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Thread: Whipsaw's Account Talk

  1. #3025

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    Dead cat bounce?
    I guess it depends on what happens tomorrow.
    May the force be with us.

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  3. #3026

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I have been thinking the same as well. If this is a DCB, it could easily have you on the wrong side of the trade. Nothing really changed from yesterday, so I am thinking the bottom is not yet in. If I am wrong...oh well, it wouldn't be the first rally I missed. For now I will remain patient at 50% G Fund, 50% F Fund and keep slowly digging out of that disaster I had in May.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  5. #3027

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I think we can safely say that Tuesday's action was a Dead Cat Bounce.

    Glad I didn't take the bait!

    Now the question is "How low will it go"?
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  7. #3028

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    We might be there...
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  9. #3029

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    if this factors into anyone's machinations... Tis’ The Season To ‘Get Small(Cap)’ | Jay On The Markets

    From Close on To Close on Hold
    Trading Day of Month Trading Day of Month
    Mar 10 May 12 Large-Cap
    May 12 Jun 22 Small-Cap
    Jun 22 Aug 6 Large-Cap
    Aug 6 Sep 22 Small-Cap
    Sep 22 Nov 15 Large-Cap
    Nov 15 Mar 10 Small-Cap

    C Fund is the worst performer in January. F & S Funds do the best
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  11. #3030

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Did somebody say Whipsaw?!
    Charting a volatility spike, S&P 500 whipsaws at the breakdown point (2,912)

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/ch...=mw_latestnews
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

  12.  
  13. #3031

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    How low can we go? Downside targets anyone? I'm thinking 2850 on SPX.
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  15. #3032

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    I'm thinking 2840-2850...200EMA, but if we break that, eeeekkkkk…. maybe 2810 and then possibly to 2750....down close to March or May lows.

    Best wishes to you and everyone* Whipsaw!!!!!!!

    DWCPF FUND 8-12-2019.png
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  17. #3033

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    How low can we go? Downside targets anyone? I'm thinking 2850 on SPX.
    My flat line is around 2740 - 2760 for the SPX.

    The bears are trying like crazy to kick the bulls where it counts. And the media is playing right into it as well blowing every bit of news out of proportion.

    Look at gold starting to hit 2012 resistance. https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=GC&p=m1 and the banks doing their thing as well. The SPXN coming into a wedge https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=SPXN
    All in all I see a very good potential to see double bottoms near 7k on the NASDAQ https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?p=d1&t=NQ around 2700 on the S&P https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?p=d1&t=ES and even a double bottom around 25000 for the DJIA. It could hold its support around 25500 but who knows. If those support levels break we're looking at possibly going under 24k. Take a look at longer term trend lines and those support levels stick out a little better imo. I'm certainly not a qualified analyst or advisor. Not expecting all this to happen overnight, just like the bull market there are up and down shorter term trend lines. And I'm betting on a decent bounce soon. I was neutral to bullish but starting to have my doubts.

    But, if the bulls can somehow start squashing the bears then they can turn this around in a hurry.

    Better news...
    "UK wages rise at fastest rate since 2008, but unemployment also up:" Morning Brief


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  19. #3034

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Futures were down going into this morning, then tariffs delayed, holy pop, Batman! Now what? Any legs for a decent rally?
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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  21. #3035

    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Just goes to show how a bad vibe can be squashed. GET BACK OVER THOSE 50DMA's AND WE MIGHT HAVE GAME ON!!


    Crazy. Might take some off just in case though.

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  23. #3036

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    Default Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Tariffs delayed till December, maybe we rally till then... ?
    Dow jumps more than 500 points on reports of progress on China-U.S. trade talks

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-turns-higher-in-early-tuesday-trade-as-wall-street-attempts-to-halt-multiday-skid-2019-08-13?mod=newsviewer_click
    50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!

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