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Thread: djlc86 Account Talk

  1. #37

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Well, I decided to go from 100C to 100G a few minutes ago. If market holds on the day, I'll be up over 4% for the month, only having spent 2 days in the market. Only another 4% this year and I'll recover my losses from last year

    I still think we have some upside to go, but didn't want to risk a 4%+ month, they don't grow on trees you know?!?! I hope I am not missing a huge wave up. I still think we will move a little bit lower before another wave back up, at least I hope that's the case. Also, kicking myself for not being 100S lol.

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  3. #38

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    904

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    I’m with you. 100% G as of COB today.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  5. #39

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    SP500 gets down around 2563 early in trading today and is back to around even.....I guess there is no bad news anymore.....throw all the negatives out the window....

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  7. #40

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Citi....JP Morgan and WF all report somewhat disappointing revenue numbers....JP Morgan largest bank in the country hasn't missed on revenue in 15 quarters.....markets don't care.....irrational I tell you

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  9. #41

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Will the upward movement ever stop?

    So I have a long ways to go until retirement, but I enjoy reading up on the topic. Anybody on here retired and living in PA? I've read that PA doesn't recognize federal exceptions for taking 401(k)/TSP distributions before 59.5 years old (Fed gives exception to folks who put in 30+ years at retired at their MRA)? PA taxes you on your 401(k)/TSP contributions (kind of in the spirit of a ROTH retirement vehicle), but doesn't tax your withdrawals, so it doesn't make sense to me that they would penalize you for withdrawing before 59.5, since they've already got their take upfront, why wouldn't they honor the federal exceptions?

    Anyone have any first hand experience in regards to this?

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  11. #42

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Well back in January I got out of C fund around 2549 on SP500, so I did indeed miss most of the wave up. But I got back in earlier this month when the market dipped a couple days in a row, losing a little over 1% in total, with SP500 sitting at 2706.05, so I have ridden the latest wave up to recoup some gains. The SP500 is definitely up against some strong resistance around the 2800 mark, I'm looking to make a move here soon with the negative seasonality coming into play, I guess I'll play it by ear. I would love to already be in the C or S fund come March (to maximize my use of 2 IFTs), but I might try out the F fund in the coming days.

    I was watching CNBC Fast Money yesterday and they had an interesting segment about the last 8 weeks of gains, something along the lines of since 1920 (or whatever date a long time ago close to that) there have only been 13 occasions where over an 8 week period the market has returned 10%+ (a 0.2% chance of occurrence), and that in the weeks that followed this 8 week period the market went down about 2.5% over the next 3 months. So as we all are expecting this rally has to hit exhaustion at some point and experience some sort of pullback or some kind of downward movement at some point.

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  13. #43

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    I stuck it out through the negative seasonality and I did lose a little, but not too much over the last few days in the C. I made an IFT to 100S yesterday before noon (2nd IFT for FEB, so I have 2 full IFTs for March ) but forgot to update the AT until today, so that will be off a little bit.

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  15. #44

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Went 100% I fund on 3/14, looking to stay here for a little bit. Liking 100% I for April too given its excellent historical performance.

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  17. #45

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    I haven't posted in my thread in a long time. Currently sitting 100% in the S fund. Up 23.28% YTD, slightly lower than what the Autotracker shows (missed an IFT here and there). I missed first 10-12% wave down back in March luckily, but got caught in the 2nd wave down, so I threw all seasonality stuff out the window pretty much and have been sitting either 100C or 100S since then. PIP ending 10/31/2020 shows 17.53%. Hoping market doesn't trend too far down before the end of the year.


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  19. #46

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    12,148

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Great job.

    Unfortunately I road that March wave down to a minus 30% but have been able to ride back to a positive 16%. Hope the rest of the year we can continue running with the bulls.
    May the force be with us.

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  21. #47

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    May the Bulls run wild a la Jordan and Pippen in the 90s

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  23. #48

    Default Re: djlc86 Account Talk

    Well the bulls are continuing to run wild, and I was happy to see that given I was 100S the entirety of November, sold to 100G on Mon Nov 30. Looking for a pullback here, but market continues its strength so far in December. CNN Fear and Greed Index sitting at 87, actually down from 91 last week. I'm looking to get back into market later this month for the Santa rally, but would prefer that happen after a pullback.

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