Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

I heard on Maria Bartiromo Sunday Morning Futures that the debt ceiling agreement has clause granting authority for Federal Regulators to write rules that do Not need to consider effect on spending. I keep thinking more spending or lack of controls will eventually cause our rating to be downgraded unexpectedly like in 2011.

Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie

That is very interesting. Tsptalk, Thanks you information! I had not been paying attention to the balance sheet unwinding. But I thought this would cause US markets to drop. In past years, the liquidity flood elevated the market and kept it artificially high. But maybe the unwinding is affecting international EFA fund more than US market, relatively....is that correct???

Originally Posted by tsptalk

Because of the dollar's strength. The dollar's spike higher has to do with the Fed's balance sheet being reduced dramatically, strengthening the dollar. That was after they increased their balance sheet, and the dollar went down, when the banks failed in March.

I think that (drop in markets) is in the cards if this continues. But the recent drop in the balance sheet only took it to about where it was before those bank failures and the spike in the balance sheet. Quantitative tightening will eventually be a roadblock for stocks if it continues, although they are likely to stop if there is a recession or imminent threat of one.

Originally Posted by tsptalk

I think that (drop in markets) is in the cards if this continues. But the recent drop in the balance sheet only took it to about where it was before those bank failures and the spike in the balance sheet. Quantitative tightening will eventually be a roadblock for stocks if it continues, although they are likely to stop if there is a recession or imminent threat of one.

Stock market rally broadening to smallcaps. Vix is at a 52 week low. Market complancy is here…what could go wrong. 😅

Seriously though…without the fed speak…rally probably has a few days more then next week begins the long decline on recession fears and then reality. Will be pulling some money off the table this week. I don’t want to get caught in the downdraft of all mother of downdrafts. 🫣😂

Hi FelixttgeCat, I definitely agree. I am thinking another day.... Crossing fingers! Best wishes to you and everyone!

Charts before noon. Watching MACD for a crest to exit.
Note: Unable to insert annotations to C fund so unable to update to add in green circles where MACD crossover that has strong upward Slope. C fund is of concern to me because it looks like Slow Sto signal line is close to dropping below its signal line but MACD looks strong and is not yet cresting. No exit yet.

Looks like I should consider exiting F and C funds, reduce S fund to pocket some gains, and put some into I Fund.

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

03 - I FUND -EFA DAILY.png

04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png

Charts before noon cutoff. Best wishes to all!


01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png


02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png


03 - I FUND -EFA DAILY.png


04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png

Move.. Reducing to 5S, 5C, adding 10 I. Best wishes to all....S and C's MACD have not yet crested.

I also exited F fund

Charts before noon cutoff. Staying at 10%I, and 5% for both S and C fund or total of 20% in market. I feel comfortable with that. Wishing I had put more into I fund.
Best wishes to all!

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png


02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png


03 - I FUND -EFA DAILY.png


04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png

Charts before noon...exiting my 5% from S. Will keep 5C and10-I. Best wishes to you all!

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

03 - I FUND -EFA DAILY.png

04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png

Hi, here are charts before noon cutoff. Best wishes to all!

01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

03 - I FUND -EFA DAILY.png

04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png