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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3433

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Thanks, DBA! I'm good, just venting, which is good, right? Watching my signals, back testing, resolving to make deliberate actions. Fouchi is testifying to the Senate, wondering if he'll trigger another sell off? On the lily pad to soon, expected test of the lows... still waiting.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #3434

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm thinking we won't see that test of the lows until June or July. Until then, I want to try a quick in and out on big down day...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  5. #3435

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by ravensfan View Post
    I'm thinking we won't see that test of the lows until June or July. Until then, I want to try a quick in and out on big down day...
    Could have been today, but then I tried that in February, and look what it got me!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  7. #3436

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Could have been today, but then I tried that in February, and look what it got me!
    I didn't really follow things today, but noticed the C and I funds were positive around lunch time. Imagine my surprise when I saw the big drops at the close. It makes timing the market difficult, but hey, you gotta try.

    Like the Kenny Rogers song "The Gambler" says, "You gotta know when to hold em, know when to fold em, know when to walk away and know when to run. You never count your money when you're sittin at the table. There'll be time enough for counting when the dealins done.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  9. #3437

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    if the market continues to climb through the morning, will be making a long overdue entry, 50% C, 50% S probably. Stepped aside when it seemed prudent, spooked with calls of 'retest of the lows,' didn't get back in when I should have. Doesn't seem that we are going back to the lows at this point. Of course, that could change.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #3438

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Doesn't seem that we are going back to the lows at this point. Of course, that could change.
    It's the open gaps (one near 2500 on S&P) that I'm worried about.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  13. #3439

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Well, it looks like my first stipulation failed! Tom, thanks for pointing out the open gaps, always a consideration. I may have a touch of FOMO?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3440

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    Arrow Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Well, it looks like my first stipulation failed! Tom, thanks for pointing out the open gaps, always a consideration. I may have a touch of FOMO?
    Furthermore, DWCPF (S Fund) broke below its 50-EMA. Now, it could recover by COB. But, we don't have that luxury to wait until then.
    "Treat your wife with honor, respect, and understanding as you live together so that you can pray effectively as husband and wife." 1 Peter 3:7

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  17. #3441

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Could this be the beginning of the retest??? Hmm
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  19. #3442

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    D7 pointed out a SPX large bear flat, a double top and a head and shoulders reversal pattern... set up for heading south.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #3443

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    He also pointed out a potential bull flag depending on what happens going forward.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #3444

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are decidedly heading south... probably a good thing I didn't jump in... [ Ya THINK! ] sorry, I'm just talking to myself. >.<
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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BND (F Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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