Thread: Malyla's Account Talk

Originally Posted by malyla

I'm all in and hoping the inverse H&S pattern completes with a 5-10% gain into March.

I think a 5-10% gain from here into March is exactly what we'll see...and some smaller gains after that....but there will be a major peak and major pain ahead starting some time this summer (August?) or Fall, with around a 35% bear market possible, the 3rd big one of this century...should last the typical 18 months or so...then it will be smooth sailing for many many years after that and my plan is to stay in stocks once we're though that. Timing that high and the subsequent bottom later on will be near impossible as usual.

Congrats on your retirement! I'm aiming to get there in 3 years or so.

Originally Posted by GUCHI

Maryland congrats on retirement, but can I ask why you decided to go full equities instead of the norm of going to safety?

One reason would be, if you retire relatively early, your retirement account could need to last you a good 25-30 years. Investing too safely could result in you outliving your money.

Originally Posted by weatherweenie

One reason would be, if you retire relatively early, your retirement account could need to last you a good 25-30 years. Investing too safely could result in you outliving your money.

Agreed. I'm not retired yet so I need to get the balance up in my account before I start pulling from it. This website has been a god send as it has really opened my eyes as to what is needed for a financially happy and healthy retirement. 2013 was not a good year for my tsp account balance as I was so busy at work for the whole year that I couldn't spend the time to analysis the market and therefore stayed in safety for much of the year. If I had known that 2013 was a good Buy and Hold year...

With the knowledge I have gathered from some generous souls on this message board, I hope to successfully manage my retirement funds well after my retirement from government service. This is assuming that I do retire. I really love my job even though the work can become all consuming and frustrating at times. Time will tell, but at least I'm secure in the knowledge that I can retire if I want as I have the financial means to do so.

Today is a good day to be in the market. (Even a blind squirrel occasionally finds a nut - Thanks Tom for the inverse H&S pattern nut )

Good luck out there.
Malyla

Originally Posted by Birchtree

Now this is a pleasant surprise - I'll have to keep my profanities in check from here on out. Seriously, welcome to have your input.

"Now this is going to be your first day on a strange planet, so I want you all to dress up snug and warm and no playing with any naughty bug-eyed monsters!"

Happy to be a civilizing voice on the message board.

Well, it was rough these last 5 weeks but I have made just under 4% (may get the extra 0.22% needed today). I'm going to the sidelines until I'm sure we will not have another bounce off the spx high. I may miss the beginning of the inverted H&S run up next week, but I feel a need to take a breather.

The F fund has hit a low area of support, so I'm following JTH and going into the F-fund COB today.

Good Luck everyone.

Going into the I fund for a few days. The F-fund trade did not work out and I believe the market is holding it's breath until the FED signals if they are raising rates in June. Uncertainty can be a good opportunity to make some money or it can lead to disaster. I'll give it a few days to see where this decision lands.

Going 100% G COB today. I made my monthly goal so, to sleep better, I'm going to safety. This market seems to have some room to climb, but I'm out of pocket until the end of the month so no time to monitor the charts. In 10 days I may look back and think I should have stayed in, but I will have been able to give my work 100% of my thoughts by not having 'what the market is doing' on my mind.

Good luck everyone.

Me too.

Saw you and Mr Shekels exit and that confirmed my thoughts on doing the same. Was sitting on the fence for so long this morning I was getting splinters in my a$$ets (lol)

Wow. If only for the day, it appears that I have moved up into the top 10 on the monthly tracker. It's been awhile. That blind squirrel adage really holds.

I'm planning to get back in on April 3 COB. Reason: Seasonal charting and new IFTs.

Looks like you may even move up a couple of slots tomorrow!

Originally Posted by malyla

Wow. If only for the day, it appears that I have moved up into the top 10 on the monthly tracker. It's been awhile. That blind squirrel adage really holds.

I'm planning to get back in on April 3 COB. Reason: Seasonal charting and new IFTs.

Not sure I'll be able to hit the sites next week due to travel, I'll see... 3 April sounds like a good date! I'm pretty high up the tracker as well at this point