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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #3025

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by PessOptimist View Post
    I think we are getting way too technical in to this. Please correct me if I am wrong but “imbedded” has to do with the K and D lines of the slow stochastic merging? Usually a red and blue line. Meaning D red and K blue? Imbedded is good but unembedding is bad? If D goes below K, time to leave maybe?

    No one ever accused me of being the brightest knife in the drawer.

    PO
    Hi PO, Ira Epstein uses term "embedded" to mean when price is such that BOTH the K and D lines of the Slow Stochastics are above 80 (upwards) or below 20 (downwards) for 3 straight days. It does not matter whether the K line is crossed below the D or vice versa.

    Embedded just means that a strong trend has been established in the direction market is going. Nothing says it will continue in that direction, but I have seen that when it drops below 80 (the K line--faster line), it does tend to continue down ..at least for a time, BUT in his videos, I have heard him state that if it drops out of that "embedded" (i.e. over 80 state), the chances of it re-embedding (i.e. going back up) is very low IF it does not re-embed the very next day after it dropped out of the embedded state

    Best wishes to you!!! DBA
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  3. #3026

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tom4jean View Post
    Thank you Tom4Jean! Just to add some more info. I looked at Elliott Trader link and it does a good job of explaining strategy, but there is a lot more that was not mentioned. Also, as informative as Ira Epstein's daily end of day financial videos are, his early morning subscriber videos (different from "morning flash") are packed with concise information, and his trading methodology includes much more than what he talks about in his videos as well.


    I recently took his charting course and learned quite a bit. Aside from what was mentioned in that ET link, Mr. Epstein many other tools including 3 period MAs set at either high of day, or low of day depending on whether above or below the 18 MA. He also teaches how he uses those plus the 45MA, 100MA and Window Envelops and Bollinger bands. At times they are used for profit taking. The charting course does provide strategy/rules on when to enter a buy and some profit taking rules. But his settings for the Window Envelops are proprietary and are changed fairly often based on what is happening in the market. He posts them as "chart numbers" on his website available through subscription along with specific trading recommendations (specific entry/exit) that he provides to his subscribers each day for numerous ETFs and commodities, currencies, etc.

    He also uses "Swing Lines" to define trends and as part of his trading strategy. These "Swing Lines" are something he developed rules for drawing, that are similar to identifying trends (via higher high, higher low, etc). You will not find them on any charting software like Stock Charts. He offers a subscription to Ira-Linn charts which will draw those swing lines as part of the indicators available on their charting software. In the charting course, he teaches the rules for drawing the lines, but while you can learn to draw them the charting software would be so much easier. I do think his course is worth taking.

    He presently offers free morning flash videos that are very helpful. He talks about economic news, FOMC, information about the US market and international markets. The information is very good to know but important to note that this is just a tidbit of what he offers in his subscribers morning videos that come out before the market opens. As part of that charting course, he provides 30 days of free access to the trading recommendations, subscribers morning videos with extended commentary, and access to use their charting software.

    Based on listening to some of his latest videos, it seems he is looking for more business and may stop the free videos all together. I hope not!

    Best Wishes to you and Everyone* !!!!!!
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  5. #3027

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Whipsaw View Post
    DBA, it is challenging; the only issue i have with the long range plan is eating the 6-7% that it will take for the 13 EMA to cross the 20 SMA. Otherwise, its all good!
    Hi Whipsaw!!! Yes, I couldn't agree more.... oh gosh...if you don't get in right at the bottom, it is very hard to exit using 13/20 cross over. I used to try using 3/5 cross over but it was too tight. I dunno... so I have kinda been using the "get out little by little" method to lessen the blow...still hunting for better exit methodology or at least something that I can be more confident about... that is some of the reason I start to drift out of trades. It's just safer. uggh

    Also, just to be clear, I am not using a single indicator to decide to exit... I use several. I do believe it would be a mistake to only base an exit on one indicator. I kinda like to get a few indicators that start to show market weakness. One thing is looking at candle patterns, areas of support and look at the following plus look for divergence in MACD, TSI, Stochastic, VIX and Advance/Decline.

    Oh ... wanted to mention, I have been really liking Romulus on Grok Trade. He is holding free 30 minute webinars each Thursday at 7:30pm CT. He was a ETF hedge fund manager for .. I think he said 25 years. I really really like him. He had a 2-hour market course/discussion Saturday ($20) and talked about tools he uses, how he selects ETFs to trade. The free 30 minute webinars are worth attending. I asked him if he listens to the news at all to make trade decisions and he said No.

    Best wishes to you!!!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 08-31-2020 at 12:00 AM.

