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Thread: Squalebear's Account Talk

  1. #1

    Default Squalebear's Account Talk

    I figure that I'll have few things to say during the next couple of months.
    My "un-restricted" tracking information and thoughts will hopefully help
    others understand the importance of "The Cost When Rights Are Stripped".


    Anyway, I'll do my best to keep up with the pack. No silly, not the 6 pak.


  2.  
  3. #2

    Talking Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    I would have taken some profits off the table come
    Tuesday's close of business. I would have allocated
    G-70%-f0%c5%-s10%-i15%. This would have been
    my first IFT for April.
    Last edited by Guest2; 04-01-2008 at 06:27 PM.

  4.  
  5. #3

    Wink Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    AfterHours index futures for the USM look all but flat. Actually, slightly to
    the negative side. The OSM index futures appear to be set for a follow-up
    rally.

    This bauds well for the I-Fund: which (in my estimation) will make up
    some lost ground we experienced today. If the I-Fund turns negative for
    Wednesday, it won't be as bad as the C&S should they turn negative.
    Any gains should be sweet, unless Barclays plays games again.

    The S-Fund shows potential: and could see better gains then the C-Fund
    (not lately). Of coarse, thats assuming a continuation of this (IMO) mini-
    rally. Profit taking should be expected soon after such a tremendous day.

    The F-Fund didn't take the hit: In fact, I believe the bond fund will be the
    wrong place to be (I'm stuck in @ 55%) the next few days. I can't help
    but think that this fund will show little for gains or larger loses before it
    levels off. How long that takes is anyones guess.

    Some are calling for the G-Fund: penny to come on Monday 4/7/08 or
    on Tuesday at the latest. Sometimes that g-penny looks more attractive
    then being restricted into equities for a week. I must be brave !

    Hope my rants are useful. There not technical. There just some personal
    thoughts and gut reactions I wanted to share. Comments are Welcome.

  6.  
  7. #4

    Smile Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    To see the tracker for 04/01/08 with 8 IFT's out of 173 members is
    nothing less then amazing. The Thrift Boards plan is at work. I wonder
    how much of the $3.55 per year savings I'll see in my account. If today
    is any gauge, they'll be calling the TSP, the FESSP soon enough. Oh yes,
    FESSP stands for the "The Federal Employees Squalebear's Saving Plan".
    Of coarse, that before "Monitary, Hardship and Psychological Damages".

  8.  
  9. #5

    Thumbs up Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    USM just turned positive at 10:41am.

    SPX +.35%
    DWCPF +.56%
    EFA -.28%
    AGG +.26%

  10.  
  11. #6

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    S&P at about 5.5% now..
    ~100% S fund since Feb 2012~

  12.  
  13. #7

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Asylum View Post
    S&P at about 5.5% now..

    oop... points & snot %



    ~100% S fund since Feb 2012~

  14.  
  15. #8

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Asylum View Post
    S&P at about 5.5% now..
    Confusing , I'm sure you meant +.55% (gotcha you caught it)
    Last 20 minutes of this day will tell all.
    Bull Day or Profit Day ? We'll see !

    It's the Bond Fund that I'll be watching very closely.
    An up day for the AGG "could" result in a negative
    day within the F-Fund.

    I see no reason why the F-Fund is still up 2.10% YTD.
    1.00% maybe, but not 2.10% - Closer study is in order.

    Good Luck today !

  16.  
  17. #9

    Wink Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    AfterHours index futures for the USM look all but flat. Actually, slightly to
    the negative side. The OSM index futures appear to be set for a follow-up
    rally.

    This bauds well for the I-Fund: which (in my estimation) will make up
    some lost ground we experienced today. If the I-Fund turns negative for
    Wednesday, it won't be as bad as the C&S should they turn negative.
    Any gains should be sweet, unless Barclays plays games again.

    The S-Fund shows potential: and could see better gains then the C-Fund
    (not lately). Of coarse, thats assuming a continuation of this (IMO) mini-
    rally. Profit taking should be expected soon after such a tremendous day.

    The F-Fund didn't take the hit: In fact, I believe the bond fund will be the
    wrong place to be (I'm stuck in @ 55%) the next few days. I can't help
    but think that this fund will show little for gains or larger loses before it
    levels off. How long that takes is anyones guess.

    Some are calling for the G-Fund: penny to come on Monday 4/7/08 or
    on Tuesday at the latest. Sometimes that g-penny looks more attractive
    then being restricted into equities for a week. I must be brave !

    Hope my rants are useful. There not technical. There just some personal
    thoughts and gut reactions I wanted to share. Comments are Welcome.
    Some final thoughts; A man's got to earn his retirement, don't he?
    Oppps, Gender Humor, sorry ! Anyway;

    Everything I'm about to comment on could change within the last 20 minutes
    of today's market. Here's hoping for the Big Money Entry!

    The SPX is up +.38% now and appears steady.
    The DWCPF is outperforming the SPX as mentioned above.
    The EFA looks to be lagging but stll positive. Look for better return from I
    The AGG is solid at +.26%, I'm guessing the F will not be so kind.

    Again, the last 20-30 minutes of todays market might be the tell all.
    In either case, May the TSP God's bring us Pennys from Heaven.
    Off To Work, I'll check in when possible, Watch Call !


  18.  
  19. #10

    Wink Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    I decided yesterday, not to include the 3.50% day we had on Tuesday
    for comparison purposes. (Restricted vs. Unrestricted). Two reasons;
    a) I failed to save documentation on Monday to prove my IFT intent.
    b) I would have started off with a unproven $3820 (they owe me).

    So let the tracking begin; (they owe me) $194.08 (Thrift Board) -.14062%
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    The C-Fund will do (and did) what the market did. A minor downday.-.13%
    The S-Fund (expected) outperformed the C and the DWCPF. +.33%
    The I -Fund (unexpectedly) underperformed the EFA +.09%
    (Barclays will wait for a Big Down Day to make up the difference)
    The F-Fund (expected) underperformed the AGG. -.25%
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------
    I still expect the I-Fund will have Greater Gains/Lower Loses (Barclays)
    I still expect the F-Fund will have Lower Gains/Greater Loses. (Barclays)
    The USM after hours future are slightly negative at this moment and will
    not reflect what the Market decides to do on Thursday. That will depend
    on a whole lot of things, including, any Economic Reports and Earnings
    due out. Good Luck To Us All.
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------


    My thoughts of future market events are strictly my gut feelings and have nothing to do
    with actual knowledge or experience concerning the Stock Market or Investing. TSPtalk
    and its members have far greater resources and knowledge then I. Keep this in mind
    when making your investment decisions and utilize the wealth of knowledge which is
    clearly present within this website. After all, thats what I do.


  20.  
  21. #11

    Thumbs up Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    At 3:12am (est)
    Dow Futures are up +.15%
    S&P Futures are up +.14%
    NasdFutures are up +.24%
    The Nikkei (Japan) +1.45%
    DOLLAR vs. EURO - .25%

  22.  
  23. #12

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    At 3:12am (est)
    Dow Futures are up +.15%
    S&P Futures are up +.14%
    NasdFutures are up +.24%
    The Nikkei (Japan) +1.45%
    DOLLAR vs. EURO - .25%
    April 3, 2008 4:01 A.M.ET
    BULLETIN (MARKETWATCH.COM)
    Europe stutters as banks fall

  24.  
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