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Thread: Rod's Account Talk

  1. #817

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Going through my market notes for 2008:

    The stock market plummeted 38.5% in 2008.
    That was the worst annual decline since 1937,
    when the stock market fell 38.6%. The stock market
    advanced almost 25% in the year following that
    record decline.
    Wouldn't that be something if 2009 followed suit from 1938???

    What to do...

    What to do...
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  3. #818

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    I must preserve my capital, not my pride.
    At 11:50, I made an IFT to

    100 (F)

    Rod
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

  4.  
  5. #819

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    Going through my market notes for 2008:



    Wouldn't that be something if 2009 followed suit from 1938???

    What to do...

    What to do...

    I will settle for some weekly stability. When that happens, I will be in and it will not be to late. I have been preserving capital since fall of last year. I went to max conserve after losing 21%. That puts me ~30 percent ahead today. lol


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  7. #820

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    What can I say???

    As usual, I exited one day early.

    One thing I will not subject myself to is chasing this bounce, however long-lived it may be... because I will be late getting in.

    Good luck out there.

    Rod
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

  8.  
  9. #821

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    What can I say???

    As usual, I exited one day early.

    One thing I will not subject myself to is chasing this bounce, however long-lived it may be... because I will be late getting in.

    Good luck out there.

    Rod

    Hey Rod,

    You gave it a shot. And that is all it is these day's. I went in 100%

    today. So now I will give it a shot. We all know it is a tough Market. I

    know how you feel though. I've been doing the same thing this year.

  10.  
  11. #822

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by poolman View Post
    Hey Rod,

    You gave it a shot. And that is all it is these day's. I went in 100%

    today. So now I will give it a shot. We all know it is a tough Market. I

    know how you feel though. I've been doing the same thing this year.
    Yep. I sure wish we could hedge our TSP.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

  12.  
  13. #823

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    What can I say???

    As usual, I exited one day early.

    One thing I will not subject myself to is chasing this bounce, however long-lived it may be... because I will be late getting in.

    Good luck out there.

    Rod
    After today, I feel much better about selling on Tuesday. Because if I would have been in yesterday, I would have stayed in until at least today in hopes to catch a follow-through bounce, which never transpired. Had I remained, my account would be lower now than what I sold off at. So yeah, I feel vindicated. But still, I'm very ticked at myself. I'm not ticked that I tried playing the bear, but that I played with 100% of my account. That's a very dangerous proposition in today's environment.

    I need to keep the greed in-check.

    Rod
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  15. #824

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    I'll probably not use 50% any more...

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  17. #825

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    Yep. I sure wish we could hedge our TSP.
    You hedge your TSP with an outside account with some inverse and/or other metals, commodities ETFs, or shorting. Pretty much a prerequisite in this environment and possibly going forward for the next several years for all FERS employees.

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  19. #826

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FUTURESTRADER View Post
    You hedge your TSP with an outside account with some inverse and/or other metals, commodities ETFs, or shorting. Pretty much a prerequisite in this environment and possibly going forward for the next several years for all FERS employees.
    Already doing that.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  21. #827

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    Arrow Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by KevinD View Post
    I'll probably not use 50% any more...
    When I'm bottom fishing, it will be no more than 10%.

    I need some accountability on that!
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

  22.  
  23. #828

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    So we have the lows going back to September 1996 - so that's not too bad. The years of 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, were all good years to be invested - not that matters now, or does it. I wouldn't worry about the NFP number tomorrow - we still have over 75% more people working since 1982. Bring on 600/6000 and watch the fireworks that develope.


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