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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #2785

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
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    Sometimes Maryland, Sometimes Texas
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So it appears we have a nice little rally going today. However, I am not inclined to jump in as I am thinking this is just an oversold rally and the bears are laying another trap for us poor baitfish.

    I made the mistake of entering the market on November 7th, which turned out to be the high point for the month. Once in, I saw my nice little 4.08% year to date gain, disappear and when I exited, was in negative territory. So I am not going to fall for it again.

    The trend is down and I'm thinking FS's forecast of market dropping further before the Santa Rally kicks in is spot on.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  3. #2786

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    So we ended the day positive, but well off the highs, so we are still in the "nice rally in the morning, sell the rally in the afternoon" syndrome. Perhaps I am being overly cautious, but I'm just not feeling it yet. On the plus side, the 3 EMA is about to cross over the 5 EMA on both the S&P500 and DWCPF charts.

    If we get follow through tomorrow, I may stick a toe in, if not, I can wait.

    Good luck everyone!
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  5. #2787

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures are UP! Could this be the start of the Santa Rally part Deux? Still, with luck, we'll get to SNP 2780, at which point I plan to bail and look for the next drop. Postulate applies: Any recognized pattern will change at that point. >.<
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  7. #2788

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    2018, the year of the Krampus Rally...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #2789

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Merry Christmas everyone! Merry Christmas TSP Talk! Merry Christmas S Fund! Merry Christmas (running breathlessly) C Fund! Merry Christmas internet browser! Merry Christmas old computer!

    My sticky pants approach is hopefully paying off. Now to watch for an appropriate point to take some off the table to redeploy.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  10.  
  11. #2790

    Join Date
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    Boiled Peanut, Georgia, USA
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Congrats, be careful!




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  13. #2791

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Holding, got nothing else right now.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  14.  
  15. #2792

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Wrapping up my worst year in TSP, bar none. C'est la vie! Off balance for most of the year, will be paying closer attention to various signs, signals, sages, and swamis going forward. I'm thinking this short rally has peaked and hoping the afternoon decline will not be severe, like McGlives, I like to be in for the next month for the extra trade. At any rate, heading to the lily pad to sit out the turn of the year and watch some of the chicanery of the new congress. Happy New Year everyone!
    760 -14.76% 0.11% -10.66%
    100% G COB
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #2793

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I am now 100% G. Forgot I already used my 2 moves for December so that is the only option.

    I hope we end the day in the green and look forward to, and wish for to all, much wisdom for trading in 2019!

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  19. #2794

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Ok, changed my mind after watching the 'right side of the chart' video today, he's calling for more upside (which I need). Holding position.

    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #2795

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I saw that earlier. I'm not convinced of significant upside unless we break the 2507ish mark. If it does there will be room to move up to 2600 and I will hop on quick. Caveat is that any move to the upside has potential to be explosive.

    Good luck!
    Last edited by Mcqlives; 12-31-2018 at 11:21 AM. Reason: upside comment

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  23. #2796

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Looks like Asia is throwing a wrench in the works. Futures down, but recovering.. a little... we'll see.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
Whipsaw's Account Talk
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Whipsaw's Account Talk
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Whipsaw's Account Talk
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Whipsaw's Account Talk
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