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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #2653

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    HI WS, That is a very good article and table---THANK YOU!!!!

    Yes... I had noticed that divergence between C and S fund last week (i.e. S&P 500-large cap versus S fund=Small Caps). I understand that Small Caps is a leading indicator of sorts because it tends to top out before the large caps. It is also supposed to be an indicator of US economic strength since the small businesses are more invested here at home while the large caps get a higher proportion of their revenue from outside US. So this has happened during large market turns but it does take many months to a year before it becomes reality. So just means we need to be more careful (than we already are??? lol... ). To me, its just something to watch and consider as we continue to invest. I am using shorter EMAs and crossovers to get in and out of market now. I feel better doing that. Plus October has had some really nasty downs in the past so good to be on our toes! Plus we have all the politics of mid-term elections and Supreme court pick, etc and China trade not settled.... so there is a lot to watch.

    I want to enter market but staying out another day. S fund is still sliding and price is hugging the lower band, so I am waiting to see price move away from the band and then for a candle with long tail below it for entry or at least some other candle that signals a bottom … it kinda needs to be obvious as I am getting old and obviously do not see too well!!!! lol.... ….AS for the C fund, well it is high and I am trying to avoid getting in high... now just because I said that it will take off like a rocket and into the far reaches of the galaxy while I sit here with face on hands, looking up in wonder with start dust splattered all over me!! ….earnings start coming out next week and I thought GDP would be out this week????? Could be the spark needed!!!

    But the C fund does have MACDs crossing positive but Stochastic did not even come down to 50 before turning back up so I am thinking it is a weak rally up to the 80 or upper Bollinger? That is my read... so while I could get in a few days, I am going to wait for the next wave and hope I don't have all that star dust on me. …. will see. Best Wishes to you and everyone !!!!

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Futures are up, hopefully for small caps as well. Saw this... doesn't bode well if it has any legs:

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/th...ead-2018-10-02
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 10-03-2018 at 10:42 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  3. #2654

    Join Date
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    3,729

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Thansk DBA!! I posted earlier but my browser threw me out and dumped the post. Still in the S fund... down to where people are jumping in, starting to sting a little. Refreshing the stickum on the sticky pants... hopefully we're not rolling over into a deeper sell off =:-o Too bad we don't get to put in stops. >.<
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  5. #2655

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Hi Whipsaw, At this point it may be best to re-apply gorilla glue to those sticky pants. I definitely feel for you as I know this is a tough spot to be in. I went through this several times earlier this year and ... I did make mistake of exiting only to see it recover in later months. But nonetheless, it is hard especially since we can never really know what is going to happen. However, as far as I can see, we are still in a Bull Market so I definitely hope it recovers quickly. All the economic indicators are strong! So hope is not unfounded. Keep your chin up!!!!

    Best Wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


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  7. #2656

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Maybe a repeat of Jun-Jul, we'll see.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #2657

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    HI WS, That is a very good article and table---THANK YOU!!!!



    I want to enter market but staying out another day. S fund is still sliding and price is hugging the lower band, so I am waiting to see price move away from the band and then for a candle with long tail below it for entry or at least some other candle that signals a bottom …

    so why didn't I listen to your God given woman's intuition yesterday right before I jumped in yesterday.
    "Our Constitution was made only for a Moral and Religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the goverment of any other." John Adams 10/11/1798

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  11. #2658

    Join Date
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    3,504

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Feeling your pain today Whipsaw. Hoping you are able to dig out one more time. In the meantime, enjoy the clip.



    RF

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  13. #2659

    Join Date
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    Cleveland, Ohio
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    12,148

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I started wearing depends under my sticky pants.
    May the force be with us.

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  15. #2660

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    This is getting redicarous!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  17. #2661

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Signs of life...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  19. #2662

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Debating a partial entry and going back and forth (arguing) with myself!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  21. #2663

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Debating a partial entry and going back and forth (arguing) with myself!!
    DBA, have you ever seen the Stochiastics flat line? Check out the S fund...
    Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XXWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XXWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  23. #2664

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    To be quite honest, I don't remember seeing it do that. It is definitely embedded below 20. That us unsettling. I am going to check 2008. Here is 2008-2009 - Yes see some of that embedding below 20 in June/July 2008 as market was heading down, October 2008 during the big drop but there were a couple bounces, and then during a second dip in Feb/March 2009 before it started to recover without going back to those lows.
    s fund 2008-2009.jpg
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


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