Just FYI. Had this for a while but just never posted. For those with accounts outside of TSP. Just a good reference.
Logged off and then logged back on seems to have fixed my attachment display glitch that I was having.
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Like Tom says, the market doesn't repeat history, but sometimes it rhymes. First corollary of chart pattern analysis - once a repeating pattern is identified, it will at that point change.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Just FYI. Had this for a while but just never posted. For those with accounts outside of TSP. Just a good reference.
Logged off and then logged back on seems to have fixed my attachment display glitch that I was having.
Capturepop.PNG
Graphs, Info, and Stuff .....fyi.......
https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey
https://www.naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/
https://twitter.com/MasterPandaWu
AAII
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MPW made an observation a week ago.
Whenever AAII sediment survey gets around 32 / 33% in the Bullish category, the market goes south. It's now at 33.3%, and the Bears have increased slightly. It's happened the past 3 times. Just something else to think about.....
TT.PNG .... TTA.PNG
NAAIM
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naaimB8-17-22.PNG
..
WOOT-WOOT
A little SS FYI for those of you who receive it. I'm not quite there yet. Workin on it.....
From https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal...mmzqg43tcytehe
The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of inflation, increased by 8.5% annually in July, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This was down slightly from 9.1% in June, but remains near its 40-year high.
Because inflation levels remain high, the cost of living average (COLA) for 2023 is predicted to be 9.6%, the highest level since 1981, according to The Senior Citizens League. If inflation rises further in the coming months, COLA could be 10.1% in the year ahead. Whereas if inflation continues to slow, it could be closer to 9.3%.
"A high COLA will be eagerly anticipated to address an ongoing shortfall in benefits that Social Security beneficiaries are experiencing in 2022 as inflation runs higher than their 5.9% COLA," the Senior Citizens League stated.
HERE WE GO . . . . .
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
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https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey
Just FYI .....
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1 hour till JPow speaks from JHole . . . . .
5 Minutes till the Open. We'll see what happens as things unfold......
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
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Feed from JHole >>>>> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bj_3dtE6RKI
So that was it????? He literally didn't say anything of much significance. Just restated the current climate and trajectory of what they plan to do. Nothings changed.
Nothing to see here folks. Business as usual.
The market nosedived, but then snapped right back.
Here we are after. It's Friday, so they'll be some profit taking today.
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
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I guess the hope was that he would say something different. That may be the difference between now and the years of 0% interest rates. This is real. Rates and prices are going up and investors haven't been in this kind of environment in a long, long time. The Fed is supposed to bail out the market, right? Not.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Yeah, I know but the market has been surprisingly (shockingly even) resilient to the FED's tone and rhetoric, seemingly pricing things in and staying ahead of the FED. I expected the same since what he said today was just a repeat of what he's been saying all along. Just a small freak-out, and then almost back to where we started.
Then I go out and try to get some other things done.......come back and take a look.....and BAM !!!! WTF ??? LOL
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
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