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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    The TSP is close on Monday. Per tsp.gov: Some financial markets will be closed on Monday, October 10th in observance of the Columbus Day holiday. The Thrift Savings Plan will also be closed. Transactions that would have been processed Monday night (October 10th) will be processed Tuesday night (October 11th), at Tuesday's closing share prices.

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  3. #626

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Thanks! I thought it was closed. Oh well- I have made my pre-noon move. So it is to be.

    Capital Preservation is always good even if you miss a little uptick.



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  5. #627

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Moving back to the "G" fund.

    So far this year, I am in 139th place. Not a bad place to be half-way into the first month.

    And I have a positive 2+ % return.

    If I can only do that 11 more months, I will have a nice year, eh?

    Here is to making the best of things in 2017.

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  7. #628

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Oh man... I'm sitting here in the "S" fund, and thinking- "Should we SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY"?


    I am thinking this run up has moved sideways enough for a while- that it might be time to bail out for the "...SELL IN MAY" idea.

    What do YOU think?

    Is it time to preserve the balance?

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  9. #629

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Oh man... I'm sitting here in the "S" fund, and thinking- "Should we SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY"?


    I am thinking this run up has moved sideways enough for a while- that it might be time to bail out for the "...SELL IN MAY" idea.

    What do YOU think?

    Is it time to preserve the balance?
    James,

    This is what May has looked like over the last few years. I'm thinking maybe 50/50 "CS" for May.



    May.xlsx
    May the force be with us.

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  11. #630

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Well, I'm pretty much a 0% YTD... so capital preservation it would be. A few folks have posted buy signals, we still have a good week to go.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  13. #631

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    5 winning years in a row? Yeah not sure about that.

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  15. #632

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    I was just looking at all three stock charts today- S&P 500; 4500 completion, and the EFA, and all three are telling me we've hit resistance, a top, and are now regrouping.

    I am thinking the next several weeks will be significantly lower than where we are here.

    I am sitting 95% on the sidelines in "G" right now- and plan to stay that way for a bit.

    Have a great day.

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  17. #633

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    ok- we're lower than we were when I last sold.

    So I'm thinking it's time to risk some more.

    Back into the stocks for a quick rebound over the weekend. Wish me luck!

    Moving to:

    10% "C"
    50 % "S"
    40% "I" at Close of Business today.

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  19. #634

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Getting nervous. Something isn't quite right.

    I can't put my finger on it, but I have decided that I am going to start moving away from stocks and towards capital preservation. (NNuut has taught me well).

    Moving 30% of my holdings over into the L Income fund- as that is safer than where I am now, but still has upward potential if I am overcautious.

    As of COB today, I will be sitting at : 30% L Income; 20% C fund, 40% S Fund; and 10% in the I Fund.

    That protects a little bit. Every little bit helps.

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  21. #635

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    ok- I am STILL thinking this is a VERY lofty level, which has not had any kind of a pullback in quite some time!

    So I am adjusting some more. Now going to :

    50%= L-Income

    15%= C Fund

    25% = S Fund

    10% = I Fund


    That makes this portfolio about 38% "G" fund right now- with the slightly more "S" than "C" in the holdings- similar to a "L-2030" type allocation, except leaning more heavily on small caps than the actual L-2030 does. (More S than C, whereas L-2030 is much more "C" than "S").


    I can't believe we're not having a correction of some kind by now. My gut tells me it is time for a small correction. !!

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  23. #636

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Uh, oh... Not the James gut indicator!

    That's been working pretty well over the years, if I recall.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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