What are the odds of a snap back?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Maybe Turn Around Tuesday is kicking in?
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
So I keep a number of databases and use them to spot trends. A recent weekly trend I am noticing with the S Fund is that it loses one week and the next week it gains, but the gain does not quite make up for the previous weeks loss. For instance, 2/20 thru 2/24 S Fund was minus 0.11%. The following week it was up only 0.07%. Then on 3/6 thru 3/10 it was down 1.68% for the week and last week only gained back 1.54%.
With that said, I am expecting the pattern to continue with another down week this week and a gain next week, but not quite enough to cover the loss. So I'm calling my shot until the market proves me wrong.
Good luck!!!
"the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark
Glad you missed this drop, if your pattern holds (now that its spotted, its likely over), I can climb out and rebalance, or something...
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
"the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark
Yes Whipsaw... wishing you the best. Keep your chin up! If it helps, I do hope it will be a quick dip. Seems to be very politically motivated due to Ryancare/Obamacare this week. If it passes Thursday, it could shoot right back up. Just no telling what will happen.
Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!
Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 4-1-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410
"the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark
Everyone seems to forget that just as many people were affected when the ACA was passed and implemented... sorry, but there is going to be just as much turbulence righting the ship.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
Looking for further weakness for the next few days, going 100% F, then looking for re-entry.
50% S, 50% C 06 Mar, was 100% G; 80% S 20% C COB 08 Jan '24; 100% G COB 14 Nov; was 100% C COB 31 Oct (Boo!); was 100% G COB 12 Oct; was 50% C, 50% S COB 22 Jun; Life is good!
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
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