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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3841

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    This just in! Be prepared for a fresh round of Taper Tantrums from the market... good new for the economy will be bad news for the market

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/powel...100000099.html
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #3842

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So the market may have some short term weakness... it's 11 February. Assuming only 1 IFT left to exit (or exit in many small bits), would post weakness bullish movement through the end of the month exceed the potential weakness? i.e. jump out to avoid a 4% drop, only to miss 5% in gains (following recovery of the 4% drop). Get it?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #3843

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    NAAIM jumped from 79 up to 110 today. VIX is very low, Slo Stochastics show S and C still embedded, still in upward channels. I think this is another November or at least December trending up for the month. I am staying in to beef up the gains until it shows it is really going down. Can absorb 3 to 4% drop, given the gains already? Good luck!


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  7. #3844

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by flalaw97 View Post
    NAAIM jumped from 79 up to 110 today. VIX is very low, Slo Stochastics show S and C still embedded, still in upward channels. I think this is another November or at least December trending up for the month. I am staying in to beef up the gains until it shows it is really going down. Can absorb 3 to 4% drop, given the gains already? Good luck!
    Exactly my strategy, though hopefully.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  9. #3845

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    My 11 Feb post is being put to the test. Of course, this approach is market environment dependent; in this case high liquidity, stimulus, etc. supporting the market.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #3846

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    ...and awaaaaayyyy we go!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  13. #3847

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    C'mon dip buyers, step it up...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3848

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Bang! Zoom! To the moon!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #3849

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Interpreting the bottom tails as strength and dip buyers stepping up; there is a pattern of higher lows... Ira E. was saying that the spike in bond rates will shake the market as higher returns can draw folks to a more stable means to get returns and leave equities, but that this should stabilize once the market realizes this isn't a bad thing. I held in S not having another IFT to re-enter; this drawdown/pullback lasting a few more days than anticipated (was optimistic we would be on the upswing a day or two earlier). Sitting tight, have a great weekend everyone!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  19. #3850

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    BOOM!!!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #3851

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Liftoff?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #3852

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Liftoff?
    Not so much...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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