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Thread: Boghies Account Talk

  1. #1009

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Well, the predicted collapse of 'merica ain't happened yet. I just don't know what to do. I mean, my super science allocation always seems to get out of whack.

    Against my better judgement, I'm going to let 'er ride!
    • G: 4% - No idea why this is important, but really who cares.
    • F: 19% - This is my dog. My dog might be ugly to you, but he is cute to me! He will keep me warm when the rest run away!
    • C: 33% - Nice and steady. Kinda fat and long on tooth though.
    • S: 31% - Probably overweight and due for a wellness checkup and diet
    • I: 13% - I have no idea what the EuroTrash are doing. All seems lost. But...


    This is still an aggressive allocation for a middle aged geezer.

    And, am I still on the Arc - even though I spend hours of my time losing at 'World of Tanks' rather than watching myself make money!!!
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  2.  
  3. #1010

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Wish I had better judgement...

    There really is no valid reason for the downturn, but there is no reason to ride it till the end. I am switching the allocation from Aggressive to Normal.

    • G: 20% - This will be my dog food fund. It is now earning like 3%
    • F: 20% - Might still have some gimpy legs if the market keeps wobbling
    • C: 27% - Nice earnings you had there, too bad something happened to them
    • S: 23% - Found a Horses Head in the bed
    • I: 10% - Basically, Europe sucks


    My Normal Allocation is: 4/36/27/23/10

    But, I think the F Fund still has a more down than up. So into G it goes. I can only guess at the expected return and risk, but it is an educated guess. Call it a SWAG

    • Expected Return: 8% (with inflation. That is, 5% after inflation)
    • Expected Risk: 7% (more G, less F should drop the risk a little)
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  4.  
  5. #1011

    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Boghie! Where are ya bud? I got looking this morning and said to myself..."What's Boghie been moving to lately". Have to dig down, way down, to even find your thread! Hope all is well and you are weathering this market!

  6.  
  7. #1012

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    It is a miserable snow storm in this market - and there really isn't any reason for the precipitation ;-). Just politics...

    Anyway, all good.

    But, it is a bad thing when the G-Fund is in the running for the best returns of the year
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  8.  
  9. #1013

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Why did the Market correct?

    Don't know - it just did... Bailing a bit in late November buffered some of the pain, but staying conservative is leaving money on the table. Time to get aggressive:

    • G: 4% - No idea why this is important, but really who cares.
    • F: 12% - This is my dog. This dog will just lie around and do nothing but sleep. Under weighted because of FED
    • C: 35% - Why did this correct. Because. But the bounce back can be tasty!!! Over weighted for aggression
    • S: 32% - Why did this correct. Because. But the bounce back can be tasty!!! Over weighted for aggression
    • I: 17% - The EuroTrash might get some love. Over weighted for aggression


    My normal Aggressive Allocation (4/21/32/29/14) has an expected return of 9% and a risk of 10%.

    My best guess - till I get home - is that an allocation of 4/12/35/32/17 will have an expected return of 10% and a risk of about 13%.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  10.  
  11. #1014

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Late Money is Smart Money...

    Let us see if this trend holds. Mighty nice...
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  12.  
  13. #1015

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Let us see if this trend holds. Mighty nice...


    You had to jinx it, didn't you...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

  14.  
  15. #1016

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    Got home and Quicken tells me the allocation of

    • G: 4%
    • F: 12%
    • C: 35%
    • S: 32%
    • I: 17%


    will have an expected return of 10% and a risk of about 12%.

    That is better than I thought, so all is good.

    I am not going to swami the market. Ain't going to jinx myself - my retirement depends on it
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  16.  
  17. #1017

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    Default Re: Boghies Account Talk

    I haven't made a single IFT this year. OMG...

    But, I've lost almost 3/4ths of a single point Month to Date on May 2, 2019. OMG...

    All the while earning almost 15% Year to Date by May 2, 2019. And, the market looks to boom today...

    Tragic earnings coming - nope
    Gubmint Shutdown will collapse earnings, economy, employment - nope.
    The Mueller Report will send the Orange Haired Dude to the Club Med Pokey in upstate New York - nope.
    Things be chuggin' along. Gubmint not getting in the way of economic progress. Me have a bit more cash every payday. All good.

    Time to take a nap on the 'Go Away in May' strategery. Maybe use the 7% decline rule before I bail on a melt-up market. Heck, that would leave me with an 8% gain for 2019. The G would give me another 2%. I could live with a 10% 2019 gain. But, me thinks this year is a likely boom time.

    Tom, please don't X-Nay me from the AutoTrader or TSPTalk. There just ain't nuthin' to talk about with the good times rollin'. Very boring... And, I don't want to troll The Amoeba account. That is just rude. Funny, but rude. And, he does have big shoulders so all is good.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!


  18.  
  19. #1018

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    Default Game of Thrones: Summer is Coming

    Yuk, yuk

    Time to take some market risk off the very agro allocation:
    • G: 20%
    • F: 20%
    • C: 27%
    • S: 23%
    • I: 10%


    Return/Risk:
    • 8% Expected Annual Return
    • 7% Expected Risk


    This spat with China is a dumb reason to run to the Lilly Pad. But, it is kinda silly to have a very agro allocation during the Summer Doldrums. Why take that risk. I'll lock in my 2% loss from the high and sleep well!!!
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  20.  
  21. #1019

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    Default Re: Game of Thrones: Summer is Coming

    I'm in a panic...
    And sweating too...

    What am I to do, being 64% in the market? I mean, some Chinese have a virus and they fly planes everywhere. That has been happening for only a hundred years. And, politics are dumb. That has been happening for thousands of years.

    Is a strong panic good enough - or do I have to do more
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  22.  
  23. #1020

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    3,729

    Default Re: Game of Thrones: Summer is Coming

    Palpable sarcasm
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  24.  
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