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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #1033

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Thats it- Im chickening out.

    Had a great run up for months. Taking my cash and stepping to the sidelines for a breather.

    Going 70% G, 15% F, and then 5/5/5 into CSI.

    Enjoy.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Congratulations on your retirement. The first two weeks feel like your on vacation then after that reality kicks in. Enjoy.

    I understand jumping to the sidelines but it's a pretty big drop today.
    May the force be with us.

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  3. #1034

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Congrats on Retirement! 23 years left for me until I'm eligible. Best of luck with the TSP as you no longer contribute.

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  5. #1035

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Yes, congrats James!!

    Must say, the best part about my situation where I can telework is the time i get to spend with my dog. Nothing like being able to hang with him all day.

    Enjoy it!


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  7. #1036

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Now THIS is a tough decision.

    So Im sitting mostly on the sidelines, having jumped out Thursday and took the hit that day.

    Now the P&F is showing exactly half retracement since the last swing up. Six Os.

    Does that signal time to jump back in? Or is there a new downward plunge starting here?

    If its just a normal pullback, today would be a good day to jump back in.

    But it doesnt exactly feel like a normal wave pullback to me. It feels more like the beginning of a good, solid 10% or 20% fall (The season) fall-back.

    Let me try and attach a P&F picture to show you. Im on my iPhone now- so I may have to switch computers to get this to work.

  8.  
  9. #1037

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    What I'm not seeing is the depth /volume I'd expect to see if we are really at a bottom. I'm going to take a pass today, and not try to jump onto this spot.
    Nothing wasted by waiting a day for more clarity. I'm sticking to my safety position, at least for today.
    Here is the pic, showing the re-tracement and the lack of volume that I would have expected if this really s the bottom.

    ride.jpg

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  11. #1038

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    On the other hand- here is the $EMW (Wilshire 4500), which mimics the "S" fund.
    It's exactly where it would be, IF this is just a quick consolidation before another move up .
    I'm sooo torn....(But I'm going to sit at least one more day).

    s..jpg

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  13. #1039

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    What I'm not seeing is the depth /volume I'd expect to see if we are really at a bottom.
    What was interesting was the jump in volume in the index ETFs late last week...



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #1040

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Interesting indeed.

    I guess there are far more folks doing ETFs these days than regular traders doing the actual stocks.

    Thanks for those charts.

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  17. #1041

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Once again today right around noon I was considering jumping back into stocks- the bounce yesterday kind of caught me off guard and for a moment I was thinking we might have just hit the 50 moving averages, and we were going to turn things around.

    But my experience gut said to wait- this one is moving in slow motion, and has a lot more downside potential that many people arent seeing. Were over-valued, and were running up higher on all that Federal Reserve and Treasury liquidity- which is about to vanish. And when it does, markets will realize it has nowhere to go but down.

    Covid is leaving a huge mark on the economy, and will continue to- so it may be a year or two until things are solidify ready to move higher again.

    Im going to take a deep breath, and watch. And stay out in my 70%G, 15%F, and then 5 each in C,S,and I.

    This may be a while before it is time to jump back in to higher stock holdings.

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  19. #1042

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Jumping back in.

    60% C

    35% S

    5 %. I

    Tally ho!


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  21. #1043

    Join Date
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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    As they say in Vegas-----No BallBounce.gifs NO Blue PokerChip50Blue.gifs!
    05/09/2021
    LS CRUDE Oil
    =$59.32 a Barrel, Daily Status -$.28

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  23. #1044

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Ok- Im easing out a tiny bit, AND I am reallocating what I have at risk.

    Moving as follows:

    5% = G.

    5%= F

    (To me, thats taking the last months profits off the table and keeping it).

    25% = C

    45%= S

    20%= I

    Let me explain- I have been only a little in I for the last couple of months. But I am feeling now that I (which is heavily in Japan) has suffered enough this year, and is about to take a little upside. I think it is less risky today for I than it was earlier this year, and so Im increasing my I exposure a bit.

    Cross my fingers this is a good idea. Well find out soon enough.
    M


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums


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