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Thread: Boghies Account Talk

  1. #1165

    Join Date
    Sep 2008
    Location
    Kentucky
    Posts
    5,260

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    I can still taste the C-Fund shares I bought for $6.66.
    That must have been a long time ago. I don't even remember it getting that low back in 2008-2009. I do remember it in the mid $7 range.

    I was fortunate enough not to be in when all this started. I have moved some in since then when I thought is was going to rebound, about 20%. I left that in, as I don't sell losses. At some point I will deploy more, just not sure I'm there yet. I am going to shift my 20% contributions over to 100% C/S/I for a while, buy it on the way down.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  3. #1166

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkFE View Post
    That must have been a long time ago. I don't even remember it getting that low back in 2008-2009. I do remember it in the mid $7 range.

    I was fortunate enough not to be in when all this started. I have moved some in since then when I thought is was going to rebound, about 20%. I left that in, as I don't sell losses. At some point I will deploy more, just not sure I'm there yet. I am going to shift my 20% contributions over to 100% C/S/I for a while, buy it on the way down.
    I have been exploring with the indicators on tradingview. On some of the models, it looks awful. Perhaps something bigger than the 2008 drop. Anyway, I paid an annual fee and plugged the indicators in with spx and dwcpf and studied them on a daily and weekly chart. I don't see anything positive on them.

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  5. #1167

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Upstate NY
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    3,876
    Blog Entries
    46

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by joblin20 View Post
    ... plugged the indicators in with spx and dwcpf and studied them on a daily and weekly chart. I don't see anything positive on them.
    I'm not the biggest fan of TA, but it's popular here, so here goes. Fibonacci retracements of SPX from March 2020 lows are 3800, 3500, and 3200. 3500 looks very realistic. We also have a minor Bradley turn date tomorrow, May 20, and those are usually pretty exciting trading days.

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  7. #1168

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Yeah, I was listening to the Kendall report, and that's what he was saying. I stopped trying to predict what the market may do tomorrow. I try to leave emotions out of it and try to listen to the charts. Easier said then done if your dealing with your life savings.

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  9. #1169

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    I just checked and the G-Fund is returning 3%......But when inflation is 8% then you are losing 5% in purchasing power.

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  11. #1170

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by WorkFE View Post
    That must have been a long time ago. I don't even remember it getting that low back in 2008-2009. I do remember it in the mid $7 range.

    I was fortunate enough not to be in when all this started. I have moved some in since then when I thought is was going to rebound, about 20%. I left that in, as I don't sell losses. At some point I will deploy more, just not sure I'm there yet. I am going to shift my 20% contributions over to 100% C/S/I for a while, buy it on the way down.
    It's my story and I'm sticking with it

    I just looked, the C-Fund dumped into the $7's - not the $6's. Looking at the S&P500 I see it dumped EOD into the $670's, so I probably saw a $666.xx intraday. I know I saw 'The Mark of the Beast' and I remember commenting on it at work. Since I was largely out of the market it was kinda funny.

    Now, far more seriously, since the S&P500 recovered after The 'Mark of the Beast' is it the Beast of the Apocalypse? Expiring minds need to know
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!


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  13. #1171

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Plop,

    Plop, plop

    Plop, plop, plop

    Quick, call the doctor. The market may have dysentery.

    Then again, early money is dumb money. If we see a few smirks or EoD smiles we may have a reason to rejoice. My guess is "nope".

    Personally, if I were a CxO of a major company I would just camp it. Why make a move that can be obliterated by a comment or the stroke of a pen or the actions of a regulator. Why spend billions (ok, maybe mere millions) on something that is both legal and politically good right now that will result in your home getting picketed by a hoard of moonbats - or, worse yet, may become politically bad next week. Welcome to the Banana Republic of 'Merica.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  15. #1172

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Doesn't look like a lot of dip buying out there. Still early and the decline is minimal so far. Smart money is EOD, I just looked at dumb money - so, there is that.

    However, if there are minimal institutional, automated, or retail investors buying the dip then the dip shall go on.

    I think the folks are deciding that camping is the best use of their assets.


    Remember one thing: If you are not losing you are gaining. Zero is your hero.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  17. #1173

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by Boghie View Post
    Remember one thing: If you are not losing you are gaining. Zero is your hero.
    You got that right. Best advice ever ! ! !

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  19. #1174

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
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    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Ugh...

    If my two brain cells are still functional and computing, I have lost more (on a percentage basis) YTD this year than I did in 2008.

    All this because I wanted to avoid letting politics play a role in my investing. I left about a third the growth on the table during the Obama presidency because I did not believe in his policies. So, I had someone physically restrain me from making bailout IFTs this year. Now, all I have are the bruises to show for it. Yowser. Wiped out last years gains and working on 2020.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  21. #1175

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,151

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    The market has taken away all of 2021 profits and working on 2020. I'm only 6% away from my ending price of 2019.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #1176

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: This Does NOT feel like a Normal Market

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    The market has taken away all of 2021 profits and working on 2020. I'm only 6% away from my ending price of 2019.
    And, just to think...

    4% is the generally accepted norm for annual distributions from a retirement account. The C-Fund has lost 5+ years of annual retirement distributions.

    Joy to the world.

    On the good side, there has been a nice bounce this morning with dumb money. If smart money follows for a bit of time we might have seen the end of this fun and games. Not betting on it. FED has to raise rates quickly to pull slush money out of the system. That is recessionary. And, with all the unexpected mullah the gubmint shoved out there it will be worse and take a longer time.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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