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Thread: LTJPFED's Account Talk

  1. #49

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Horrible decision to sell today into this weakness. Looks like I will give back more than I hoped for. Oh well. All I can now is to try and do better next month....

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  3. #50

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    904

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    You are not alone. I thought about getting out yesterday, but the action just prior to the cut-off fed my greed and I went into the evening very happy. But, what a difference a day makes. My only concern now is if I should have exited completely today or if my 50% strategy will pay off.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  5. #51

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    1st IFT 60G 40C
    Not sure if today was the day to dip toes over but I am going for it. I am not 100% confident of this move and that is why I am only doing 40%. IF we drop further or have additional declines perhaps I'll add more or the rest to C. I feel like it is the better performing fund at the moment.

    Best of luck all!

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  7. #52

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    That was a quick stay, moved 100G today. In review all the charts and information having at my disposal and my own gut instinct, which could be wrong lol, I felt like today was the day to get back into G. If we move up a few percentage points from here before another pull back I won't be shocked, that is what the markets do. We zig it zags. Anyway I hope you guys all did better in April than I did but just was not feeling super optimistic about breaking to the upside like we did but then when I thought we would move up I jumped in and it has been relatively flat....ugh. So back in G until May and hopefully get some better opportunities. Best of luck!

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  9. #53

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    New Allocation COB-
    20%- G
    30%- C
    40%- S
    10%- I

    Wanted to make a move last week but was on vacation and didn't have my normal research time. So did some quick reviewing of last weeks data. Quite a bit to go through. Anyway, not 100% confident in putting 100% allocation back in but feel this move gives me a chance to get some action, good or bad, over the next week or so. I hope it is a good call. Still giving myself a small amount to move more in on any pullbacks beyond today. Hope all is well with everyone!

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  11. #54

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    So instead of bailing on this I added the rest of my 20% back over to C and I. I'm rolling the dice. So new allocation is 40-C 40-S and 20-I by COB. I didn't think I would be using that dry powder to move more within a couple days but oh well. Now lets just hope we bounce off these levels the rest of the week and into the rest of May. Fingers crossed!


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  13. #55

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Sorry I didn't post yesterday on my move. I was in meetings all morning up through lunch. I did manage to get a IFT done however. I moved 75-G but kept 10-C 10-S and 5-I. In hindsight probably should have stood pat. I actually didn't look at a couple things I wanted to like seasonality for example. Anyway I just wasn't very confident in the move to begin with into C, S and I but made a small amount, nothing to get excited about but hey it wasn't a loss. So now I still have a small percentage out there in the markets and not sure which way we could go. If we break lower I could move the rest back to G or if we move higher obviously I would get a little more gain for May. I am happy with myself that I chose to do May the way I did. I liked waiting until we got into the month to see the landscape. The talking heads on TV really do not help much. I have gotten so much more information from this site and the videos that some have posted, which I now religiously watch every morning over coffee. Well, except for busy days at work like yesterday.

    Anyway, I could see that melt up that some are discussing but a couple of the charts do not make me think that could happen. End of the month, holiday weekend approaching, we could see light markets but again some are suggesting that melt up phase beginning. I am not sure I agree. I think we could see a bit more range bound activity in all charts. Perhaps the C fund could move up but S doesn't look that great and I believe a couple of the charts have formed bear flags. Of course I'm not the expert. The I fund has been interesting. I wish I would have jumped in before I did because it did move up to the top of the channel yesterday. I moved out yesterday just because I felt like it could pull back to mid or low part of that range because the dollar could see a move back up. Not saying it's at a low by any means. The Nasdaq looked like a bear flag had formed but it broke above that and so I think maybe that was negated. Who knows maybe the Nasdaq takes the markets higher into June.

    I do hope we explode higher, for those who are 100% in the markets. I root for everyone. My step son is in the military somewhere in the world and occasionally we discuss the TSP. He is kicking my butt at the moment and is up about 8 or 9% on me. But I have managed to claw back a little bit, it was worse than that lol. I am looking forward to what the rest of the week holds and going into June. I am hopeful to keep my small portion invested into C, S and even the I fund, although again I could see I and S funds pulling back a bit more going into June.

    Best of luck all!!

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  15. #56

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Moved today~ feel like I've been worse than a snail in my TSP, of course that happens when you are in G lol.

    Anyway no earth shattering insight from me, just been looking for a 2-3 day pull back to dip my toes back in and here we are. Wish the markets continued to the downside this afternoon but not sure that will happen. All the Rainbow and Butterfly speakers will be on at noon on CNBC so I'm sure the markets all turn back to green. Those guys and gals drive me crazy. Never a bad day in the markets in their eyes. Regardless I feel like this is the opportunity I was looking for. I couldn't jump all in because if we do have further weakness in the coming days I would like some in my pocket to move more over into C and S. I am more confident, is that a thing lol, in C not breaking too much further down so I'm putting a bit more in C. S looks like it could break a little further before support so I'm not as confident in S but sure wish I was and hope I'm wrong. Those moves in S can be wild some days. Love the charts that ALL of our frequent posters put up. They really do help in furthering my research and decisions. Putting everything together this morning I'm making my 1st move for August, hope I'm not trying to catch that falling knife.

    So at COB I'm: 35-G 40-C 25-S

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  17. #57

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Moved to 100% G COB. Small gain for the month and I will take it. I thought about adding to S, part of me thinks S might break out even more from here but not confident, or even just scaling back to small % in C and S but end of the month and uncertainties keep me from feeling all giddy about things. This may sound counterintuitive but I would rather go into typically one of the worst months for returns with 100% G and see what happens as September unfolds. If I miss a couple percentage points move so be it but if I am in safety and avoid that 5-10% pullback that some are still calling for then I will sleep better lol. Who knows when/if that happens. Markets can move quickly but then again it moves at a snails pace when some of the experts are calling for something big and it doesn't materialize for months. Some are saying S&P 5k (didn't catch their timeframe), IDK but if that is the case there is still plenty of time to find another entry point.

    Best wishes all!
    This is what I had ready to go and then saw DBA's charts and was going to 2nd guess myself. I'm going with my gut and all back to G.

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  19. #58

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Bit the bullet and went 100%S. I don't particularly feel great about it but feel like the day will end down again and maybe we catch a relief next week. Was going to only do a portion but it is end of month so going into October with both moves available so we'll see what next month holds.

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  21. #59

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Decided to go back to G. 100% G. No particular reasoning other than keeping the gains for this month intact. Still have 1 move if I want to jump back out of G before month end so we'll see how things play out.
    Have a great weekend everyone!

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  23. #60

    Default Re: LTJPFED's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by LTJPFED View Post
    Decided to go back to G. 100% G. No particular reasoning other than keeping the gains for this month intact. Still have 1 move if I want to jump back out of G before month end so we'll see how things play out.
    Have a great weekend everyone!
    Agreed…moved 75 to G. There could be one to two more up days. I have achieved my target. Earnings season in swing now so left 25 percent in for pocket change. 😬👍

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