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Thread: FogSailing's Account Talk

  1. #1093

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    You hit on both my reluctance to get in yesterday and my rationalizations for getting in today. However my hopes aren’t quite as high as yours. I will be very happy if we hit 2730ish out of this one. Question in my mind is when is the grinch coming for us.

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  3. #1094

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
    Posts
    3,504

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Thanks for the explanation. I was a little confused because your previous post (#1089) had me thinking you and I are on the same page. This has certainly been a rough year for most of us as evidenced by the number of folks on Autotracker in negative territory. It all seems to be driven by politics lately, whether it's the President arguing with Chuck and Nancy on funding for the border wall, China tariff worries, interest rate hikes, legal problems and on and on and on.

    Anyway, good luck with your trade. I am thinking of an entry tomorrow, but it depends on what the market does in the morning.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  5. #1095

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I really love this chart...its look but not its content. I see a continued downtrend. I'm looking at the longest candle tail in December. Intraday, it was lower than the prior two months of lows. Also, the candle body is lower than the lowest October and November candle. Yikes ..I just see lower lows and lower highs.

    So I'm not seeing a declining triangle as much as I am seeing a declining channel. Long trades are not in the cards right now. Definitely hoping for it to go up to 2780... Looks very possible, but maybe good to exit a day before it gets there to try beating the algo traders. Thinking to start reducing exposure day after we hit 2740. Best wishes FS and to everyone!!!!!!!
    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    It looks like we are in a Declining Triangle which is zigzagging. I think we could see some positive movement up to 2780. But we could just as easily see a continuing decline first. Don't know what path it will take first. But this is a picture of where the market is currently...

    Attachment 43877

    FS
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 12-13-2018 at 12:56 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  7. #1096

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    The longer this drags on the harder it is to pull the trigger to get back in! Always the hardest part of any stock transaction. Getting out was easy. To make money you have to get both sides of the transaction right! Merry Christmas and Good Luck to us all!

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  9. #1097

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
    Posts
    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Two thoughts this am as the IFT deadline approaches:

    What happens with China\US on trade?
    What happens at the FOMC?

    At this moment, My gut says to stay in, at least thru tomorrow. 2780 is as high as i think it goes in the immediate future. More likely 2720, 2730 before a pullback.
    I still see a pullback to under 2604, perhaps 2574 or 2550, just don't know the timeline.
    I agree with DBA, this is not a market to be long in..

    We see what happens when the clock strikes 12!

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  11. #1098

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
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    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Here's a picture i don't like...
    Hope this doesn't happen until later..

    FS

    curve.jpg
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.


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  13. #1099

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
    Posts
    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Oh well...in for a penny, in for a pound...
    There was strong resistance at 2653 that was just pierced.
    Crapola!
    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  15. #1100

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FogSailing View Post
    Oh well...in for a penny, in for a pound...
    There was strong resistance at 2653 that was just pierced.
    Crapola!
    FS
    Feels like a bottoming process to weed weak hands in the morning...rally continues into Friday. S fund will probably pop tomorrow so still 50/50. Been here and done this before. One thing I cannot predict is exterior news like Trump. Still evaluating though as the picture is murky.

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  17. #1101

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Yep ..I THOUGHT S Fund should start moving up at a higher rate than C fund. uggh...S fund down right now -.52% and C fund up .19%.
    hope it improves!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  19. #1102

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Me too! I just feel an C/S rally coming. Could be a blinding light before the train hits u in the tunnel. 😂😂

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  21. #1103

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Valatie, NY
    Posts
    288

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    I took half off the table and went 50% split between c + s. Always appreciate your commentary.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  23. #1104

    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Location
    Phoenix, AZ
    Posts
    3,024

    Default Re: FogSailing's Account Talk

    Given that we've now pierced 2646 (support), the next downward stops are 2623, 2608, 2583, 2571...

    Oh well, here we go with the afternoon fun..

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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