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Thread: retread's Account talk

  1. #97

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Holding for hope at 40% in equities. On the weekly chart IWM shows the 20 period (green line, middle of bollinger band) closing in on the 50 period MA (black)and maybe will cross upward over it from below. Last time this happened was in Sept 2020 just before things really took off.
    Screenshot 2023-02-23 102158.png

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  3. #98

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Transports and HYG holding up surprisingly well despite the doom and gloom after Powell. As per usual the market took a turn down right after I allocated more. Trying to stay positive but it's so hard. Really hate these Powell events.

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  5. #99

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Yeah, HYG fell sharply early toward its open gap, which is acceptable, but it's back above its 50-day EMA again. Needs to hold! Also needs to get above 75 to break the bearish flag, which could also create more of a "V" bottom.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  7. #100

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    The normally upbeat Ciovacco is scaring me this week.

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  9. #101

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    LQD has been rising since early March. Bullish divergence?

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  11. #102

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    I think markets are going to explode higher after Powell today and a rally will continue through the end of March (because I am out of IFT's and cannot add in anymore). I think he is going to say what the market wants to hear. He's not going to be doom and gloom on the bank situation because that will make things worse. The banks got their bailouts again, so it's off to the races, until the next headline hits.

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  13. #103

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Quote Originally Posted by retread View Post
    I think markets are going to explode higher after Powell today and a rally will continue through the end of March (because I am out of IFT's and cannot add in anymore). I think he is going to say what the market wants to hear. He's not going to be doom and gloom on the bank situation because that will make things worse. The banks got their bailouts again, so it's off to the races, until the next headline hits.
    That would be nice!! I need a short term rally. I would more likely think we get a hard rally and then a hard sell all in a brief time. 😵*💫

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  15. #104

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Opps, guess I was wrong on that. Since I know "they" watch what I do and say, "they" saw my post and did the opposite (for today). Don't worry, everything will be up by the end of the month. This afternoon was just a fake out. The first reaction after Powell opens his mouth is usually wrong.
    Last edited by retread; 03-22-2023 at 04:55 PM.

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  17. #105

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Very good documentary by Frontline on how monetary decisions since the 2008 Financial Crisis has led us to this ridiculous path we're on right now. Basically it is saying there's no longer a free market. All market action is being controlled by the FED and other central banks (and to some extent this includes political decisions, which is scary). Highly recommend.

    https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/d...of-easy-money/

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  19. #106

    Join Date
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    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Going to check it out this weekend. Thanks
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  21. #107

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    S fund looks like it's about to explode! Just don't see how it can be kept down. Hopefully is won't take off too much til we get our new IFT's next week!

    sc (2).png
    sc (3).png

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  23. #108

    Default Re: retread's Account talk

    Yup. Here we go!


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