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Thread: TopNotch Account Talk

  1. #97

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Rod that would be interesting. I am hoping for some chugging and then markets to continue the climb? As always take one day at a time. Weekly charts for the one's I track are at an interesting point and I am looking forward to the next two weeks for direction. Weekly video is out.



    Currently 40% C and 60% S
    IFT's left for July 1
    Yearly return 1.19%% (auto) 1.35% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  3. #98

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Still ahead of the stock funds this week but what a roller coaster of a week. Really feeling the only two moves per month. Also getting the end of the day pricing is hurting me more this year than any other year. Happy where I am at but markets need to pick a direction and go with it.


    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for July 0
    Yearly return 2.69% (auto-tracker) 2.82% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  5. #99

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Here we are in the middle of August and we are talking about possibly all time highs? How did that happen? Pretty important to always pay attention to markets. I thought the recovery would of taken a year at least. My long term charts still didn't have a positive vibe till last week so my 4% gain on the C fund disappeared as I decided to mitigate risk and ensure to not lose anything that I had gained while ahead of markets. It cost me a little but overall very happy of where I sit and still above the S and I funds for the year. Where do you think market will go from here?


    Currently 40% C 60% S
    IFT's left for August 1
    Yearly return 2.73% (auto-tracker) 4.97% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch


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  7. #100

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    I am 100S and am not seeing any indicators (other than the news) that says it is time to pull it out. I am new at this game but learning from everyone on this site. 7/10 of top 10 on Autotracker are in (although MRJ jumped out on FRI), VIX is low, Coolhand points out NAAIM is at a high (Smart money?), BQUAT charts show midterm channel still appears to be intact - although upward slope is less and stochastics dipped below 80?, TSPTalk survey is bullish, moving averages provide support. I am looking for the signs and resisting the gut instinct that says this just can't last with everything going on in the world...

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  9. #101

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    MMM Some good points indeed Flalaw97. Long term charts still look good for C and S. Weekly stock review is out. Do you guys think elections will have any effect this year on markets?



    Currently 40% C 60% S
    IFT's left for Aug 1
    Yearly return 2.36% (auto-tracker) 5.64% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  11. #102

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    What a week, what a ride, what a crazy year. Like most I don't know how the 2020 story will end but I will keep watching the trends. Who would of thought if you bought the 10% dip the markets would go down another 15% to 20% and who would of guessed markets would be up only a few months later?!?! Loss most of my advantage on the C fund mitigating risk this summer. But finally got above the fund that has been leading all year that F fund! Beating all funds now accept the C and only lag by a percent. Enjoy the video!


    Currently 60% S 40% C
    IFT's left for August 1
    Yearly return 5.34%% (auto-tracker) 8.46% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  13. #103

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Well what looked like a good week went south in a hurry. Question is how far south will it go? I am pretty happy with my 31st TSP move. Glad I have two moves for September still. I am also ahead of markets again and really don't want to lose my advantage. Hopeful to get in at a good point later this month. Also with elections though I may want to hold my gains. We will see. What are your thoughts on the rest of the year?


    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for September 2
    Yearly return 5.34%% (auto-tracker) 8.47% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  15. #104

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Weekly Markets are doing some interesting things. Have a lot of info for the charts this week. A lot of it comes from Ciovacco. They do some good work. I think we are at a point of indecision will bonds that have been on top most the year beat out stocks not only for the near term but for the next couple of years? Or will stocks be able to overcome? We got an election coming up so for me it would be good to stay on the side and finish the year strong with what I have earned. I and markets have come a long way and pretty happy with the gains. TopNotch is now beating all TSP funds and the S&P 500 for this year at this point.


    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for September 2
    Yearly return 5.35%% (auto-tracker) 8.47% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  17. #105

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by TopNotch View Post
    I think we are at a point of indecision will bonds that have been on top most the year beat out stocks not only for the near term but for the next couple of years? Or will stocks be able to overcome?
    My opinion... as long as the Fed keeps interest rates at historic lows, the market will keep going up. Money is essentially free to borrow, so the big banks are taking as much of it as they can and pumping it into the markets. Weakness gets bought up quick. Can't fight the Fed...

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  19. #106

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    That is a good point bmneveu
    charts did break down pretty good earlier this year though.

    Markets for September have not been as kind as they were in August. September has always been a weak month historically for charts. If the C fund stays below the 50 moving avg this week. I would trend lightly. The longer a market stays below or above a trend line or move avg the more significant it becomes.


    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for September 2
    Yearly return 5.37%% (auto-tracker) 8.50% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

  20.  
  21. #107

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    Had a great trading week for TopNotch was about to stay in the green and earn about 1.00% for the week. TopNotch outperformed all weekly TSP returns and I am currently outperforming all monthly and yearly TSP returns! Had a great swing trade this month!

    I hope for a relief rally for 2% to 6% before charts continue down to the 200 day move avg. Do you agree with me? Enjoy the video!



    Currently 50% C and 50% S
    IFT's left for September 0
    Yearly return 6.38%% (auto-tracker) 9.54% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch

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  23. #108

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    Default Re: TopNotch Account Talk

    What a crazy year! Happy to be on top so far. Hoping the fourth quarter will be a good one for stocks. Historically it is. For September TopNotch was able to pull out a 3% gain! Enjoy the video.



    Currently 100% G
    IFT's left for October 1
    Yearly return 8.40%% (auto-tracker) 12.59% (my tracker)
    -Top
    TopNotch


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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
TopNotch Account Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
TopNotch Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
TopNotch Account Talk
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BND (F Fund) (delayed)
TopNotch Account Talk
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