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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #865

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by 1965Vintage View Post
    Another vote for DCB. The DWCPF is not recovering as well as the SPY. That tells me there is no conviction.
    Also that open gap will be filled at some point.

    Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    Glad I went small on my increase. Had the feeling it was only a DCB. See how today goes. Agree on the lack of conviction.

  2.  
  3. #866

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Well! Much stronger market action than what I was expecting.

    Kind of nice to see.

    I'm still full in, so I am just going to sit back for a while and watch.

    Have a great day, Ya'll!

  4.  
  5. #867

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    So- I got another theory to throw out here and see if it flies. Here goes.

    TODAY is my payday. My bank account gets it's deposit today, just like every other TUESDAY. It's my Agency's payday.

    And it's the day that MY TSP DEPOSIT hits the stock market .


    Now- stay with me..... I'm just ONE LITTLE FISH out of a big sea....BUT- there are a lot of others at my Agency who are the same as me.


    And that means a TON of money flows INTO the stock market, every other Tuesday. (Today).

    Causing the market to nudge up a little bit, because a million people are pouring cash into the market.

    Now I'm a FG-13 (GS-13), giving like 14% of my pay into the stock funds. My theory is a lot of others are doing the same.

    And I am watching, every other tuesday, and it seems, more often than not, that the market ticks up a little on the days that employees are having their money turned into stock shares.


    So---- am I right? Do you think that WE have an affect , enough to be seen in a price blip?

    (I guess you all are now going to tell me you get paid on a different day, and it doesn't matter).

    What say you?

  6.  
  7. #868

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
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    Valatie, NY
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    .....

    (I guess you all are now going to tell me you get paid on a different day, and it doesn't matter).

    What say you?
    Hmm I work for the VA and my payday is Friday, really Thursday at midnight. I'm suprized you get paid on a Tuesday and wonder what other federal agencies do? We get paid via DFAS who also processes all the military's pay, and they get paid at the same time we do every other week.
    Since the VA is the largest federal agency and the military gets paid when we do I think that would maybe make a bigger difference?
    Who do you work for?
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

  8.  
  9. #869

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    So- I got another theory to throw out here and see if it flies. Here goes.

    TODAY is my payday. My bank account gets it's deposit today, just like every other TUESDAY. It's my Agency's payday.

    And it's the day that MY TSP DEPOSIT hits the stock market .


    Now- stay with me..... I'm just ONE LITTLE FISH out of a big sea....BUT- there are a lot of others at my Agency who are the same as me.


    And that means a TON of money flows INTO the stock market, every other Tuesday. (Today).

    Causing the market to nudge up a little bit, because a million people are pouring cash into the market.

    Now I'm a FG-13 (GS-13), giving like 14% of my pay into the stock funds. My theory is a lot of others are doing the same.

    And I am watching, every other tuesday, and it seems, more often than not, that the market ticks up a little on the days that employees are having their money turned into stock shares.


    So---- am I right? Do you think that WE have an affect , enough to be seen in a price blip?

    (I guess you all are now going to tell me you get paid on a different day, and it doesn't matter).

    What say you?
    That is a really good observation!
    I get paid on Thursday. But I am just a WY-09 (worker bee)
    But you make a good point!
    I will be watching this from now on!
    James48843 Account TalkJames48843 Account Talk

    Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app

  10.  
  11. #870

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    3,729

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    So- I got another theory to throw out here and see if it flies. Here goes.

    TODAY is my payday. My bank account gets it's deposit today, just like every other TUESDAY. It's my Agency's payday.

    And it's the day that MY TSP DEPOSIT hits the stock market .


    Now- stay with me..... I'm just ONE LITTLE FISH out of a big sea....BUT- there are a lot of others at my Agency who are the same as me.


    And that means a TON of money flows INTO the stock market, every other Tuesday. (Today).

    Causing the market to nudge up a little bit, because a million people are pouring cash into the market.

    Now I'm a FG-13 (GS-13), giving like 14% of my pay into the stock funds. My theory is a lot of others are doing the same.

    And I am watching, every other tuesday, and it seems, more often than not, that the market ticks up a little on the days that employees are having their money turned into stock shares.


    So---- am I right? Do you think that WE have an affect , enough to be seen in a price blip?

    (I guess you all are now going to tell me you get paid on a different day, and it doesn't matter).

    What say you?
    I have a similar situation to tom4jean, paid Thursday overnight for Friday. That was this past Friday; tom4jean, same for you? There was a pop Friday morning. I'm curious now as to the spread across weeks and if the 'every other week' deposits correlate.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  12.  
  13. #871

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I'm paid early with direct deposit on the Saturday a week before my TSP is paid on our official Thursday payday. That Thursday payday is in the 2nd week of the biweekly for us.

    Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

  14.  
  15. #872

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    I have a similar situation to tom4jean, paid Thursday overnight for Friday. That was this past Friday; tom4jean, same for you? There was a pop Friday morning. I'm curious now as to the spread across weeks and if the 'every other week' deposits correlate.
    Yep got paid 5/17

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  17. #873

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I get paid the first of every month and nothing goes into my TSP. You guys are messing the system up.
    May the force be with us.


  18.  
  19. #874

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I get paid the first of every month and nothing goes into my TSP. You guys are messing the system up.
    Yeh, but you are only taking money OUT of the TSP, while we are all putting it IN.

    Maybe YOU are why it goes DOWN every once in a while... :-)


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  21. #875

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Yeh, but you are only taking money OUT of the TSP, while we are all putting it IN.

    Maybe YOU are why it goes DOWN every once in a while... :-)


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Hey lay off the retired folks. We can't help it if we were paroled for good behavior...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

  22.  
  23. #876

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Yeh, but you are only taking money OUT of the TSP, while we are all putting it IN.

    Maybe YOU are why it goes DOWN every once in a while... :-)


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    LOL, Hate to throw a wrench in your analogy James, but I haven't tapped my TSP yet. It sounded good though.
    May the force be with us.

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