Rod, I hear you, loud and clear. I, too, sidestepped 2008 and would like to keep that approach.
Firstly, congrats to those of you who have been reaping the rewards since Monday!
Before then, we were oh so close to that 5% pullback with only 1.87% more to go in the S&P 500 (according to my math). I am still waiting for that pullback. Because if I was to "capitulate" and join you in the funds, then Mr. Market would decide to pullback. I will not give into his beckoning call. Been there, done that, way too times over the years. I'm certain a lot of you have done the same. I IFT'd to (G) a few months+ early before the 2008 crash. But, I hardly missed any gains during that period. I'm hoping to do the same with the eventual pullback (or correction). Only time will tell if I succeed. Be careful out there, especially with the many uncertainties of the coronavirus.
God Bless
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
Rod, I hear you, loud and clear. I, too, sidestepped 2008 and would like to keep that approach.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
We've all been there but by the grace of God.. Lol. I just have a hard time getting back in when it starts to go up... I almost increased my position last Friday... But chickened out.. Then almost went to safety.. Then just decided to hold... Apparently this game isn't really for me... But forced to play...
Sent from my ONEPLUS A6003 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
100% G fund COB 12/22/2023 Was 80%G 20%C
It was a lot easier back in the day when we could IFT in and out of Mr. Market on a daily basis. Two times a month is unreasonable! My advice is to set your entry point, and then go from there. For example, my entry point is a 5% pullback in the S&P. But the difficult thing with that is this: The S&P could rally another 10% from here before that pullback occurs. Then I would have missed out on those gains.
I believe the recent sell-off began on 21 Jan. Therefore, I am waiting for a 5% pullback from there. According to my current math, the S&P is up 0.21% from 21 Jan. So, I am looking for a decline of 5.21% as of now. At least that's how I see things. We shall see what the future holds.
God Bless
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
What more can I say? I continue to be bewildered at Mr. Market's tenacity. But, his days are numbered. But, how many more until his number is up?
I don't pretend to know. But, Cramer has been hinting at it lately. He's certainly smarter at this than I am. At any rate, Feb needs to start living up to its reputation!
God Bless
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
I have a feeling that the coronavirus will finally get Mr. Market's undivided attention when cases eventually become widespread in the USA. I try to watch "Outbreak: Coronavirus" nightly on CNBC. The program updates info/stats. Anyways, tonight's program mentioned a "vaccine could be ready in 18 months." I've also heard that a vaccine might be ready by the Fall. The bottom line is this: No one knows for certain when a vaccine will be made available. Unfortunately, thousands more people are going to die before a vaccine is developed. But fortunately, the number of cases should (supposedly) die down during the warmer months. Until then, it will get (reportedly) a whole lot worse.
Here are the latest stats:
60,017
Confirmed (This number was 12,040 on 1 Feb)
1,357
Dead (This number was 259 on 1 Feb)
5,953
Survived (This number was 283 on 1 Feb)
602,922
Infected (This number was 120,400 on 1 Feb)
Source:
https://virusdanger.com/global.php
God Bless
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
New IFT...
Effective 19 Feb: 100 (F)
God Bless
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
Whew!
Go figure... the day after I bought TSLA @ 852.00 it dropped a whopping 18%! It was the largest one-day drop since 2012! I thought, "Gee! Just my luck!"
Well, I find it very difficult selling at a loss. Furthermore, I knew it would recover. It was just a matter of time. That recovery happened yesterday. As of now, it is trading @ 932.00.
Of course, the roller coaster ride will continue. But, it's been a heckuva hedge against Mr. Market's red days! I'll continue to hold onto TSLA because it really is a fun ride... most of the time.
God Bless!
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
Is that the Tesla Train, or roller-coaster?
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
My longest-held position is ACAD. I bought in @ 1.76 in 2010. It is now trading @ 45.46.
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
I've been sounding this alarm for awhile now... at least for a pullback. But, now they are talking about a correction.
Source:Goldman says market underestimating coronavirus risk: ‘Correction is looking much more probable’
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/19/gold...-probable.html
"Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
||
Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |
Bookmarks