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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3205

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Light duty sticky pants deployed... Have a great weekend everyone!
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  3. #3206

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
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    Cleveland, Ohio
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    12,151

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Light duty sticky pants deployed... Have a great weekend everyone!
    Might want to deploy the heavy duty pair. Looks a bit gloomy today with all the reporting. But what to do?? This virus thing seems like it will continue to drag the stock market down but it looks like some good news coming out during the week on interest. So is it enough to counter the bad news? My guess is NO. Not sure if I'm bailing to "G" today, but I wish I didn't have to make that decision until closer to 4pm. Good luck everyone.
    May the force be with us.

  4.  
  5. #3207

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    Might want to deploy the heavy duty pair. Looks a bit gloomy today with all the reporting. But what to do?? This virus thing seems like it will continue to drag the stock market down but it looks like some good news coming out during the week on interest. So is it enough to counter the bad news? My guess is NO. Not sure if I'm bailing to "G" today, but I wish I didn't have to make that decision until closer to 4pm. Good luck everyone.
    Great minds think alike! Futures are not pretty this morning... some saying the market will likely shake it off, others that this is a catalyst for a long expected sell off. Some misgivings on Friday's 'sticky pants' decision. Bailing today will likely put me at 0% for the year, and then to call the bottom on the other side...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  6.  
  7. #3208

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    Mar 2013
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    Bloomington, Indiana
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    322

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Yikes.. Too late to get out now... Tighten your belts!!

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A6003 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    100% G fund COB 12/22/2023 Was 80%G 20%C

  8.  
  9. #3209

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by kb9nvh View Post
    Yikes.. Too late to get out now... Tighten your belts!!

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A6003 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    Let's hope it doesn't get much worse.
    May the force be with us.

  10.  
  11. #3210

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    Let's hope it doesn't get much worse.
    Already seeing movement to climb out of the hole...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  13. #3211

    Join Date
    Mar 2013
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    Bloomington, Indiana
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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I try to remember for the last ten years my risk of being out of the market has always been worse than being in. (famous last words.. Lol). My exposure is pretty low.. (L Income fund). Looking for a spot to deploy more.. Getting in is always where I fail it seems

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A6003 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    100% G fund COB 12/22/2023 Was 80%G 20%C

  14.  
  15. #3212

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm nervous enough I'm bailing while I am still in the green on this move. Things I am considering:

    -China government controls the news so we don't know how accurate the information we get is. That said;
    -China estimates at least 3 million people traveled out of their quarantined zone (encompassing 50-80 million people)
    -Doctors are still working through the vectors but incubation period (no symptoms) are estimated to be up to 2 weeks. Contagion is possible during at least part of this time frame.
    -Wuhan is a very large industrial hub in China and, along with that, an extremely large transportation hub. Added onto the start of this is the fact that many of China's ruling class are significant interest holders in those activities.

    I want to stay long but until we get an idea on vectors for this virus we can't say how this will pan out. I'm scared enough so am going to G for at least a few days or until till this shakes out.

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  17. #3213

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    And if you die from the virus with your money in the tsp your kids get to pay tax on the full amount.. Ouch.

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A6003 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    100% G fund COB 12/22/2023 Was 80%G 20%C


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  19. #3214

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Betting against a dead cat bounce... holding position. Economy is still strong... is the Fed still pumping?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  20.  
  21. #3215

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Lady on CNBC saying no sign of recession, that's good. She's a buyer... Going to get these dips, buy, dollar cost average (she said nibble on); will be glad for having done so in 6-8 months...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  22.  
  23. #3216

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Seeing some good strength at the open... I'm using these chart links I got from DBA (Thanks DBA!), provided as a public service. But also so I can get the links added to my phone!

    S-Fund (enjoy the happy faces)
    Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XXWCPF Advanced Chart - (Dow Jones Wilshire) XXWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

    C-Fund
    S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (S&P US) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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