I'm guessing the 10% pull back that has been talked about will not materialize given interest rate cuts looming.
27 Oct 2023 was the last pullback in the range your looking at. The average 3-Day -3% pullback is 7.6 a year over the past 5 years which closed positive. But 2017 Closed up 19.42% and had no such 3-Day -3% events.
Those 5 positive years created 38, 3-Day, -3% events, with an average of -5.46%
In comparison, the last 5 negative years had 130, 3-Day, -3% events with an average of -4.96%
My long-winded point, we are going to have less -3% pullbacks during these bull runs, which totally sucks because I'm a bargain hunter and I'm beginning to starve...
Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
I'm guessing the 10% pull back that has been talked about will not materialize given interest rate cuts looming.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Still no pull back. Strange.
Here is history of the start of the year, vs. the rest of the year.
S&P 500 is up almost 10% so far this year, one of the best starts to a year going back all the way to 1928.
Where will it go next?
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ok- It's been a darn good run. But that 3.5% inflation bugaboo this morning tells me time to take a break.
Inflation comes in hotter than expected in March
I'm moving to 100% "L-Income" today. Done good for the spring- now taking a break.
Good luck. !
Last edited by James48843; 04-10-2024 at 08:13 AM.
I'm lucky my adult children are still young enough to let me step up on my soap box. Inflation is the worst tax there is, it's inescapable for everyone and erodes everything it touches. That's 3 months of higher inflation, we now have a trend...
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Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
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