Page 274 of 282 FirstFirst ... 174224264272273274275276 ... LastLast
Results 3,277 to 3,288 of 3382

Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #3277

    Join Date
    Mar 2020
    Location
    Cape Cod
    Posts
    152

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    An excellent point. I have had a couple of negative months, even in this predominantly upwards market so it is clear I don't have it figured out. I am looking for signs of what should be at least a large correction if not a complete downturn but want to "pad" my account as much as I can before that inevitability happens. Huge thanks to Bquat and Coolhand and many others on here for their efforts to educate! Good luck all.

  2.  
  3. #3278

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Its nice to see market recovering from skittishness this morning!

    I understand Tesla now coming into S&P 500 might have effect on Friday, in addition to Triple Witching. Article I read on Tesla was unclear on market impact. Will check on that more this week. Best wishes to all!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  4.  
  5. #3279

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,811

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I'm a fan of Elon, he's one of the great innovators of this generation
    I trade based on volume + price action. Price action alone only tells half the story.

  6.  
  7. #3280

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Definitely Agree Sniper!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  8.  
  9. #3281

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Doesn't look like a good idea to Short Tesla!

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bi...article_inline
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  10.  
  11. #3282

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Correction - please disregard comment about Friday.. no triple witching. Too tired late last night when I was reading an old article.

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Its nice to see market recovering from skittishness this morning!

    I understand Tesla now coming into S&P 500 might have effect on Friday, in addition to Triple Witching. Article I read on Tesla was unclear on market impact. Will check on that more this week. Best wishes to all!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  12.  
  13. #3283

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Here are the current charts ... equities look good. Bonds are a stinker!

    DWCPF -daily.png

    SPX now.png

    I FUND - EFA. now.png

    AGG now.png
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  14.  
  15. #3284

    Join Date
    Mar 2020
    Location
    Cape Cod
    Posts
    152

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I love DBA charts! They have all of the lines (including the slow stochastics which many don't include). Looks like DWCPF (S) continues to be embedded slow stochastic, in an upward channel with lots of support lines below. Repeatedly going over the top of Bollinger bands though and "oversold" which might indicate a drop to come? With the NAAIM bullish and the VIX still pretty low, seems like S is the place to be, until it isn't. Thanks DBA!

  16.  
  17. #3285

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,149

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Here are the current charts ... equities look good. Bonds are a stinker!
    ...
    AGG (Bonds) are stinkers, but they will help buffer things when the S Fund corrects.

    I don't pretend to know when the S Fund will correct, although it does seem a bit floaty right now. What I think I can say is that if it dumps 8% in a day, with a comparable dump in C and I, I will lose about 4% (because F will go up). I can bail deep into the following day or maybe even the next - which may allow me to see if it is correcting or free-falling. Don't get me wrong, in a normal market I will always have 60% - 80% in C/S/I. Bonds - and especially Social Security Bonds (G) - just kinda suck as a major holding in normal or aggressive markets.

    Personally, I just wouldn't want to be letting it all hang out in the most variant of our funds. I had my account dump 8% in an afternoon (after IFT deadline - the morning looked good to go) in 2008 and dump another 8% before COB the next day - which is when my IFT took hold. Not happy with that. I was actually up +7% YTD one day in 2008 and down -11% the next. Not fun, not fun at all. With my current allocation those two crash days would have left me about even or a couple of points down YTD.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!


  18.  
  19. #3286

    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Maryland
    Posts
    3,151

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Have to agree with you flalaw97. DBA's charts have got it going on!!!

    Nice charts DBA


  20.  
  21. #3287

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Here are some OLD charts from 2008...might be a little hard to see as these are a full year of daily candles. But what I have taken away from studying this crash plus others is that being in market when 20 dma has crossed below 50dma can hurt a lot!

    Also notice that while the biggest drops started in equities right at start of October, the F fund followed down the rabbit hole a few days later....but did recover more quickly, so diversifying would helped. Not sure of percentage losses if comparing the two, but the drops on all charts looked bad....too much red! The key was to not exit once you were too far down, thing is its hard to tell how more the knife will fall.

    Also, Not saying you can't make money, but you would have had to artfully navigate the little bounces on the way down. EX. Last half of October, if you had exited before the largest drops. EX2: mid July to mid August. That happened when MACD was above its signal line and moving upward and when Stochastic did that with MACD at tge same time...still very risky!

    While that 20 below 50 DNA would have helped in 2008, I'm not sure its as good now because of super fast trading happening now.

    2008

    DWCPF -daily.png

    AGG now.png
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  22.  
  23. #3288

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I must admit, I don't much like the F fund in GENERAL. However, right now it looks like it might be good since it has dropped a lot, Stochastic dropped below 28 and is now turning up....MACD could follow??? Today's big increase is very nice! I might pull some out if S fund to put into F...not yet sure. hummm.....

    Attachment 48233
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice /IFTs: 2-1-21=50%S-50%G//1-25-21=G100%//1-19-21=20S, 80G/ ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895// www.theepochtimes.com

  24.  
Page 274 of 282 FirstFirst ... 174224264272273274275276 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes