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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3421

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Opinion: Stocks will revisit their coronavirus crash low, and here’s when to expect it

    Published: April 11, 2020 at 4:26 p.m. ET

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/st...more_headlines
    Agree with the June-Aug window...barring some astounding and unexpected medical news.
    Staying in stocks for now,but the motto "Sell in May and Go Away" may be more appropriate than ever this year.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  3. #3422

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Hampton Roads, VA
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Well, it seems that bad feeling I had was on target. Now what? As I've proven before, even if you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #3423

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Ugghhh…..looks like I must Abort...aborttt! obviously the wrong time to enter....S fund down 3.26% and C fund down 1.87%....at 50%, go figure.. this is big sell off. Ira Epstein says its his thought that traders sell the first time price hits the upper Bollinger band during an upswing (traders banking some)...hummm. Still looking at charts again in an hour... your bad feeling was on target!
    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Well, it seems that bad feeling I had was on target. Now what? As I've proven before, even if you're on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  7. #3424

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    It seems the sell off is continuing down, if shows any indication of a bounce, it wont be in the next 4 minutes. Broken down through the channel... on MW, earnings disappoint and Trump threatens china... is this the beginning of the test to the lows based on the realization of the impact to the economy from the actual earnings reports?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #3425

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Black Hills, SD
    Posts
    84

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I think you're right about realization setting in of what this really means.

    I made the only good decision I've made this year, and went to G Wednesday and limited my yearly losses to a little under 12%. My thoughts in that were that the market needed at least a 10% correction from where it was pre-covid. So, getting up close to that 10% correction on recovery from the covid sell-of had to be approaching the max market level. So, I got out with the idea that I was either avoiding the inevitable "see the reality" sell-off, or would at least be able to take advantage of volatility to make some advantageous trades in the next few weeks, as any advancing beyond that 10% correction would be slow and a fight. I expect to see at least another 10% drop over the next two months, even with Fed prop-up and Congressional stimulus.

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  11. #3426

    Join Date
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  13. #3427

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So, as far as I can tell, WDIK, the market will either burn through this level and continue up; at which point I will jump in... or it will head for the lows again, at which point I will jump in. I may have only one IFT to make until I retire!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3428

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Huh...are you retiring????
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  17. #3429

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    DBA, don't I wish! I have a good 10+ years to go; it may take that long to dig out of this mess. I jumped out too early on this rally, now it looks to be topping, will have to catch the next rally... I'm not following my own signals, bad, bad, bad.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  19. #3430

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
    Posts
    3,504

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Dang Whipsaw! I think if I had 10+ years till retirement I'd just run out into the middle of traffic. Of course, I didn't contemplate dealing with a stay at home order in retirement either.

    Being retired and not allowed to go anywhere SUCKS!!!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  21. #3431

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    DBA, don't I wish! I have a good 10+ years to go; it may take that long to dig out of this mess. I jumped out too early on this rally, now it looks to be topping, will have to catch the next rally... I'm not following my own signals, bad, bad, bad.
    Hi Whipsaw, So 10+ means you have time on your side! Don't hit your head too hard, gotta keep your marbles in there for a bit longer! Then once you get older, you can lose them like me...lol... I could have retired 3 years ago! But I told myself I wanted to wait for son to finish college, and now I just think I like working...well its more like I like my work, my boss, and I just like money! Wishing you the best and I know you can dig out!!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  23. #3432

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    You know....I used to want to run out into the middle of traffic many moons ago, when I was 25 and just started working for the Gubmint. My boss was great but he sure knew how to tease me. We'd talk about retirement and he'd say, Geez, you've got longer to work then you've been alive!! Then he would smile big and give a hearty laugh! LOL.... now that's what you call real harassment! Lol... So, I am trying to cheer you up ...
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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