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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3817

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Middangeard
    Posts
    3,152

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I did the same, moving to G on Dec 31st. Just didn't trust all the negativity with the only positive being seasonality.

    Good luck this year and good riddance 2020...


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  3. #3818

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    397

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I reduced to 25% S and may regret not getting out completely, but for the same reason the market may be down even further tomorrow, it could just as easily go up. Nobody can predict that primary election tomorrow any better than they can predict the weather.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  5. #3819

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    As for last year's performance, I don't want to talk about it. At least I'm in the G-fund for today's weakness.
    I got whacked by Covid-19 and never did recover. I am not going to be able to get to enjoy this for long. I go from #565 to #17. Tomorrow I’m headed back down again.

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  7. #3820

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    The market is supposed to dislike uncertainty, is today's pop a result of the GA runoffs? Then the Electoral event in the Senate... what time is that? This strength doesn't make sense to me. The 'forward looking' market is seeing what, exaclty? Crystal ball... where are you when I need you. Wait, I never had one.
    100% S

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  9. #3821

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    397

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yea, it's confusing to me too. I had read that if the democrats take control the market would tank by 10% or more.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  11. #3822

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    The market is supposed to dislike uncertainty, is today's pop a result of the GA runoffs? Then the Electoral event in the Senate... what time is that? This strength doesn't make sense to me. The 'forward looking' market is seeing what, exaclty? Crystal ball... where are you when I need you. Wait, I never had one.
    Market is seeing another Trillion being pumped into the economy via 2K Covid relief promised by Dems, as well as major (non-wall) infrastructure projects coming in this year, along with Fed keeping rates low for forseeable future.
    CURRENTLY 70% S and 30% C (as of COB 01/25/2021) 1st Jan IFT

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  13. #3823

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    Market is seeing another Trillion being pumped into the economy via 2K Covid relief promised by Dems, as well as major (non-wall) infrastructure projects coming in this year, along with Fed keeping rates low for forseeable future.
    I did read something along those lines in Marketwatch this morning. We'll see what happens at 1300, apparently when the Senate meets.
    100% S

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  15. #3824

    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    Oregon
    Posts
    3,613

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by rangerray View Post
    Yea, it's confusing to me too. I had read that if the democrats take control the market would tank by 10% or more.

    Hmmm ... same thing we read about Trump before 2016. That didn't work out so why expect them to be correct this time around?

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  17. #3825

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    S-Fund currently above the upper Bollinger Band, if it stays true to form it should drop back inside, possibly to Bquat's lower rising channel (maybe not quite?), entry point should be approaching.
    100% S


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  19. #3826

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    S-fund has somewhat of a shooting start out the top of the upper BB; that and the stochs are in the +90 range, an exit point if I had stayed in :-/
    Lots of bullishness, will evaluate in the next week an entry - it will probably have been today.
    100% S

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  21. #3827

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Waiting for some sort of pull back or correction that many are talking about. Seems the exit call above was wrong, but my entry call (that I didn't follow) was good.
    100% S

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  23. #3828

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,126

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    MW has articles about the market going down, Yellen talking of interest rate hikes, talk of corrections, overvaluation, open gaps all over below current levels, warnings of pull backs, people yelling... all we need now is a Hindenburg omen... yet, the market marches higher, NAAIM is bulled up... I don't get it.
    100% S

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