broken into the Stage 2 pattern now? If so, it will be time to lighten my F Fund and pick up more CSI.

    December 31's price action did change my informal SMA chart a bit. Not surprising with the kind of one day move we saw yesterday.


    ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,G Fund,,,F Fund,,,,,C Fund,,.,S Fund,,,,,I Fund
    10 day SMA: ,,,+0.0%,,,,+0.1%,,,,,+2.0%,,,,,+2.8%,,,,+2.2%
    20 day SMA: ,,,+0.1%,,,,+0.5%,,,,+2.2%,,,,+3.6%,,,,+3.1%
    50 day SMA: ,,,+0.3%,,,,+3.1%,,,,+3.0%,,,,,+5.5%,,,+6.3%
    100 day SMA: ,+0.6%,,,+3.5%,,,,-10.1%,,,,,-11.8%,,,,,-8.2%
    200 day SMA: ,+1.3%,,,+3.8%,,,,-22.3%,,,,,-25.1%,,,,-25.4%

    The above numbers are the differences between the current share price and its simple moving
    averages (SMAs) for each fund, based on Thrift Fund share prices and simplified by being
    recorded only once a week. Because I'm trying to look at trends I've highlighted any changes
    < or > 0.5%. Follow the column down in order to see how a TSP Fund is trending long-term.



    I'll be spending this first day of the new year studying charts to see if an IFT is prudent tomorrow. Decisions, decisions. Hm-m-m-m.....

    Happy 2009!

    Lady

  2.  
  3. #530

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Happy 2009 as well and thanks for the heads up. I've not found that much information on the F fund yet that I fully understand. Still trying to seperate the wheat from the chaff.

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  5. Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Lady, a Happy New Year to you and thankyou for your contribution to the MB. I value your trend analysis. Thanks again.--Ron


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  7. #532

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Peoples Republic of Ohio
    Posts
    2,373

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Happy New Year to you Lady,

    Thanks for the heads up on the F fund, but I wondered how it could keep climbing. I've always valued your opinion so keep'em coming.

    Rus
    “Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution.” - Huxley’s Brave New World

  8.  
  9. #533

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by XL-entLady View Post
    On this, my first post of 2009, I noticed that in the 8 months since I've joined this MB you all have visited this thread over 20,000 times. {Signs "from my heart"} Thank you all for helping to make me so comfortable in my MB home!

    Happy 2009!

    Lady
    Lady,
    You are like the sun; all of us know we can depend on your warmth and it's never failing - it is there for everyone one of us. Others share this quality and that more than anything else makes this site such a wonderful place. Thank you!!

    Steady

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  11. #534

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    So one of my paid services says to sell bonds and another one says to buy S&P shorts. They can't both be right .... can they?

    My tracker account shows me currently at 75% G, 6% F, 4%C , 8% S and 7% I Fund. My actual account is close to that but has 69% G and 12% F because I used Squale's moves to get more F Fund in December.

    Bottom line for me today is that after looking at charts in various timeframes all day yesterday, I'm not willing to burn one of my IFTs to move anywhere until I'm more sure where I should move. So I'm standing pat for today.

    Lady

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  13. #535

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Good Reasoning! Best of Luck!

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  15. #536

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    I didn't think we'd close above 920 today. Well, butter my butt and call me a biscuit! I'm so glad to be that wrong!

    Lady

  16.  
  17. #537

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Location
    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
    Posts
    76,601

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    You're a BISCUIT!!!!big_grin.gif



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  19. #538

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    LOL! Thanks, Norm!

    Lady

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  21. #539

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    CONGRATS TO UTAH SUGAR BOWL CHAMPS . Enjoy reading your MB Lady, keep er coming.
    <*(((><

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  23. #540

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Thanks, gonefishin'. That Sugar Bowl win was a pleasant surprise. I wish my Jazz had done as well in their game last night. Losing to that particular opponent made it sting harder too. My two favorite teams are the Jazz and whoever is playing the Lakers!

    Lady


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