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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #2761

    Join Date
    Apr 2013
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    Central Texas
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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I have not yet read what Fed said today as I have been busy. But I just thought about the "non-QE" Fed Buys. So have they said anything definitive on when this is going to end??? They said first quarter...but it would be good to know when it ends, because that may negatively affect equity market prices. I had a site that was indicating their weekly buys. Gonna need to hunt for that and take a look. Humm…. its always something!
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  3. #2762

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    So have they said anything definitive on when this is going to end???

    bullitt mentioned May in this post...

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/members-a...tml#post632720

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  5. #2763

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    okay... Thanks Tom!
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576


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  7. #2764

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    So decided to cut my I fund entry...20%. Just not panning out as it did not move upward and looks to be breaking down a bit. So moving that to F fund. Now out of IFTs but still invested in C and S fund.

    Best wishes to everyone on your investments! Happy Valentine's Day!

    iuU52JM29D.jpg
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  9. #2765

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Exiting C30% and keeping S fund at 30% and keeping F fund at 40%.
    Crossovers on S fund gave not yet hit and I'm just going to deploy sticky pants if needed.

    Best wishes to all!
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  11. #2766

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    At this point my sticky pants are still deployed, but I am only in 30%. Question is how long will the knife fall? I must say I thought about exiting fully on Friday, but decided to stay in. Of course that evening I hear about craziness in S Korea with that "Cult" and increased spread of Coronavirus. Yep... by Friday night, I definitely knew today would be a big drop and its right at about the 800+ drop I expected.

    So now the question is how much more will it drop if infection rate accelerates, how long will China supply lines be disrupted or is this just a very Short term reaction?
    At this point, I tend to think this is a short term over reaction. But that could change. It is hard to dig out so I am not willing to drop into negative returns, so I am staying on my toes! Will see how the landscape looks tomorrow. This drop was so quick and steep that it obviously has caused my exit indicators to give a sell signal, so just going to give it another day. ughh...
    .
    Best Wishes to Everyone!
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  13. #2767

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Decided to exit my 30% in equities. Will be 40F and 60G at COB today. Thought about it and I think the virus is something that has just started. Hopefully it gets contained quickly but with the thought of real supply disruptions, China in the shape its in (to extent we even truly know) I just think this has a chance or morphing into something even bigger. So will sit on the sidelines for a bit and wait for it to shake out.

    Best Wishes to you All!!!!
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  15. #2768

    Join Date
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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    It's gotten much uglier since I decided to exit this morning.... was at <1.12> and now close to -3%. Even with only 30% in equities, which I exit at COB, I am pretty sure I am going to end up in the red for the year. UGG! Still... glad I exited... question is how much pain by close of business.

    If it goes up tomorrow, I will puke again! But I get a feeling more pain is coming. I am thinking about what happens when Germany, France, Britain, Russia, Mexico, Canada and other countries start to report infections, deaths and factories/office shut downs. Humm....

    I think James mentioned stocking up on food. Not to add to any anxiety, but it would be good to check your supply of important prescription medicines and reorder if possible. My sister was looking at hers to see where they are manufactured.
    CURRENT: 2-25-20 = 60G-40F //PRIOR 2-20-20= 30S-40F-30G // 2-14-20= 30S-30C-40F // 2-11-20= 30S-30C-20I-20F // Chart Links=Page 215, #2575 & 2576

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  17. #2769

    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Washington State
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    118

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I'm with you. Was in CSI just about 25% & pulled all but 1% each to G & F w/2nd IFT today; still hoping for a little relief rally to do the <1% IFT(s) but won't hold breath. Good Luck out there.

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  19. #2770

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Gotta stay unemotional about this. There was an article that showed when the dow drops 5% in 2 days, it recovers its losses very quickly.
    My worry for those exiting here, is a sharp, snap-back rally brings the indices back up 2-4% in just 1-3 days.
    One of the few things Trump has said that makes sense, is that we are past the peak of flu season...with the end of flu season in April...if new cases start falling off in the next week or two, the market is going to come roaring back in an oversold fury.
    When those "Oversold" furious up surges begin, they typically do so with a bang, and almost impossible to time, you have to be pre-positioned in stocks ahead of time.
    CURRENTLY 50% C and 50% S (as of COB 02/24/2020) 2nd Feb IFT

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  21. #2771

    Join Date
    May 2007
    Location
    Washington State
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    118

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Hope your right for your situation's sake. If so, then I have to wait till Monday for fresh IFTs to consider that situation. I'm w/DBA thinking this epidemic & its impacts will go on, perhaps into April...

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  23. Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I'm a terrible timer and when I exited to G and F at COB Monday I was sure that I was too late, but today proved that to be a good move - even if it's short term. Thanks all for your insights.


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