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Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

  1. #1129

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Watched the action today off and on. This morning I was feeling like taking a dip in the pool. The action was predictable. This evening I'm feeling like with May Brexit vote tomorrow, and most likely a remain vote, markets are gonna be shaky. I'm liking my original thinking. Just wait till we hit 2525 to make the decision. I'm still expecting a major pullback to 2100. This bear is not done. But there will likely be some nice squeezes in there.

    Appreciate your thoughts Mcglives.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  2.  
  3. #1130

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    DAX is looking like it's about to swing Positive. I Fund looks to be a good possibility for the near term. For SPX, 2560 and 2597 are support and resistance–with a bias up per Ira.Over 2597 puts the next stop around 2640.Over that,2700+.Under 2560 means the uptrend is kaput,possibly(likely) the embedded is shot too.

    FS

    DAX.jpg
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  4.  
  5. #1131

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Interesting regarding Brexit vote. I just wonder if a strong "Remain" vote keeps markets, esp European Markets, going higher.
    Bsicallly strengthens the position of the EU, as its strongest challenge or defection attempt falls flat.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  7. #1132

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    That certainly makes sense to me. The unknown for me is whether a No Confidence Vote for PM May also brings a new government. No idea how all that plays in the uncertainty factor. The way I see today is above 2610 is good probably to 2640. If we break below 2580 for even reason, we will see a more severe pull back. If we see a bounce at 2604, I'm guessing it's a positive day.
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  8.  
  9. #1133

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    The Prognosticator Is In:

    From here up to 2641, then down to 2500 area and then up to 2775. From there, a drop from 2775 and buy the dips
    to 2180 in May. I hope i can find this post and see if any of this is even close in May....
    It's always fun to see the market with such clarity...
    UNTIL TOMORROW ARRIVES ...LOL

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  10.  
  11. #1134

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Well, so far so good. The only question is "Do I trust Trump and his tariff relief or not"? I honestly don't know. In the past talk of China and trade has boosted the markets for a few days only to fade away to nothing. I still think this will fade but as of this moment I think we hit 2656 tomorrow. After that, it depends. If for some reason we got above 2674, then I see us headed to the 2700's before the pullback to 2500 region.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


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  13. #1135

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Market's at 2470 BUT...may not make 2674 this am. Also, this am we have israelis shooting into Syria. I smell someone trying to start another war. Because we're in a Fib turn date, a Lunatic turn date, a blood moon day and its getting awful weird out there day. I'm staying out.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  15. #1136

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    Market's at 2470 BUT...may not make 2674 this am. Also, this am we have israelis shooting into Syria. I smell someone trying to start another war. Because we're in a Fib turn date, a Lunatic turn date, a blood moon day and its getting awful weird out there day. I'm staying out.

    FS
    Did you see the year that the lunatic's lunar system put in last year?
    Simply going back and forth every 2 weeks following the lunar cycle would have netted an amazing +1306 Nasdaq points and avoided a loss of 2191 points!
    https://lunatictrader.com/performance/
    That system is off right now though since it says to get back into stocks this coming Wednesday, but I think (thinking hasn't worked for me much lately ) the market is about to start a pullback. Futures are down about a half-percent, no resolution of the partial shutdown...a story is out about how NK has built a new missile base HQ's...maybe bad news will start being bad news again for a while.

    Who knows how big the pullback will be though...just a couple days, or does something more staggering lurk? I'm out until February regardless and happy with my 6% gain for January.
    https://northmantrader.com/2019/01/2...g-soon-retest/

  16.  
  17. #1137

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Did you see the year that the lunatic's lunar system put in last year?
    Simply going back and forth every 2 weeks following the lunar cycle would have netted an amazing +1306 Nasdaq points and avoided a loss of 2191 points!
    https://lunatictrader.com/performance/
    That system is off right now though since it says to get back into stocks this coming Wednesday, but I think (thinking hasn't worked for me much lately ) the market is about to start a pullback. Futures are down about a half-percent, no resolution of the partial shutdown...a story is out about how NK has built a new missile base HQ's...maybe bad news will start being bad news again for a while.

    Who knows how big the pullback will be though...just a couple days, or does something more staggering lurk? I'm out until February regardless and happy with my 6% gain for January.
    https://northmantrader.com/2019/01/2...g-soon-retest/
    I clicked on the link and he has almost 10 years of data. But how does it work? In the market and then totally out until the next phase and during the green phase when is the best time? The beginning, the middle or the end? Since I have some time on my hands I might try adapt it to the "C" fund and see what happens. No promises though.
    May the force be with us.

  18.  
  19. #1138

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Yes, you simply go into stocks at the end of the "red" lunar phase, then get back out on the last day of the green phases. The phases start/end two to four days after new and full moons, usually 3 days. If you're really brave you could even short the market during the red phases (not with the TSP of course, but you'd sit in the G or F funds and make a little money). If you look back at past years this method doesn't always work every year, last year was an exceptionally good year for this method. It just shows how lunar phases affect human psychology somehow, and thus the markets among other things...like how emergency rooms tend to fill up around full moons for example. He sells a software program that will give you the exact dates for decades into the future.

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  21. #1139

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Thanks TS. I am familiar with lunar cycles. That means I've read a little about them. Big Whoop..Woo Woo..
    I currently think we are in a pullback period, although tomorrow will likely see a bounce before the ............
    D
    R
    O
    P


    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

  22.  
  23. #1140

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    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Futures are up...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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