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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3133

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Maybe this is the break?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #3134

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Maybe this is the break?
    or its the normal morning low before the pumps kick. Hard to play these games and guess.

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  5. #3135

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by quabit View Post
    or its the normal morning low before the pumps kick. Hard to play these games and guess.
    True, it is a wait and see to understand what is going on; even then it can be a crapshoot. The trend is your friend, mostly...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  7. #3136

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Going down?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #3137

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk




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  11. #3138

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Anyone to venture on downside targets? We're bouncing off support from early Nov consolidation right now.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  13. #3139

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So... I hate it when this happens... Didn't jump back in for the 1st of Nov as last few months there was downside action on the 1st (rule: patterns identified will immediately change), then I didn't jump back in when I said I would getting spooked by all time highs, triple tops, low VIX, omens, overbought, negative divergence... Making a good case for B&H by missing >4% this month... Now, it looks as though we've passed though this year in a large, volatile consolidation since the run up off the bottom last Dec. The weekly chart on the S-Fund has almost all white candles since Oct, as opposed to last fall which were mostly red prior to the September '18 high. What does that all mean? Heck if I know!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3140

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    IFT 100% S COB.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #3141

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So... after all that is said, and in the face of a potential post holiday reversal , I'm jumping into the S Fund as it seems to have room to run not being near its last high ; to have that extra move to bail and jump back in , as well as to be in the mix for the strongest market in decades for what I hope will be the mother of all Santa Rallies! Still, finger on a hair trigger to bail should this whole thing go south! And that's final!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!


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  19. #3142

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    So... after all that is said, and in the face of a potential post holiday reversal , I'm jumping into the S Fund as it seems to have room to run not being near its last high ; to have that extra move to bail and jump back in , as well as to be in the mix for the strongest market in decades for what I hope will be the mother of all Santa Rallies! Still, finger on a hair trigger to bail should this whole thing go south! And that's final!
    Well....it’s final until it’s NOT!
    There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who know binary, and those that don't!!
    Retired on December 31, 2018!!

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  21. #3143

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are mixed... I looked at my TSP contribution against the 'catch up' chart thinking I was missing something. Turns out I've MAXed out contributions for the last several years! Which also maxes out matching, BTW.

    Interesting read in MW Call of the Day (beware the ides of December ):
    December selloff warning from strategist who predicted last year’s rout

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/december-selloff-warning-from-strategist-who-predicted-last-years-rout-2019-11-27?mod=home-page
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  22.  
  23. #3144

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are mixed again, were up on China trade, now seem to be retreating... fwiw.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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Whipsaw's Account Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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Whipsaw's Account Talk
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