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Thread: Squalebear's Account Talk

  1. #1765

    Thumbs down Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    If I thought it would stop, I would stay.
    But I think it won't, enough said for today !

    100% (G)

  2.  
  3. #1766

    Angry Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    SOMEONE PLEASE TELL ME WHY I'M MAKING A MISTAKE BY BAILING TO THE (g) FUND TODAY. I WON'T TAKE IT AS PROFESSIONAL ADVICE, I'LL TAKE IT AS A HONEST OPINION. I ALREADY DID A IFT, BUT, I CAN CANCEL IT SHOULD I BE MISSING SOMETHING !

  4.  
  5. #1767

    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    514

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    SOMEONE PLEASE TELL ME WHY I'M MAKING A MISTAKE BY BAILING TO THE (g) FUND TODAY. I WON'T TAKE IT AS PROFESSIONAL ADVICE, I'LL TAKE IT AS A HONEST OPINION. I ALREADY DID A IFT, BUT, I CAN CANCEL IT SHOULD I BE MISSING SOMETHING !
    I don't want to feel responsible for anyone else's choices, but if I were in right now, I would wait a day or two to bail. Even a dead cat will bounce and I expect something dramatic from the Fed today or tomorrow. Then, definitely sell the rally.
    Trading, in its simplest form, is the process of capturing the disconnect between perception and reality.

  6.  
  7. #1768

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Pilgrim View Post
    I don't want to feel responsible for anyone else's choices, but if I were in right now, I would wait a day or two to bail. Even a dead cat will bounce and I expect something dramatic from the Fed today or tomorrow. Then, definitely sell the rally.
    Agree with you, Pilgrim.

  8.  
  9. #1769

    Question Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Pilgrim View Post
    I don't want to feel responsible for anyone else's choices, but if I were in right now, I would wait a day or two to bail. Even a dead cat will bounce and I expect something dramatic from the Fed today or tomorrow. Then, definitely sell the rally.
    STRONG POINT, MESSAGE RECEIVED !
    THANKS A BUNCH PILGRIM & PRESSKH,
    ANYONE ELSE HAVE A OPINION.

  10.  
  11. #1770

    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Utah
    Posts
    1,991

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    SOMEONE PLEASE TELL ME WHY I'M MAKING A MISTAKE BY BAILING TO THE (g) FUND TODAY. I WON'T TAKE IT AS PROFESSIONAL ADVICE, I'LL TAKE IT AS A HONEST OPINION. I ALREADY DID A IFT, BUT, I CAN CANCEL IT SHOULD I BE MISSING SOMETHING !
    My dear friend Squale, take a deep breath. We can't day-trade; the lag time between request and response, and the IFT handcuffs won't allow that. So we have to think timeframes of swing-trade at best. Someone else said sell the coming dead-cat bounce and that makes sense to me.

    And I don't have a crystal ball. If I did, my actual account would be a lot higher than the +0.16% that it is for the year! But my gut and some chart fundamentals tell me that equities are going to go lower before they turn around. Maybe an S&P loss of up to 20% more?

    Please ask yourself one overriding question: Would I rather be in equities and have them fall an additional 20%, or would I rather be out of equities if they finally turn bullish and miss the first 5% to 10% rise? Maybe the answer to that question will let you feel more at peace with whatever you decide.

    Lady
    Last edited by XL-entLady; 10-06-2008 at 10:24 AM. Reason: addition

  12.  
  13. #1771

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Peoples Republic of Ohio
    Posts
    2,373

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    STRONG POINT, MESSAGE RECEIVED !
    THANKS A BUNCH PILGRIM & PRESSKH,
    ANYONE ELSE HAVE A OPINION.
    Squale,

    If I had 10 years or more, I'd jump in today or stay in, but I'm 4.5 years away and CP is important right now. Just an uneducated opinion from a fellow fed.

    CB
    “Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution.” - Huxley’s Brave New World

  14.  
  15. #1772

    Exclamation Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    In all seriousness, I cancelled my IFT and wanted someone to tell me that
    I was finally right about something this month. Today is already locked in
    stone. So tomorrow could bring a DCB or a Fed Rate Cut. If I bail now I've
    sold the farm and locked in a loss. So I'm holding onto hope and a noose.
    Lets hope I can save the noose for roping in some gains. Thanks for the
    opinions, I feel a little better about my decision. Emotional Judgements
    tend to be wrong, but this sure is one uuuuugly day to get ballsy.

  16.  
  17. #1773

    Exclamation Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by CountryBoy View Post
    Squale,

    If I had 10 years or more, I'd jump in today or stay in, but I'm 4.5 years away and CP is important right now. Just an uneducated opinion from a fellow fed.

    CB
    Thanks CB, if I'm being honest, I have 1 year 289 days until eligability at
    age 52. But if I must stay until Mandatory Retirement Age (LEO) 57, I just
    might have to do it. That is what is in the balance for me. Prison Bites !


  18.  
  19. #1774

    Wink Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by XL-entLady View Post
    My dear friend Squale, take a deep breath. We can't day-trade; the lag time between request and response, and the IFT handcuffs won't allow that. So we have to think timeframes of swing-trade at best. Someone else said sell the coming dead-cat bounce and that makes sense to me.

    And I don't have a crystal ball. If I did, my actual account would be a lot higher than the +0.16% that it is for the year! But my gut and some chart fundamentals tell me that equities are going to go lower before they turn around. Maybe an S&P loss of up to 20% more?

    Please ask yourself one overriding question: Would I rather be in equities and have them fall an additional 20%, or would I rather be out of equities if they finally turn bullish and miss the first 5% to 10% rise? Maybe the answer to that question will let you feel more at peace with whatever you decide.

    Lady
    My Lady brings me Peace ! Love ! and Happiness !

  20.  
  21. #1775

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,461
    Blog Entries
    298

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Wow whatever happened to the pop?

    This market is killing us this month...

    My thresh hold for pain is reaching critical levels...
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

  22.  
  23. #1776

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Peoples Republic of Ohio
    Posts
    2,373

    Default Re: Squalebear's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by squalebear View Post
    Thanks CB, if I'm being honest, I have 1 year 289 days until eligability at
    age 52. But if I must stay until Mandatory Retirement Age (LEO) 57, I just
    might have to do it. That is what is in the balance for me. Prison Bites !
    Squale,

    I'm only 2 years from my MRA, so I could go out sooner. The 4.5 year figure is my 28th year of service, so I'm just kinda splitting the difference between 56 and 60. I'm checking to see what my options are at 56 and if I can swing it, I'm outta here. My job bites, but I'm sure not near as bad as yours. I'm just in burnout mode and want to spend more time living than working.

    CB
    “Most men and women will grow up to love their servitude and will never dream of revolution.” - Huxley’s Brave New World

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