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Thread: alevin's account talk

  1. #877

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    I sure do wish the market indicator charts I watch would finally break one way or the other signalwise. hard sitting here watching, trying to be consistent in application. not easy right now.

    meanwhile, the workday today was long. went from 8am to 9pm, with a dinner break of about 45 minutes, lunch was fast food in vehicle on way to a meeting. the one that went into afterhours. the meeting continues tomorrow, same bat time, same bat place, same bat schedule pretty much, normal workdays rest of the week after that. intensive training session on how to improve group communications, various scenarios. good stuff. led by highly experienced professionals from within a handful of agencies, including retirees from the same. they've lived what we do. anyways, I won't be around much. thinking of starting a new thread to brainstorm ideas how to improve reading skills in this country. what was worked for people here, what didn't work for them. will save that for later in the week, take it out of the trump thread, keep it out of this one as well. night all.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  3. #878

    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by alevin View Post
    tonight I watched a movie had never seen before. based on a book I've long heard of, had never read, written in 1948. A classic. Cry, the Beloved Country.

    Movie-1995. James Earl Jones, Richard Harris. Powerful. It brought me to tears at the end, YMMV. I encourage anyone here to watch it if they have the chance.
    Quote Originally Posted by alevin View Post
    ...thinking of starting a new thread to brainstorm ideas how to improve reading skills in this country. what was worked for people here, what didn't work for them. will save that for later in the week, take it out of the trump thread, keep it out of this one as well. night all.
    that sounds like an interesting show, but i have a strict personal policy of not seeing the movie until i've read the book, so it's off to the local library i go, i wonder if they have any works by alan paton, you never know where a story might lead.
    100g

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  5. #879

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    finally the pattern got off the dime and made a decision, end of the day on Thursday, so it's had an extra day-Friday, to think about where it wants to go from here, so far no decision, but I'm going to add some more to the pot. long time coming. Ugh, it was hard waiting. and somewhat painful. still what's a system if don't accept a little rain sometimes, it waters the plants and makes the flowers bloom-in due season.

    So with that, goal of the next move will be to reclaim lost ground and maybe some net gain. will decide in the am how much to add to C and what to do with I and S, with goal of at least getting the balance sheet back to where I started from.

    sp500 3y-10-20ma 11-4-16.png
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  7. #880

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    Decision made. last chance today to post, will be on the road rest of the day and away from computer. Standing pat on earlier allocation, looking to get back to even and maybe gain a little. time to get in/add to allocation was on Friday, since the buy signal came end of day on Thursday. story of my life-procrastination. my personal goal this next year (NY resolution coming early)-procrastinate less and less when see a credible signal that it's time to act. that's what this system is designed to help me with, so watching signal behavior this year has been getting to point of truly trusting the signals, even if they aren't perfect, they are right more often than not.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  9. #881

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    I've had enough fun for the time being. Back to G-100%.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  11. #882

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    I need to get braver. didn't wait for the top-out signal this time, seemed like it took forever to get back to even after last time I got in, got spooked once I got a little ahead. Anyway, I need to get braver, take a little more risk. tonight I finished 3d in the poker game, big improvement. need to let that start reflecting more in my tsp moves. probabilities. topping signal hit on Friday last week. If I was in, I'd be getting out tomorrow. sorry about the doublepost, I didn't get it sized right the first time, don't know how to undo it.

    sp500-3yr 10-20ma 11-25-16.png
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    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard


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  13. #883

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    So today we got snow at our elevation, first of the year, been snow on the mountains for about a week now, truckers don't much like it, chainup and intermittent highway closure weather up on the mountain, especially when one of those bigwheels goes topsy turvy across lanes. lucky for me, this newfangled thing called video teleconferencing works pretty slick these days, comes in handy on these kinds of days.

    expecting up to 4 inches by Saturday down here, nothin like the burro's got, but enough to get people slipping and sliding a bit already. Manager got nervous mid-afternoon, began suggesting people head home early, but was trying not to say the admin leave phrase. not quite kosher but she's not used to having to make those kinds of decisions.

    I'm good enough friends with her that I will probably discuss that hesitancy with her when things are a little less concerning weatherwise, tell her she needs to man up and be decisive or let people make up their own minds if they want to cut their work day short on their own recognizance. otherwise union might get a complaint if she pulls that again-not necessarily from me but from any number of others. which would get her in dutch with her own boss, which she doesn't need at this point.

