Today looks good, I like JTH's analysis for April; DBAs chart links look good. Will see what happens this afternoon and tomorrow morning and consider an entry.
Back in the office after an uneventful (thankfully) trip home.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Today looks good, I like JTH's analysis for April; DBAs chart links look good. Will see what happens this afternoon and tomorrow morning and consider an entry.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
This is enough to give one pause... 2 decade old bubble will burst at some point (my guess is 9 mo. into the next republican administration).
Disaster Is Inevitable When The Two Decade-Old Stock Bubble Bursts - Forbes
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Looking for Tom's weakness prediction to play out as a buy in point.
JTH, always enjoy your blog, you said transports lag, I thought they were a leading indicator?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
JTH must not be traking my thread...
Anyway, I've pretty much missed this run up since the 1st. Bquat's charts look to show approaching the top of a channel; bollinger bands on DBAs chart links seem to be contracting, which would indicate a pending move, up or down (I'm guessing down based on the channels); rising wegde could be bullish?. Patience, patience...
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Just checked TRAN. Looks like Slow Sto indicates it could be moving up ..but right now it's sitting towards bottom of BBs. I am considering exit. Next week more financials come in so the market could rise...then again???
I am going to look at my earnings so far and decide if I need to pocket it, and move to sidelines for a bit. Would like to buy a big dip!
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-24-24=50G- 50C https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
Late reply (been busy and have had connectivity issues)
Yes, Tran is a leader in a healthy market, but the severe drop in oil has not been priced in, and/or the economy is tanking and we just don't know it yet. Either ways, as long as small caps lead and the tech sector is healthy, we can climb higher. Smarter people then me know what the real story is, there's a lot of stuff out there that doesn't make sense, like copper...eventually the hens come home to nest
Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
Damn IFT limitations...
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
But you haven't used any for April yet, right? Are you saying you would have if we could enter twice in a month? That certainly would change my investing strategy.
Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
Past Returns: 2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%
My efforts to time the TSP account has failed, I should stick to flipping a 1-sided coin...
Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
Wow... had I more moves I likely would have jumped in, I was even looking at a 50% move... Considering what is going on in the market at the moment, that would have been text book capitulation. How often I am my own contrarian indicator!
What is also amazing is how the turn happend at 12:01! >.<
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
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