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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #1045

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Sitting now at :

    C fund 10%
    S fund 80%
    I. Fund 10%

    And Iím looking at the ď$EMWĒ as the S fund tracking charts.

    Itís not been since THE CRASH of Ď87 that weíve had a single month with this much movement upwards - and back then, we didnít have an S fund, we only had the C fund.

    So Iím re-adjusting my self-identified stop-loss markers here. Iím ok with going lower about another 2% without pulling the trigger, but I am marking this territory as some pretty lofty ground, considering the overall economy, the Dec 11 government shutdown possibility, the Lack of another Covid stimulus package, and the refusal of 45 to concede and make plans to leave. Too much uncertainty in the next few weeks- so Iím going to be careful and be on heightened alert in case I need to bail.

    Have a great day!


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  3. #1046

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    This market upswing is definitely overstretched.

    I'm taking a break. Up over 3% this month and we're only a few days into it. The P&F chart is screaming at me that it is rime for a rest.

    so I'm moving today- to :

    60% = G
    35% = F
    5% = S

    and hanging on looking for a pause to jump back in.

  4.  
  5. #1047

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Iím just floored that- as much as the market has risen over especially the last month, that even with that- we canít seem to get a capitulation longer than a day.

    How much cash did they inject into the money supply? Are they telling us the truth? Or maybe the North Koreans slipped another freighter full of $100 counterfeit currency in, and people are buying stocks everywhere. Who knows?

    Gnashing my teeth over here thinking itís GOTTA break down a good 5% any time now.


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  7. #1048

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    Default James48843 Account Talk

    Iím sniffing something in the air here. Could it be that weíve finally reached the stretched end of the upswing thatís been moving since November 3rd?

    Todayís peak and decent are unlike the last couple of mini-retrenchment. And itís the last day before a government shutdown ( and no deal yet as of 3 pm).

    And the last day before the end of this Congress, with a Covid reined deal on the table with a poison pill in the middle of it.

    I fear a big down could of days next week if they donít do a deal in the next couple of hours.

    I am in stocks, but I should have bailed out today. Now I have to hold on until see what Monday brings.


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  9. #1049

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I think that little spike at the end of the day was people getting in anticpating a deal over the weekend. If Mitch says it will happen, I think it will.

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  11. Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Thank you for the "welcome back," it's good to see you and the rest of my friends again! And yes, I agree that the markets are going to be challenging for the next while. It's great to have smart people like you to talk to as we go through it!

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  13. #1051

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    My neck just itched a little bit. Not a lot, just a little bit.

    So Iím bailing out - moving to 90% G, and just 10% each in C and S.

    Letís see whatís happening- Iím up 6.39% for the year and itís only the 21st. Time for a pause?

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  15. #1052

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Uh, oh. I know what that means. Or did you stay in one of those cheap motel rooms again?
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #1053

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by flalaw97 View Post
    I think that little spike at the end of the day was people getting in anticpating a deal over the weekend. If Mitch says it will happen, I think it will.
    Recall these famous last words; over a month ago; didn't happen then....deal now more likely with supermajority....but it still isn't soup yet; remember there are moderate Democrats, filibuster, other business for Congress to attend to (confirmations; eye word/distraction); which could extend this debate for weeks notwithstanding the urgency.


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  19. #1054

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by amoeba View Post
    Recall these famous last words; over a month ago; didn't happen then....deal now more likely with supermajority....but it still isn't soup yet; remember there are moderate Democrats, filibuster, other business for Congress to attend to (confirmations; eye word/distraction); which could extend this debate for weeks notwithstanding the urgency.
    Don't know how true it is, but heard earlier today that stimulus may not happen until sometime in March for the reasons you have stated. That can't be good for the market...


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  21. #1055

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ravensfan View Post
    Don't know how true it is, but heard earlier today that stimulus may not happen until sometime in March for the reasons you have stated. That can't be good for the market...
    The market can deal with it but not for the folks that REALLY need it.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #1056

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    The itch went away.


    Moving to :

    C= 25%
    S= 70%
    I= 05%

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