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Thread: XL-entLady's Account Talk

  1. #121

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    Question Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    May I have a moment of your time please? I would greatly appreciate your advice on something.

    I'm trying to plug the black holes in my knowledge of financial market analysis. For me that means to read and study up on the subject.
    (Whoopee, I get to buy more books! )

    But I don't know which authors subscribe to the techniques I want to learn more about. I need to get a more firm grasp on technical analysis, but I already know about asset allocation and I don't want someone who preaches 'buy and hold' at me.

    I'll throw some ideas out there and you tell me what you think ... What about "How to Make Money in Stocks" by O'Neil, "Stan Weinstein's Secrets for Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets", and "A Beginner's Guide to Day Trading" by Turner. Good list, bad list???

    Who is your favorite financial author? Will you take a moment to share? Please?

    Lady
    Last edited by XL-entLady; 08-21-2008 at 02:06 PM.

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  3. #122

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    I wish I could give you advice on authors. All I've been reading is found through Google.

    I may have some books on my external hard drive, but I can't access them until next week.

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  5. #123

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    In addition to the O'Neill title, Sarah of the OMB, aka Birchtree's Goddess, recommended "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets" by John J Murphy; "Beat the Market" (1967) and "Beat the Dealer," both by E.O. Thorpe and S.T. Kassouf. Have not even looked at them but wanted to throw the titles in here. YMMV of course.

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  7. #124

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    For anyone who still has IFTs and is interested, here are this week's updates on the simple moving averages. Maybe that's why so many of us are in G Fund, huh.

    My thanks to those who gave me comments in this thread and by PM in response to my questions!

    ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,G Fund,,,,F Fund,,,C Fund,,,S Fund,,,I Fund
    10 day SMA: ,,+0.0%,,,,+0.1%,,,,-0.8%,,,,-1.2%,,,,-0.6%
    20 day SMA: ,,+0.1%,,,,+0.3%,,,,-0.5%,,,,-0.6%,,,,-2.9%
    50 day SMA: ,,+0.4%,,,,+0.7%,,,+0.1%,,,+0.1%,,,-5.8%
    100 day SMA: ,+0.7%,,+0.4%,,,,-3.8%,,,,-2.5%,,,-11.1%
    150 day SMA: ,+1.1%,,+0.3%,,,,-3.7%,,,,-1.5%,,,-10.8%
    200 day SMA: ,+1.5%,,+0.6%,,,-5.2%,,,-2.4%,,,,-12.5%

    The above numbers are the simple moving averages (SMAs) for each fund, based
    on my own records and simplified by being recorded only once a week. Because I'm
    trying to look at trends I've highlighted any changes < or > 0.5%. Follow the column
    down in order to see how a TSP Fund is trending long-term.

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  9. #125

    Question Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by XL-entLady View Post

    ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,G Fund,,,,
    10 day SMA: ,,+0.0%,,,,
    20 day SMA: ,,+0.1%,,,,
    50 day SMA: ,,+0.4%,,,,
    100 day SMA: ,+0.7%,,
    150 day SMA: ,+1.1%,,
    200 day SMA: ,+1.5%,,

    The above numbers are the simple moving averages (SMAs) for each fund, based
    on my own records and simplified by being recorded only once a week. Because I'm
    trying to look at trends I've highlighted any changes < or > 0.5%. Follow the column
    down in order to see how a TSP Fund is trending long-term.
    Lady, in order for you to track the (G) SMA, do you utilize a specific
    symbol or do you do that manually. I'd love to see a chart that would
    put the (G) into perspective for me. I just didn't know if any existed.

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  11. #126

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    I'd be careful about books on buying stocks. In my experience, most of them deal with how to make money buying individual stocks. When it comes to investing in index funds, I've found these books to be totally worthless. Also watch out for Day-Trading books. These books expect you to be able to trade on a minute by minute basis, certainly a far cry from the limitations we have in the TSP.

    I'd recommend books on reading charts, technical analysis, that kind of thing before I'd get any more of these "Wall Street Money Machine" kinds of books.
    To get to the light at the end of the tunnel, you have to be willing to face the train.


