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Thread: H1 2022 Concerns

  1. Default H1 2022 Concerns

    Hello everyone,

    New to TSP Talk, however, I decided to post some thoughts and start a thread with my concerns over monetary policy heading into the new year. With many economic indicators, it shows that both economic activity and inflation will soon peak. I believe this will cause a correction in the risk assets and the indices moving forward into the new year. QE and fiscal stimulus created by central banks and government have created a bubble with several asset class systems like crypto, housing, and stocks. I believe, just my thoughts, that we will see a correction in the indices H1 of 2022. My TSP allocation currently is 75% G & 25% S fund as this has corrected enough to see some returns, however, when the major indices correct, these small caps will deflate as well.


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  3. #2

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,148

    Default Re: H1 2022 Concerns

    Mitchcap09,

    Welcome aboard. Let's hope 2022 doesn't kick us in the butt. Good luck to all of us.
    May the force be with us.

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  5. #3

    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Location
    Texas, USA
    Posts
    4,879

    Default Re: H1 2022 Concerns

    Mitch,

    Welcome!
    “There is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side” Jesse L. Livermore

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  7. #4

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Upstate NY
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    3,874
    Blog Entries
    46

    Default Re: H1 2022 Concerns

    Not going to disagree with your small cap outlook. Small cap upside will be hard to maintain if/when rates rise.

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