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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #781

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Just a side note-

    Before today's market, the C Fund (S&P 500 ) was showing a MONTHLY LOSS Of -5.72%

    Right now I just looked, and the S&P 500 is down an additional -2.63% today.


    If that holds- that would make the number- for the month, now at -(8.35)%. for the month.

    And that would be the 4th biggest single-month decline in the 40 years I have been investing.

    Only the crash of 1987, the downturn of October/November 2008, and one other period in 2010 had larger single-month declines.

    Which either means we're due for a bounce back before the end of the month, or else the markets are REALLY not happy.
    Ah yep....
    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/wors...epression.html

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

  2.  
  3. #782

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tom4jean View Post

    Oops! apparently that article was wrong...


    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/st...980-2018-12-17
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

  4.  
  5. #783

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    If the market keeps this up we will be drinking coffee sold in a white can that says "Coffee" and most likely we will use the grounds twice.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.


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  7. #784

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkFE View Post
    If the market keeps this up we will be drinking coffee sold in a white can that says "Coffee" and most likely we will use the grounds twice.
    Looks like I got into beer brewing at a good time. $10 for a case of IPA, though a lot of work involved

  8.  
  9. #785

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    You doing it wrong if you have a hobby and it feels like work.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  11. #786

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkFE View Post
    You doing it wrong if you have a hobby and it feels like work.
    It's relaxing, just time consuming. Taking a break now just because I don't have time with the holidays and all

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  13. #787

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I'm gonna try and ONE DAY MOVE to try and capture a bounce back tomorrow. I'm seeing a better than 50-50% chance of a rebound for at least one day.

    I haven't used any moves yet this month- so here is the first. When the "S" Fund is down -11.0 plus% in a single month, it tells me we HAVE to take a rebound somewhere. I am gambling that we are there right now, and that tomorrow will be a one-day relief, maybe bouncing up a percent or two.

    Note: I will be on an airplane tomorrow. I am moving 100% to "C" right now, and will then enter a move BACK into "G" AFTER the noon deadline, so that I will get ONE DAY in stocks. I will either win, or lose, but I am feeling its a higher probability for the win tomorrow.

    Wish me luck. This one is totally gambling- not investing.

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  15. #788

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Good luck.
    You got some extra to spare if it goes wrong.
    BTW, I don't disagree with you, I'm feeling there will be a pop tomorrow as well.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  17. #789

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    I'm gonna try and ONE DAY MOVE to try and capture a bounce back tomorrow. I'm seeing a better than 50-50% chance of a rebound for at least one day.

    I haven't used any moves yet this month- so here is the first. When the "S" Fund is down -11.0 plus% in a single month, it tells me we HAVE to take a rebound somewhere. I am gambling that we are there right now, and that tomorrow will be a one-day relief, maybe bouncing up a percent or two.

    Note: I will be on an airplane tomorrow. I am moving 100% to "C" right now, and will then enter a move BACK into "G" AFTER the noon deadline, so that I will get ONE DAY in stocks. I will either win, or lose, but I am feeling its a higher probability for the win tomorrow.

    Wish me luck. This one is totally gambling- not investing.
    Good luck! I considered doing the same thing today myself. But I'm too Chicken! James48843 Account Talk

    Sent from my XT1585 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app

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  19. #790

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I am SO SCREWED.


    So - Paul Ryan said Trump isn't going to sign the Senate version of the CR. So- while it looked this morning like we were going to get a budget CR extension this afternoon (and therefore likely a bump up with a breath tommorrow), now, once again, all bets are off.

    So I am going to be buying at the close today- and NO IDEA what tomorrow will bring.


    Isn't this fun?


    (Crosses fingers.....)


    Note: The S&P 500 just broke into a P&F Chart "Bearish Resistance Line."

    Changes my expectation to continued bearish for a while.


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  21. #791

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk




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  23. #792

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    AND.....at the close, we're sitting on a big down day- like 2% down. Will wait to see the final number, but it 's a big down day.

    Got my fingers crossed for tomorrow.

    AND I have placed my SECOND MOVE- to be effective at the close of the day tomorrow. Going to jump back to 90% "G" fund, 5% "F Fund, and 5% L-Income as of the close of business on Friday.



    (So that makes it "C: for Tomorrow, then back to safety for tomorrow night, looking for a MAGIC DAY IN THE MARKET TOMORROW.)



    Flying first thing tomorrow morning to CALIFORNIA for a week long sail on a 45-foot sailboat. Christmas on the boat in Long Beach/Catalina Island.

    See you all after Christmas ! HoHoHo!


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