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Thread: Epic's Account Talk

  1. #541

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    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Epic View Post
    Stephanie always provides great insight.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oM69lt1cLqQ
    ..

    Very insightful, thanks for sharing. I wanted to throw a spotlight on the potential market paradox she describes at the 19:00 minute mark. In her opinion, current market prices are elevated because the market has already priced in future rate cuts by the Fed (pivot) in a reachable time frame. Yet she points out that the Fed is likely to hold rates higher as long as they can get away with, based on their own language. So, when that time frame is reached and the Fed has yet to cut rates, there will be a strong negative reaction in the market, which will likely be the catalyst for the Fed to cut rates.

    In her words:

    "The markets are discounting the pivot before the pain, but the pivot is going to be the consequence of the pain."
    Last Look Report |TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up
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    Disclaimer: This is not advice or a recommendation.

  2.  
  3. #542

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Thanks for the link, watched it last night.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  5. #543

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Good Morning. Here you go. Check Coolhand for his analysis of the NAAIM readings.
    https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
    https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

    NAAIMa.PNG
    NAAIMb.PNG
    AAII5-10-23.PNG

    .
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  7. #544

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Good Morning. Here you go. Check Coolhand for his analysis of the NAAIM readings.
    https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
    https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

    NAAIMa.PNG
    NAAIMb.PNG
    AAII5-17-23.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

  8.  
  9. #545

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    15 minutes till the open. I saw some jumped to G-Fund yesterday for the start of today. That might have been a good choice.
    https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
    5-23-23.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  11. #546

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Just a upscaled shot of S-Fund showing Bollinger Bands.
    Original full chart here >>>>> https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%2...31&a=947506571

    Looks like we've crept above the upper band 4 days in a row. I think Ira says 5 days is normally the max before heading back down to the 20 day average (in this case).
    The 50 and the 20 together will be strong resistance, and the lower band sits at about 1595ish.
    Depending on the Debt Ceiling talks, we could slice through all of that, or maybe not. Black Swan ???


    BB1.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  13. #547

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Epic View Post
    The 50 and the 20 together will be strong resistance
    Correction: I meant to say support and NOT resistance, but you already knew that......

    DOH.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  15. #548

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    30 minutes to go and so much RED out there in Futures. UUGH ....
    https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

    5-24-23.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  17. #549

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Just a upscaled shot of S-Fund showing Bollinger Bands.
    Original full chart here >>>>>
    https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%2...31&a=947506571


    Will the 50 and 20 together hold????


    5-24-23.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.


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  19. #550

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Good afternoon. Here you go. Check Coolhand for his analysis of the NAAIM readings.
    https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
    https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

    naaimA.PNG
    naaimB.PNG
    5-24-23.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

  20.  
  21. #551

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    Futures looking better than the past few mornings. Maybe we can have a nice Holiday Reversal Friday in the Green ??
    https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures

    FUT1.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  23. #552

    Default Re: Epic's Account Talk

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bid...gress-was-made

    Debt ceiling agreement in principle reached between Democrats, Republicans
    The agreement comes just days ahead of Treasury Secretary Yellen's June 5 deadline.
    An agreement in principle has been reached on the debt ceiling, Fox News has learned.
    According to multiple sources, an all GOP House conference call is scheduled to happen at 9:30 p.m. Saturday about the debt limit negotiations. President Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy were scheduled to speak by phone Saturday night at 6 p.m. to discuss a potential debt limit deal, Fox News learned.

    ​So, I wonder what this all really means and how it will play out next week. Will we be Green to the moon come Tuesday morning??? Who gave up what??????

    RR.PNG
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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