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Thread: hessian's Account Talk

  1. #1

    Lightbulb hessian's Account Talk

    Hi All,
    Well, I finally started my own Account Talk Thread (and now I'll also be "AutoTracked" for 2008). My AcctTalk/forum philosophpy is:-) its open!

    As many of you already may be familiar, from postings I've made in many accounts, you already know that I enjoy focusing on technical analyses. I want to learn all I can -as issues that can help in my, and our collective, decision-making. I consider myself like a sponge (no spongeBob similarity, or jokes please!). :toung:

    I'll also mention that enjoy, and invite humor, especially dry & witty, and love those animated .gifs like what 12% and Nnuut often post -and the short videos I've seen posted too!

    My main focus is learning & watching for short- and intermediate-term market trends to gain any predictive analysis techniques that can help with position trades (but I also recognize that many of these trends, often occur within the larger/longer timeframes, so I'm in no way adverse to hearing those perspectives/analyses). Figures, drawings, & weblinks, can help illustrate issues.

    Anyway, enough for now.
    Merry Christmas and best wishes for a happy New Year!
    - (and for an especially prosperous one, as well!)
    VR
    Last edited by hessian; 12-30-2007 at 10:10 AM.


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  3. #2

    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Missouri
    Posts
    8,619

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Good luck! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to you also!
    Socrates: "Democracy, which is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequaled alike."

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  5. #3

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    I'll kickoff my new forum with some ugly looking charts. Also some tlink to some relevant charts and general thoughts - (may be useful for considertion going into next week):

    1st: The p&f chart for the Russell 2K Small Caps is ugly looking:
    Attachment 2934
    Here a link to the Russell 2K price chart, http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$RU...d=p55192775979
    - you can see here huge gap in the price chart that MAY NEED to be filled!!
    (PS at bottom of each of any price chart, note there's always a button, to that chart's specific, "Point & Figure Chart.")

    2nd, see the NASDAQ price chart, at link below - notice it also has a rather large gap there, that's sure looking like it MAY NEED to be filled rather soon, too! http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$CO...d=p55192775979

    Now, as these aren't directly "our Funds," they only indirectly might give an indication/clue as to the short-term direction, of the broader market. The Dow isn't looking very good either (but at least no huge looming gaps). http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$IN...d=p55192775979

    Again, I'm not intending to post advice - just purely FYI, for consideration, and hopefully to get some discussion started.
    VR
    Last edited by hessian; 12-30-2007 at 01:33 PM. Reason: typing errors

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  7. #4

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Re: TSP Transfer Fees and/or Transaction Limit Discussion
    Hessian,

    I do not have any other address. Guys, it seems that Mr. David Rostker of OMB has given instructions to reject some of our incoming e-mail.

    I can assure you that I was able to receive a return receipt, but Hessian coul not. Below you can see the automatic return receipt I got last Saturday:


    "The original message was received at Sat, 29 Dec 2007 10:47:46 GMT from smtp.vzwmail.net [66.174.76.25]

    ----- The following addresses had successful delivery notifications ----- <David_Rostker@omb.eop.gov> (relayed to non-DSN-aware mailer)

    ----- Transcript of session follows ----- <David_Rostker@omb.eop.gov>... relayed; expect no further notifications"


    Does anyone else have a clue why, or to the intentions of not allowing an electronic return receipt?

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  9. #5

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    14,227
    Blog Entries
    12

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by airlift View Post
    Re: TSP Transfer Fees and/or Transaction Limit Discussion
    Hessian,

    I do not have any other address. Guys, it seems that Mr. David Rostker of OMB has given instructions to reject some of our incoming e-mail.

    I can assure you that I was able to receive a return receipt, but Hessian coul not. Below you can see the automatic return receipt I got last Saturday:


    "The original message was received at Sat, 29 Dec 2007 10:47:46 GMT from smtp.vzwmail.net [66.174.76.25]

    ----- The following addresses had successful delivery notifications ----- <David_Rostker@omb.eop.gov> (relayed to non-DSN-aware mailer)

    ----- Transcript of session follows ----- <David_Rostker@omb.eop.gov>... relayed; expect no further notifications"


    Does anyone else have a clue why, or to the intentions of not allowing an electronic return receipt?

    Maybe his mailbox is full.....

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  11. #6

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Ho James!, re: Airlift, thanks for trying. Let me know if you find anywhere else I can email it to in the future. I'll try to send again later. Iwant to help!

    Quote Originally Posted by Paladin View Post
    Hessian,
    The S-Fund tracks the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index. Why not chart that one instead of the Russell 2k?
    Paladin, I put up the Russell 2K for precisely the reason you brought up. To me, I look at it as a 2nd check for what is going on with for the Small caps. As a result, the charts are similar, but different, therefore kind of like getting a 2nd opinion from a doctor - just for comparison.

    Other charts provided I also just use to give me a view/clue of what's going on in broader market.

    The primary that I use, the S-Fund chart is here:
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$EM...d=p55192775979

    Click button, here: for this morning's new "S" p&f chart - it was ugly, & just got worse this morning!

    PS I am wondering if today may be a 1-day "fill the gaps" wonder -maybe fill those gaps intraday (on those other charts, like the Russell 2K). I'm watching for an up move later
    - as a result, hoping, we might even finish green if this occurs!??
    Last edited by hessian; 12-31-2007 at 10:23 AM.

