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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #4645

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I was thinking about what is different now as opposed to 2008 in causing market turmoil and drops. The most evident to me: the pandemic, baby boomer retirements, and the "woke and green" agenda which have and are affecting US policies, regulations and the economy. Taken together, these are causing inflation. These are just my takes on this.

    Pandemic - caused drop in labor force participation now coming back but slowed by extra unemployment paid. That has now gone, but some employees did not come back, and others retired due to age or due to issues with employment conditions.

    Baby Boomer Retirement - BBs born from 1945 to 1962*, with bulk born towards end of this period*. Many have retired but many will retire in next 1-6 years*, that will continue to cause labor issues and more demand than supply and thus cause more inflation as wage rates go up further and those rates will be fixed/permanent. The FED interest rate hikes will not directly cause this type of inflation to go down directly or quickly. To do so would be painful.

    Pain through Recession: To drive down inflation, Fed aims to increase Fed rate. To do it, they would need to increase rates high enough to cause product pricing to go high enough to drive down demand/get us to stop buying stuff. Businesses would be forced to increase prices to stay in business if they rely on loans to fund business operations/equipment/vehicles, etc., which would be going up due to the higher interest rates. Plus consumers buying houses/vehicles would have higher costs to buy items so they would hold back on buying on credit, so those sectors would suffer. Then when our consumer demand drops, businesses will go out of business and people will lose their jobs. So, when we see the unemployment rates start to go up due to people losing jobs because businesses are going out of business, we will be in full recession. Possible fix: Implement immigration policy for legal immigration that would have increase labor force and possibly drive down less skilled labor rates and have payments into
    Social security to fund baby boomer SS payouts. But this would need to be LEGAL immigration.

    Woke/Green agendas - This is causing increased regulation or policy changes that restrict or slow drilling which in turn is causing fuel prices to go up for gasoline and natural gas, due to lower supply. The Fix: Get rid of policies that are preventing drilling and production in US and pipelines.

    MAIN point: While Pandemic and Woke/green agendas maybe remedied by time and political action, the labor supply will not be remedied without politicians on both sides taking action. Baby boomers are continuing to leave the workforce! There is a huge gap forming in labor.


    *-https://www.theepochtimes.com/where-..._medium=search
    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  3. #4646

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  5. #4647

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  7. #4648

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Daily charts... Once more for my friends!
    So, yesterday I wanted to go in some, but didn't ...now I am glad I didn't. Gosh...what a roller coaster... Take care out there...

    01 - S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png

    02 - C FUND - SPX DAILY.png

    03 - I FUND - EFA DAILY.png

    04 - F FUND - AGG DAILY.png
    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  9. #4649

    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    Location
    Cleveland, Ohio
    Posts
    11,181

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Did you jump in today? The way the market has gone the last week is an up day then a down day. So if it holds to the pattern tomorrow should be an up day. But then again.......
    May the force be with us.

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  11. #4650

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,422

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    Did you jump in today? The way the market has gone the last week is an up day then a down day. So if it holds to the pattern tomorrow should be an up day. But then again.......
    The first corollary to pattern identification is that the pattern will change once identified.
    100% G COB 5 May; was 50% C, 50% S COB 3 May; was 35 C, 35 S COB 20 April (big mistake); was 100% G COB 18 Mar; 35% C, 35% S 30% G COB 31 Jan; Life is good!

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  13. #4651

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Hi Nasa, no entry for me. Too unstable. I may be waiting quite a while. I don't like it but just don't want to put in a high-risk play....at least not yet!
    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  15. #4652

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  17. #4653

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356


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  19. #4654

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I am going in... Probably 50-60% .. Likely more C than S fund. I don't like going into the next week without an exit, but thinking its gone down a lot and due for a "real" bounce. Still expect it to be volatile and eventually we go down further. Best wishes to you all!
    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  21. #4655

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Looking good! Charts as of a few mins ago. Today's action looks like it will create a higher high and higher low on short term basis. Best wishes to everyone sticking it out during the next week.

    Attachment 54498

    Attachment 54499

    Attachment 54500

    Attachment 54501
    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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  23. #4656

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Please don't take comments as trading advice /IFTs: 4-26-22=100G /Prior: 4-13-22= G30-F20-S25-C25/ https://www.theepochtimes.com// Permalink charts-see post#4264@pg356

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