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  13. #127

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    Lady, in order for you to track the (G) SMA, do you utilize a specific symbol or do you do that manually. I'd love to see a chart that would put the (G) into perspective for me. I just didn't know if any existed.
    I wish I knew of a specific symbol that tracks the G Fund, SB, but no. I track it and all the other funds manually by plugging a weekly TSP share price from the TSP website in to a multi-sheet XL workbook I've developed over the years to look at various things in my and my spouse's TSP accounts. By tracking manually, I don't have to worry about adjusting for differences between actual fund price and TSP fund price.

    As an aside, a few years ago I tried to develop some IF/THEN formulas to determine what my allocations should be based on the SMAs, but when I tracked the results it wasn't much help.

    Lady

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  15. #128

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Dr Faustus View Post
    I'd be careful about books on buying stocks. In my experience, most of them deal with how to make money buying individual stocks. When it comes to investing in index funds, I've found these books to be totally worthless. Also watch out for Day-Trading books. These books expect you to be able to trade on a minute by minute basis, certainly a far cry from the limitations we have in the TSP.

    I'd recommend books on reading charts, technical analysis, that kind of thing before I'd get any more of these "Wall Street Money Machine" kinds of books.
    Thanks for your good advice, Dr. Faustus! It certainly makes sense, given that our 2 IFTs and 6 to 80 hour lag times make our trading a different breed of cat.

    A couple of folks have PM'ed me with the title of a college textbook on technical analysis. I've ordered it and am hoping that I can eventually make sense of what it's telling me. I've taken college classes several different times in my life to acquire new skills or brush up on old ones, but the last time was several years ago!

    Thanks again,
    Lady

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  17. #129

    Red face Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by XL-entLady View Post
    As an aside, a few years ago I tried to develop some IF/THEN formulas to determine what my allocations should be based on the SMAs, but when I tracked the results it wasn't much help. Lady
    Thanks for letting me know about the (G). Its funny you mentioned
    the IF/THEN formula within a spreadsheet. I need to learn that myself
    as I developed a Retirement Speadsheet which includes 3 high, TSP
    Balances, Income, expenses, budgets, and a whole gambit of formulas
    which needs fine tuning (OCD). I use MS Works spreadsheet as I find
    it easier to use then MS Excel. If you know of any sites that could
    help out a trainee, it would help a great deal. Again, thanks for the info.

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  19. #130

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    Its funny you mentioned the IF/THEN formula within a spreadsheet. I need to learn that myself .... I use MS Works spreadsheet as I find it easier to use then MS Excel. If you know of any sites that could help out a trainee, it would help.
    I've never used Works because I learned XL years ago when it became the standard at work for the accounting spreadsheets. (Before that it was QuattroPro - do any of you remember that one? I loved it!)

    Anyway, I don't know what similarities or differences there might be between Works and XL, but when I was learning the formula, I tried to look at it like a spoken sentence. For example:

    =(IF(C4>0,+C4/H4,0))

    "If the value of C4 is greater than zero then insert the value of the C4 cell divided by the value of the H4 cell; but if not then insert 0."

    As you probably already know, you can copy that formula wherever you want in the spreadsheet, but if you want any part of it to be fixed (always referring to the exact same cell) rather than relative, you need to insert a $ ($H$4 instead of H4, for example).

    Good luck, brother SB, and please let me know if you get stuck and I'd be happy to see if I can help. Spreadsheets are my life!

    Lady

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  21. #131

    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    QuattroPro and Lotus123 run circles around MS XL and Works....MS products are NOT user-friendly. Excellent marketing, not user preference, has made them the "standard." Vista is the lastest example of the MS Monster gone wild.

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  23. #132

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    Default Re: XL-entLady's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by luv2read View Post
    QuattroPro and Lotus123 run circles around MS XL and Works....MS products are NOT user-friendly. Excellent marketing, not user preference, has made them the "standard." Vista is the lastest example of the MS Monster gone wild.
    You are so, so right on! The computer I use runs on a Vista platform and I cannot express the depth of my loathing for it! It's Jabba the Hut: bloated, ugly, contrary and mean, but with inadequate security measures!!

    Lady

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