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  13. #7

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by hessian View Post
    PS I'd hoped for today to be a 1-day "fill the gaps" wonder -maybe fill those gaps intraday (on those other charts, like the Russell 2K). I'm watching for an up move later
    - as a result, hoping, we might even finish green if this occurs!??
    I need to clarify above - The gaps in the charts I showed yesterday was the reason I thought today might start out going down. The Russell 2k actually did fill its gap. I think the NASDAQ gap got filled too (it looks like it got within 3 or 4 points which should be good enough).
    Now, I personally have mixed feelings whether I'm hoping for a green closing today - because I just bought 20S, 80I for COB today, so low closes today would be best for me personally.

    I am working this as a short position, so I am hoping for "BIG GREEN" days, Wed, Thurs, & Friday - to likely bail then. I'm hoping for seasonality, a re-newed "Santa rallly (and for continued Dollar freefall (Fri. it broke its 50d EMA) - but just for a week, maybe 2. But I will watch the latter closely, and adjust my allocation when the Dollar's strength returns, which I expect, then moving more to S & C.
    Last edited by hessian; 12-31-2007 at 11:56 AM.

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  15. #8

    Post Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Hey folks,
    350z, just informed me that on SharpCharts, I should have used $NDX for the Nasdaq 100 Index - not ("NASDAQ Composite"-$COMPQ) as the correct symbol. Well, at least I continue to learn, and I promise I'll try to be more careful in future.

    Apparently different sources have different lookup symbols for the same Funds/Indexes (often seeming right, but incorrect!). To illustrate, how confusing it can be, go to this SharpCharts link... http://stockcharts.com/symsearch?nasdaq . At the top, in its search for "Symbol Lookup" & "NASDAQ", I got 79 hits!!!
    This is just FYI - now my recommendation is to ask someone "in-the-know"!
    Again apologies.
    VR
    ___________________________________________
    Ability to admit mistakes, is part of integrity

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  17. #9

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk



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  19. #10

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    I'm standing by the technical analyses today,
    I'm in "F", but I've been wondering also if there's a chance for recovery in any of C, S, I for Monday/Tuesday. Or, even if we're near bottoms yet - to buy in?
    Link posted by Vectorman yesterday I think said it well:
    http://stocktiming.com/Thursday-DailyMarketUpdate.htm

    Poolman's videos been saying alot of same lately also.

    Personally, I just don't see anything that would be the news for me to think were even near bottoms yet. Most technical resistances broke - VERY few holding. And something needs to pull sentiment out of the gutter, too! The "I" chart is maybe the only one that is so-so, IMHO - but you know the "I" largely follows USMs - so what news here in the US could possibly turn this around?

    Speaking of the technicals, look at any, but particularly the at the S&P500 chart:
    http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SP...d=p55192775979
    AND, at bottom, of these charts > click the box to see this S&P500's p&f chart - its ugly (as are the other funds)!
    The "S" here: http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$EM...d=p55192775979
    today went past the mid-Nov low (broke this major support).

    My point is, I think we might just be looking toward re-visiting those mid-August lows, Remaing on the sidelines, for awhile in F, and eventually G, sounds most reasonable/rational to me, unless and until we reach bottoms In the meantime I'll be bottom-fishing (DCAing-in), I expect for quite awhile (maybe even a couple months) as the bottoms come into closer focus. For me, as they say "its the technicals that always tell the truth." Good luck & best wishes to all!
    VR
    Last edited by hessian; 01-04-2008 at 01:32 PM.

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  21. #11

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by hessian View Post
    I'm standing by the technical analyses today,
    I'm in "F", but I've been wondering also if there's a chance for recovery in any of C, S, I for Monday/Tuesday. Or, even if we're near bottoms yet - to buy in? Personally, I just don't see anything that would be the news for me to think were even near bottoms yet. Most technical resistances broke - VERY few holding. And something needs to pull sentiment out of the gutter, too!
    I agree that we are not at the bottom. However, I still wanted to get in the game so went 50% in today C and I. I'm fairly nervous about it though. If we do rebound, and make another "lower high" (below 1480 or so), I'll probably sell again at that point. We broke 400-500 new lows today....that is BEARISH!

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  23. #12

    Default Re: hessian's Account Talk

    TSP Talk Forums > Miscellaneous Stuff > TSP Trading Limits >
    Re: Now this really ticks me off
    -Forgive me for this repeat post, but I felt it bears widest possible review & distinction:
    VR

    It would be great if we could educate Mr. Smith (FedSmith.com). Then he, in turn, could provide at least a rudimentary explanation of what the different types of Investing are.

    Spaf explained this well today in Griffin's AcctTalk:
    - "There are several type of [Investment] trades: Position, Swing, and Day."
    [For those that made such ignorant comments, Mr. Smith should explain for them - that we ARE NOT:

    "Day Traders! [These folks] take on the most risk, trade as a full-time business, and trade [intra-day]". They never hold a position in a security overnight!"

    Our efforts, by comparison: try to secure optimal Positions, or Allocations / mix of Funds (often by a dollar-cost-averaging investing) - in hopes to maximize our Account's profit is all.

    [Quote:]
    Originally Posted by anidoc
    PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE, DO NOT CALL INTERFUND TRANSFERS - DAY TRADING!

    Thanks to all for pointing out this very important distinction!
    Last edited by hessian; 01-07-2008 at 07:56 PM.

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