Maybe this is the break?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Going down?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Anyone to venture on downside targets? We're bouncing off support from early Nov consolidation right now.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
So... I hate it when this happens... Didn't jump back in for the 1st of Nov as last few months there was downside action on the 1st (rule: patterns identified will immediately change), then I didn't jump back in when I said I would getting spooked by all time highs, triple tops, low VIX, omens, overbought, negative divergence... Making a good case for B&H by missing >4% this month... Now, it looks as though we've passed though this year in a large, volatile consolidation since the run up off the bottom last Dec. The weekly chart on the S-Fund has almost all white candles since Oct, as opposed to last fall which were mostly red prior to the September '18 high. What does that all mean? Heck if I know!
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
IFT 100% S COB.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
So... after all that is said, and in the face of a potential post holiday reversal , I'm jumping into the S Fund as it seems to have room to run not being near its last high ; to have that extra move to bail and jump back in , as well as to be in the mix for the strongest market in decades for what I hope will be the mother of all Santa Rallies! Still, finger on a hair trigger to bail should this whole thing go south! And that's final!
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Futures are mixed... I looked at my TSP contribution against the 'catch up' chart thinking I was missing something. Turns out I've MAXed out contributions for the last several years! Which also maxes out matching, BTW.
Interesting read in MW Call of the Day (beware the ides of December ):
December selloff warning from strategist who predicted last year’s rout
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/december-selloff-warning-from-strategist-who-predicted-last-years-rout-2019-11-27?mod=home-page
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Futures are mixed again, were up on China trade, now seem to be retreating... fwiw.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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