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  7. #3028

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,044

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Thanks, DBA! Right now, holding has been working out for me. I do like your new charts, lots of insights there. I'm investing in a Vanguard account; just scratching the surface on various investments and trades. I need to check out those webinars...
    100% G COB 5 Oct; was 100% S COB 10 Aug; was 50% G, 50% F COB 3 Aug; was 100% S COB 1 July

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  9. #3029

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    So Whipsaw, check out these charts. There is the hard exit with 13/20 crossover that we previously talked about. That's reason I'm looking for better exit strategy. Gosh, even on these charts a bit ago, the 13EMA still hasn't crossed below 20 SMA but suspect it will....will see how day closes. but if one had entered back in early July when it first crossed up, one would still be in positive territory...so looks good for entry but not exit. I got out a bit early (last week, 8/25 before nice increases).

    The grok trade guy Romulus had pointed out some divergences on Tuesday 9/1. Last night he pointed the one from last Friday and few more divergences that were indicating a major turning point. I had only seen the one in vix. I guess I need to be more watchful.

    I will be waiting for entry next week...I probably should buy some now....but Stochastics have not yet reached 20 (if you can believe that!).... plus fear of catching falling knife.

    Best wishes to you and everyone* !!!!
    DWCPF -daily.png

    SPX now.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 09-04-2020 at 10:57 AM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  11. #3030

    Join Date
    Mar 2012
    Location
    Hampton Roads, VA
    Posts
    3,044

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Yes, I missed the exit, that's fine. Looks to be recovering. If its down before the holiday, will a post holiday reversal be up? Watching for that cross, if we're down next week I guess I'll punch out.
    100% G COB 5 Oct; was 100% S COB 10 Aug; was 50% G, 50% F COB 3 Aug; was 100% S COB 1 July

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  13. #3031

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    DBA I have the 13/20 crossing now.
    I’m stuck 100 C but I will wait for more data next week, don’t wanna take the loss!


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  15. #3032

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Yes it looks like we have dip buyers!!!
    Let’s hope this isn’t just a.......



    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  17. #3033

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Here is closing 15 minute 5-day chart, C Fund. Buyers stepped in before our cutoff, drove it up but then dropped off a bit in last hour....good recovery overall! Humm....

    SPX now.png
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com


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  19. #3034

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    BUT, check it out. Surprisingly, the 13 EMA still did not cross below the 20 SMA....so, with all that turmoil and heavily applied gorilla glue to sticky pants, no exit signal! Wow! It's darn close... and anyone in since July 6 would still be in positive territory on this trade.

    And MACD crossed down, and Stochastic momentum on the way down...But it has not yet gotten to 20 on Stochastic or to 15 on RSI (2), so its not quite at clear "buy" yet for me... BUT, BUT...that could be because it's been such a hot market, it could easily reverse and go back up on Tuesday. If it does, I'll cry if I don't buy in at least a little.... That long tail says many dip buyers stepped in..... Will see how it goes Tuesday...probably should not have exited last week...eeeeeeee.

    SPX now.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 09-04-2020 at 10:17 PM.
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  21. #3035

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Yes, did consider entry but would like to see more upside....is it dead cat bounce? Sure is nice. Would have been great to enter yesterday and exit today. The RSI, 2 setting did hit below 15. MACD still crossed below its signal line, and will likely not cross up until more upside...also price still hugging lower Bollinger band and 13 EMA below 20SNA... lol...but still debated partial entry...ugghhh..
    Best wishes to you all !!!
    DWCPF -daily.png

    SPX now.png
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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  23. #3036

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Went to bank a bit ago, made deposit and this song came on the Ozzy channel.. of course had to blast it! . Such a bad ass song...hypnotic beat...great vocals...love it! They toured USA in 2019..billed as good bye tour but you can still catch them in Germany or Sweden next year! Nice video of them hanging out and recording...so I think I'll listen to it again while I look at charts...hummmm.



    Great lyrics too... a thousand warriors I have known...

    Perfect Strangers"

    Can you remember remember my name
    As I flow through your life
    A thousand oceans I have flown
    And cold spirits of ice
    All my life
    I am the echo of your past

    I am returning the echo of a point in time
    Distant faces shine
    A thousand warriors I have known
    And laughing as the spirits appear
    All your life
    Shadows of another day

    And if you hear me talking on the wind
    You've got to understand
    We must remain
    Perfect Strangers

    I know I must remain inside this silent
    well of sorrow

    A strand of silver hanging through the sky
    Touching more than you see
    The voice of ages in your mind
    Is aching with the dead of the night
    Precious life (your tears are lost in falling rain)

    And if you hear me talking on the wind
    You've got to understand
    We must remain
    Perfect Strangers
    Please don't take my comments as trading advice Now: 10/16/20=35S, 65G /Prior: 10/14/20= 30G-35S-35C/ 10/5/20=100%G/ChartLinks=Pg241-242,#2892-2895/www.theepochtimes.com

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