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Thread: Rod's Account Talk

  1. #1441

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    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Buy American Coffee! Black Rifle Coffee Co.
    100% S COB 18 May; was 100% G COB 31 Mar; was 100% S COB 24 Feb; was 100% G COB 08 Feb;

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  3. Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Buy American Coffee! Black Rifle Coffee Co.
    It is great coffee!! Our favorite.

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  5. #1443

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    Thumbs up Re: Rod's Account Talk

    My favorite coffee is Community Coffee's "Coffee and Chicory." I've been drinking it since my wife's uncle sent me some in 2009 while I was deployed to Iraq.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  7. #1444

    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Thank you Rod for pointing to the Pivot Point Trading vid from Nuut. (that was you right, or CH. Sorry if I'm posting wrong. cant go back. You are all SO excellent!!) However your Seeking Alpha link of 3/29 was an eye opener. Both help to confirm grave hesitation. Be out for awhile and definitely heeding your caution signals. Thanks for coming back on btw.
    Last edited by wahinepio; 04-02-2020 at 06:43 PM.

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  9. #1445

    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Aloha Mcqlives, thanks for pointing out Nuut's posts. I get turned around in here and would've def not found that. I thoroughly appreciate y'alls expertise and am ashamed to admit I have to look up everything y'all share. But hey maybe I'll learn something by the time the economy shapes back up? Not holding my breath. Looks bad, downright SCARY.

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  11. #1446

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    Thumbs up Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by wahinepio View Post
    ...am ashamed to admit I have to look up everything y'all share. But hey maybe I'll learn something by the time the economy shapes back up? Not holding my breath. Looks bad, downright SCARY.
    We all had to start somewhere... as you are first now doing. There is no shame in that at all. Anyways, I'm still looking stuff up myself. Remember, a good investor is always learning, and sharing with others what they've learned.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  13. #1447

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    Question Re: Rod's Account Talk

    As of now, weekend futures aren't looking too bad. Dow is down 125:

    https://www.ig.com/en/indices/market...nd-wall-street

    Although I'm waiting for the lows to be retested, I'm contemplating if I want to position myself for the "Cuomo FOMO" rally that I wrote about on 1 Apr. There is already talk of the case count slowing in NY (see link below). Might even be a mini rally off of that news should it become official anytime soon.

    https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/...60171249917952

    But, the hospitalization/death rate will lag that and purportedly peak in 2 weeks. Furthermore, as the case count slows in NY, it will rise substantially in other states such as LA, FL, CA, and TX, to name a few. Therefore, it will be a short-lived rally.

    So, when might Mr. Market react to (and likely rally to) the news that NY has peaked? As of now, (and subject to change), it could be the week of 20-24 Apr. Hopefully we'll have a retest of the lows by then. If so, a lot of us would have already positioned ourselves to catch the "Cuomo FOMO" rally.

    God Bless
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  15. #1448

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    Question Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Last week, the talking heads said that NY's peak was likely 2 weeks away- the reason for my last post. Now there is talk of NY possibly already hitting that peak...

    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/n...rk-update.html

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/05/stoc...lose-news.html

    New York State reported 594 new coronavirus deaths on Sunday, fewer than 630 on Saturday, marking the first daily decline in coronavirus-related deaths, according to Governor Andrew Cuomo.

    “Incoming data suggests NY state might peak sooner than Cuomo’s optimistic case,” Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, said in a note to clients.
    Perhaps we are now seeing that "Cuomo FOMO" rally. If so, I'll simply miss out because my chasing days are over with. At any rate, if NY is indeed peaking, then expect the news to shift its focus away from NY and on to the nation's newest hot spots, thus renewing negative sentiment.

    Quote Originally Posted by Rod View Post
    As of now, weekend futures aren't looking too bad. Dow is down 125:

    https://www.ig.com/en/indices/market...nd-wall-street

    Although I'm waiting for the lows to be retested, I'm contemplating if I want to position myself for the "Cuomo FOMO" rally that I wrote about on 1 Apr. There is already talk of the case count slowing in NY (see link below). Might even be a mini rally off of that news should it become official anytime soon.

    https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/...60171249917952

    But, the hospitalization/death rate will lag that and purportedly peak in 2 weeks. Furthermore, as the case count slows in NY, it will rise substantially in other states such as LA, FL, CA, and TX, to name a few. Therefore, it will be a short-lived rally.

    So, when might Mr. Market react to (and likely rally to) the news that NY has peaked? As of now, (and subject to change), it could be the week of 20-24 Apr. Hopefully we'll have a retest of the lows by then. If so, a lot of us would have already positioned ourselves to catch the "Cuomo FOMO" rally.

    God Bless
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  17. #1449

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    Exclamation Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Remember back in Jan and Feb when I was screaming from the top of my lungs that the global "sky was falling" during China's coronavirus crisis, but no one paid any attention because they were mesmerized by The Bull?

    Well, I'm bellowing again.

    Be careful out there.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7


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  19. #1450

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    Lightbulb Re: Rod's Account Talk

    My money is on a W-shaped recovery.

    And we're nearly half way there... V.

    Now, get ready for the second V in the near future.

    A W-shaped recession is painful because many investors, who jump back into the markets after they believe the economy has found a bottom, end up getting burned twice—once on the way down, and again after the false recovery.
    https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w...d-recovery.asp
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  21. Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    I think you are right. Just don't understand what is driving this market up when all indications show that we are not out of the woods yet and the economy is grinding to a halt.

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  23. #1452

    Default Re: Rod's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Beester15 View Post
    I think you are right. Just don't understand what is driving this market up when all indications show that we are not out of the woods yet and the economy is grinding to a halt.
    Bullshit. That is what is driving it up. Bullshit from everywhere except the epidemiologists.

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