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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3457

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Hampton Roads, VA
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    3,738

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Did 400 or so names fall off the AutoTracker? I'm still sucking bilge water at the bottom of the list... I guess that's why I noticed, thought I did something incredible and jumped from #1068 to #669!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #3458

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    There is a note down there about "Hidden = User has not logged in for at least 180 days."

    I'm guessing they got booted off. I better go login just in case.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  5. #3459

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Did 400 or so names fall off the AutoTracker?
    After a year of being idle accounts get hidden and I believe May was a significant month for reactivating a lot of accounts a year ago.

    Two years and the account is deleted.

    AutoTracker Rules - and how to get started
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #3460

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Dow stumbles 390 points lower to end down sharply as report throws cold water on Moderna's coronavirus vaccine

    Harrumph!


    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/do...&mod=home-page
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  8.  
  9. #3461

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Whipsaw reporting from the sub-basement... Futures are UP!

    Maybe I can get my account balance moving in the right direction...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  10.  
  11. #3462

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
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    12,186

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Whipsaw reporting from the sub-basement... Futures are UP!

    Maybe I can get my account balance moving in the right direction...
    Everything looked good yesterday until about the last hour.
    May the force be with us.

  12.  
  13. #3463

    Join Date
    Jun 2004
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    In Your Imagination...
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    4,385

    Arrow Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    Everything looked good yesterday until about the last hour.
    IKR? I looked at DWCPF around 1450 and it was up close to 1%. I looked at it again about 10 min later only to see the plunge. Ticked me off because it was doing so good all day long.

    Monday, MRNA rallies the market.

    Tuesday, MRNA rattles the market.

    Mr. Market always reacts to the headlines before digging into the meat of them.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  15. #3464

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Confession: My major shortcoming - neglecting to set a stop. While we can't put in stop on a trade in the TSP site, we can have a mental stop. If breached, bail to G, fall back and regroup. Hopefully others can learn from my mistake (maybe I'm the only one? ). So, for DWCPF, 1150 would be a point to bail if breached, as there is support there, and would be a significant change in direction, busting the lower side of the channel... thoughts?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #3465

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Confession: My major shortcoming - neglecting to set a stop. While we can't put in stop on a trade in the TSP site, we can have a mental stop. If breached, bail to G, fall back and regroup. Hopefully others can learn from my mistake (maybe I'm the only one? ). So, for DWCPF, 1150 would be a point to bail if breached, as there is support there, and would be a significant change in direction, busting the lower side of the channel... thoughts?
    I'm in the same boat brother. Add to that riding the drop all the way down and then bailing at or near the bottom. Then the real frustrating part is not re-engaging when the market bounces back and missing the opportunity to regain those losses. I think for myself, greed keeps me in a declining market and fear keeps me out of a rising market. DBA is very good at getting out when things are not going well and may throw her two cents into the conversation. I think we can all learn something from setting personal stops no matter which way the market is moving.

    Good luck with your latest trade!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark


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  19. #3466

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    Feb 2013
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So Whipsaw, you've got my attention about these stops. DWCPF at 1150, puts it just above the 50 DMA. Seems a long way to go for a stop considering DWCPF closed at 1305 today. I was thinking more along the lines of a percentage, say if it drops 2% then bail or maybe if it drops two days in a row, bail. I admit, I am not up on putting in stops and should probably educate myself, so any thoughts on the subject you want to share would be most appreciated.

    P.S. We did good today. Let's hope we get more of the same tomorrow.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  21. #3467

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    Apr 2008
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    Cleveland, Ohio
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    12,186

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Wow! I haven't heard anyone talking about stops in a long time.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #3468

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So I did a little reading on stops this evening (that's why there's no Best Fund/Worst Fund this evening). There were a number of examples of how to set a stop. One particularly interested me stating a stop could be initiated when the days closing price fell below the 10 day moving average. Long ago, I created a spreadsheet that tracks the 10, 20, 50 and 100 day moving average as well as the days closing price for F, C, S and I funds. It's simple, easy and something I am already tracking so it is really a no brainer.

    As you know, I am now with a premium service, but there is nothing that says I must follow the signals provided. Buy and sell signals are an integral part of being with a premium service, but there is great value in the additional commentary provided. I think I could be okay with going that route for awhile to see how it works out.

    With that said, this evening the closing price for the S Fund (DWCPF) was 1305.64. According to my spreadsheet the 10 day moving average is 1259.00. That means I'm staying in for now.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes