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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3781

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Checking in from the bottom of the AT, fifth from the bottom, I think I've been as high as #3, so I've run the gamut. Just waiting for the next market crash for an entry point.
    Yep, I as well. I keep telling myself not to chase, but dang it is tough to watch this market go up, up, up. Must remain patient.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  3. #3782

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    S fund is outside the upper bollinger band on the weekly and the monthly, which means it should be dropping to fall back inside the bands. Should be... What are the odds of a post holiday reversal?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #3783

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Not sure but RSI is above 70... Doesn't usually stay up there long. Of course no telling what happens... thinking to pull my 35% S fund. But will see... just not sure whether I should let it ride.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  7. #3784

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    95% of the time statistically all funds are within the Bollinger bands. No way I would be in S after tomorrow; historically, with this climate, we should see a selloff begin Friday (trading day 5 and week 3 above the Bollinger band) on Friday. The question then becomes, buy Friday or wait until Monday if you are holding all your moves for the month. if you look back, the week after T.G. up until December 06 is weak.

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  9. #3785

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I should have held on in Nov, the rocket ride started the day after I bailed. Had that been the case, I'd likley be holding in equities, as the odds of dropping down to the last low (my superlatively timed exit) I think is likely small. But, there are several gaps out there. James48843 makes many good points. But, then again, what do I know being near rock bottom on the tracker.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #3786

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    This is an interesting article. Also, possibly some topping action taking place... WDIK.

    a-severe-drop-is-imminent-this-3-musketeers-stock-market-is-signaling-says-contrarian-strategist

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-...?mod=home-page
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  13. #3787

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I feel as though capitulation is upon me. What does that mean? Jump in and the crash occurs! I am amazed at the strength, all things considered. The weekly is outside of the BB, relative strength is waning, stochs are maxed out and saying exit, the potential for major political upheaval looms large. Hmmmmmmmmmmm.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3788

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Well, here it is... weakness. May only be today? A few of the Market Vids indicate further gains until January, then watch out. May enter today, or tomorrow... Certainly thought the covid spikes and more lock downs would have had a greater impact.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #3789

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Could just put a little in? That way you don't feel like you're missing out and when it comes crashing down (which it will, we're red-lining now on a lot of indicators!) you won't hurt as bad and then can go to G if it looks like it's going to continue to be really bad.


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  19. #3790

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    100% S COB. Geronimo! >.< God help me.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #3791

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Tom, I understand monetizing the site, but the pop up ad that spawns when clicking on the 'forum' button in the header menu is a bit much.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #3792

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    If you don't yet have a TSP.gov user ID, you will. I was forced to set that up today before making my IFT. That and the phone delivery of the one time code - which is my work phone, which is a land line (so a robo-woman reads me the numbers ), which is no help if I'm not at work. Need to see if it will let me choose among different phones!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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