    Meanwhile my own newer set of new Ford pickup wheels got a chance to do snow driving test on the way home this afternoon. despite good mud and snows, 4 sandbags in the back and 4wd, it still slipped a little on the backend pulling out onto and across the 4lane to head home into town when I left work. good little test of performance, and what to expect. this vehicle is a little bigger than the one it replaced, bigger tires. The 4 sandbags that worked for the older vehicle, not quite enough for this one, I need to get 1-2 more sandbags tomorrow, and chains. It has been feeling all fall like we're in for a genuine snowy winter this year, unlike the last 2-3.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  15. #884

    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    alevin, the secret to driving a pickup on snow and ice is underalls. yep, underalls, tink tink.

    a rear wheel drive vehicle with a light back end will always swing around a bit, even in 4x4 mode, just don't brake while turning the wheel and wait to accelerate out of a curve until the headlights are mostly pointing down the road. it is pretty predictable and the truck will track itself back on line unless you stomp the brakes or romp the gas.

    once you know how it works you can play with it, make it swing wide to one side almost perpendicular then let off let it come back around and swing it out the other side, throwing snow the whole way.

    you might consider getting yourself a sixpack and finding an empty road. back ends were made for swinging. if you want a ride to track like on rails then buy a train. and sandbags are a waste of money, just get yourself a couple of fat friends and make them ride in the back. plus they can help push if you get stuck. i'm a practical man.

    100g

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  17. #885

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    burro, you always come up with such good advice. Having driven the last smaller pickup for 16 years, I think I know how to handle backend on a pickup, in deeper snow and slicker streets than we have right now. I'm just simply getting used to a slightly bigger heavier pickup with different feel to it, 6cyl instead of 4. getting to know it intimately, kinda like you and Missy.

    The sandbags are a standard with me, traction going straight, uphill as well as the flats, not just around corners. not worried too much about the swinging back end, I know how to corner at low speed. It wasn't a fishtail this afternoon, just a little slippage, getting feel of the road before heading down the road straight. no worries. try to stay out of the ditch, you'll get home quicker that way.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  19. #886

    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by alevin View Post
    this newfangled thing called video teleconferencing works pretty slick these days...

    she needs to man up and be decisive...
    alevin, a word of advice, you can't say man up anymore because it elevates 'man' to desirable position and in so doing denigrates all non-men or potential but not yet transitioned men. it is actually a micro aggression trigger word and hurts feelers. i'm sure you had to watch that hour long lgbqtia aglearn training so you should know this. i don't even know what an "i" or an "a" is yet.

    Nebraska university tells students not to say 'crazy,' 'ghetto' and other bad words - Watchdog.org

    In fact, students may notice one of 300 student volunteers wearing brightly colored T-shirts with the banned words emblazoned on the back. A pink shirt informs students that saying “man up” only “reinforces masculine stereotypes that are unhealthy for everyone.”
    also, be very careful with that voip video teleconferencing thingy, i put tape over mine just to be sure until i'm ready.

    100g

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  21. #887

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    You are sooooo right, burro on subject of VOIP! Which is why I'm generally the one who calls in, rather than other way around.

    As for management, manup seems to be part of the expectation, either that or they need to modify the noun to make it even more genderized....? maybe that's what needs to happen, hmmm. management, shmanagement? shmanup? a shmanager still needs to be decisive and be accountable when comes to making a decision about declaring weather-related admin leave, or any other decision only shmanagement can make, no?

    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  23. #888

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    Default Re: alevin's account talk

    Market chart has finally made a meaningful move worth posting. Traders and buy and holders beware, ignore at your own risk. Given topping patterns over the past year+, this market could still keep going until it hits 2d standard deviation level on these charts, but this is definitely a warning to consider in conjunction with any other indicators you may use. Hit the 1SD level day before yesterday, ready to rollover if it decides its time. Based on chart behavior sinceJuly 15, I've realized that while this is a definite warning buy/sell signal, it is not an absolute either way. which is why I've begun giving it one more day of observation after the initial move, before I post a chart.

    sp500 3y 10-20ma 2-17-17.png

    Also, I decided, based on the chart, that I'm ready to bail for now til a better reason to get in and stay awhile shows up. Back to G.
    Last edited by alevin; 02-17-2017 at 06:47 AM.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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