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Thread: Exnavyew's Account Talk

  1. #637

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk


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  3. #638

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    Simply FYI:

    Why Helium Could Be The Hottest Commodity Play Of 2022

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-h...010000158.html

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  5. #639

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    Time to 'flee to the G'??:

    Fed Seen Delivering One of the Most Hawkish Pivots in Years

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-s...140000815.html


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  7. #640

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk


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  9. #641

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    FWIW:

    Here’s How the Market Breadth Behaves Before a Stock Market Crash

    https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/m...113842940.html

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  11. #642

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    FWIW:
    Here's Where the Charts and Data Say the Market Is Headed Next

    https://realmoney.thestreet.com/mark...o&cm_ven=YAHOO

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  13. #643

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk



    FWIW:

    It’s December 1999 Based on the NYSE Shares Touching New Lows

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/decem...215249905.html

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  15. #644

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    The I-Fund did well in Dec/2021. Beats me why. Any ideas anyone?


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  17. #645

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    It wasn't the dollar since that is up for the the month. Maybe the International large caps did well in sympathy with the U.S. large caps?
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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  19. #646

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
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    Posts
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    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    Since 2004, for whatever reason the I fund has been the best fund for the month of December by a pretty good margin. So it's no surprise, just seasonality.
    For the month of January, the S fund has been the best fund since 2004, and the I fund does terribly, in fact it has a negative return overall in January for the period from 2004-20.
    "The stock market is like a gambling casino where the odds are rigged in favor of the players." - Oskar Morgenstern

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  21. #647

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Tsunami View Post
    Since 2004, for whatever reason the I fund has been the best fund for the month of December by a pretty good margin. So it's no surprise, just seasonality.
    For the month of January, the S fund has been the best fund since 2004, and the I fund does terribly, in fact it has a negative return overall in January for the period from 2004-20.
    Interesting. Is this info on the TSP website or elsewhere? Thanks.

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  23. #648

    Default Re: Exnavyew's Account Talk

    Here are the monthly winning fund counts from 2001 to 2021 ordered from most wins to least.

    Jan 8S 8F 2G 2I 1C
    Feb 8S 4I 4G 3F 2C
    Mar 9S 5C 3F 2I 2G
    Apr 10I 4S 3C 3F 1G
    May 11S 4F 4I 1C 1G
    Jun 9S 5G 3F 3I 1C
    Jul 6F 6S 4C 3I 2G
    Aug 7F 7S 3I 2G 2C
    Sep 8I 4F 4S 4G 1C
    Oct 7S 5C 4I 4G 1F
    Nov 11S 6C 2F 1G 1I
    Dec 11I 5S 2G 2F 1C
    As you can see the I Fund wins in December over half the time while the S Fund takes January about 40% of the time.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2022
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%


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Exnavyew's Account Talk
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