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Thread: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

  1. #2473

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    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    What a roller coaster ride between yesterday and today.
    May the force be with us.

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  3. #2474

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Hummm… the volatility continues. I'm Not going to bite! ...although S fund is starting to improve from this morning...now down only .41%

    15 minute, 5-day Intraday -S fund

    Attachment 43974
    So...are you biting today? Feels like the guillotine is getting hoisted again but I am tempted to try to beat its drop for a percent or 2.

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  5. #2475

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    I am tempted to enter as well, but decided to sit out this wave. Hope I do not regret it but...just feel like the leg up started after Christmas and think it could be getting a little long---but that is just me. I also think it could go up another percent or two. But we are getting close to resistance... I think?????.... eeekkkkk...

    Best wishes to you and to everyone!!!!!!!!!
    Quote Originally Posted by Mcqlives View Post
    So...are you biting today? Feels like the guillotine is getting hoisted again but I am tempted to try to beat its drop for a percent or 2.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


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  7. #2476

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Should have entered in late December but did not have an IFT. Obviously I exited prematurely on 12/24.

    I really dislike being in market when we are in a Death Cross situation (50 EMA below 200EMA). But that said, I like that the Stochastic and MACD have both crossed positive... good. But the cross overs are a bit old for this quick and volatile market, So that makes me weary of an entry at this point. I do not want to chase it, but I have done that in the past...sometimes it works out and other times it does not.

    I am also looking at the Daily charts over a 1 year period, plus looking at 4-year Weekly and Monthly charts. I watched the Ciovacco video that Nnutt posts on that thread and it was very good, informative but also made me think a lot harder about entry/exits during a downturn like this. But the Right Side of The Chart (RSOTC) video was much more positive. I think both videos were very interesting for different reasons. Ciovacco is hard to watch as it is long and he talks slow BUT his comparisons of current market to 1987, 2011, 2008 is interesting because what occurred in early 2008 caught my attention. Shows large drops, recovery that looks like the end of the downturn but then leads right into the massive crash later in year.


    Here are a couple of the short term charts I am looking at:

    S Fund 3 mos 1-7-2019.png

    C Fund 3 mos 1-7-2019.png
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 01-07-2019 at 10:57 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  9. #2477

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    I am tempted to enter as well, but decided to sit out this wave. Hope I do not regret it but...just feel like the leg up started after Christmas and think it could be getting a little long---but that is just me. I also think it could go up another percent or two. But we are getting close to resistance... I think?????.... eeekkkkk...

    Best wishes to you and to everyone!!!!!!!!!


    I am with you. I am tempted but I think I am going to have to sit this one out today. Like you I hope I don't regret it but than again I would regret it even worse if I tried to chase it only to see it drop should bad news on trade with China come out after the meeting or if the Fed notes from Dec meeting come out Wednesday and say something more hawkish than the the dovish remarks he gave Friday. I'm usually impatient so my hope is I can last until things steady since I missed the initial mark.

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  11. #2478

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Awesome point Quabit! We do seem to think alike! I was watching Wallstreet week (from Friday evening recording) and noticed on their schedule for upcoming week that the prior month's Fed minutes do come out on Wednesday! Last night as I was looking at charts, I briefly thought about what effect they might have if everyone now reads them again even though the Fed spoke last Friday and took a more dovish tone. I think the minutes could re-spook the market

    But I understand why Market is spooked when it comes to the Fed raising rates. It is insane and they went overboard! They say they are data driven, but I have not seen where they specify what specific data they used to support their December decision to raise rates and indicate they would continue that. Maybe I missed it, so definitely want to read minutes. I also heard someone say that their "data" and fear of inflation is unfounded because what drives our economy has changed and so continuing to use the same metrics/nethodology they have used for years really do not effect this market like they did in the past---thus the overshoot. Can't remember who mentioned this now... getting too old and senile! lol... I am also impatient. Just seeing the gains makes me want to jump in.... emotions … gotta keep em in check!

    Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!!

    Quote Originally Posted by quabit View Post
    I am with you. I am tempted but I think I am going to have to sit this one out today. Like you I hope I don't regret it but than again I would regret it even worse if I tried to chase it only to see it drop should bad news on trade with China come out after the meeting or if the Fed notes from Dec meeting come out Wednesday and say something more hawkish than the the dovish remarks he gave Friday. I'm usually impatient so my hope is I can last until things steady since I missed the initial mark.
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 01-07-2019 at 05:17 PM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  13. #2479

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Now wondering how the talk about Immigration tonight will go. China still in a holding pattern. December Fed minutes get released tomorrow. Market is looking sweet for very short term.

    Best wishes to everyone !!!!!!!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  15. #2480

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    Awesome point Quabit! We do seem to think alike! I was watching Wallstreet week (from Friday evening recording) and noticed on their schedule for upcoming week that the prior month's Fed minutes do come out on Wednesday! Last night as I was looking at charts, I briefly thought about what effect they might have if everyone now reads them again even though the Fed spoke last Friday and took a more dovish tone. I think the minutes could re-spook the market

    But I understand why Market is spooked when it comes to the Fed raising rates. It is insane and they went overboard! They say they are data driven, but I have not seen where they specify what specific data they used to support their December decision to raise rates and indicate they would continue that. Maybe I missed it, so definitely want to read minutes. I also heard someone say that their "data" and fear of inflation is unfounded because what drives our economy has changed and so continuing to use the same metrics/nethodology they have used for years really do not effect this market like they did in the past---thus the overshoot. Can't remember who mentioned this now... getting too old and senile! lol... I am also impatient. Just seeing the gains makes me want to jump in.... emotions Â… gotta keep em in check!

    Best wishes to you and everyone!!!!!!!
    Well DB, I'm still sitting on the side but I will tell you it is hard looking back to the 7th when we posted this and think that the S&P has went up about 80 points since that day. It would be nice to finally see a few down days and bad news be bad news because this is getting old. This is starting to feel like the go go market again where nothing can stop it. I tell myself I have not lost anything but it sometimes feels that way when the market goes straight up without you. I need to keep my emotions in check as you noted.

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  17. #2481

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    DBA...Not sure what you are thinking but...

    By my scratches I should have moved in yesterday as we got confirmation of more upside. Unfortunately work has really kept me busy the past 2 days. As it is I have a transfer for 50/50 C and S set up to take effect today. Unless I see something different soon I am letting it stand and expect to see another 80 points upside on the C fund.

    Happy trading and happy Friday all!!!

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  19. #2482

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Yep I agree with both of you (Quabit & McQlives) on many of your points. For now, I prefer to see some real confirmation that we are going into an uptrend before I enter again, but I realize that may be many months away. So in the interim, I would like to try entry if we have a pullback... and take a chance on a little upside (high risk). Thing is that the pull backs are so slight and short-lived. Can't seem to find an entry. I am trying to be patient. I almost entered the other day when the market dropped for a quick one day play, but I was too weary of entry.

    Must admit, I haven't been saying much because there is not much to say ….all I want to do is mutter to myself Not much value in that, but still … I do not feel like entering the market. I know we will have nice little rallies throughout this downturn (like what we have had this month), but I do not want to chase and I just don't want to play. I guess I am still in tilt and steaming a bit. Wish I had stayed in, but a 9% loss is not something I can let turn into anything higher.... been through 2008 and prefer to not let that happen at this late stage of the game as I still would like to retire in 2.5 years (could have retired 2 years ago). I might retire sooner if there are material detrimental changes to Medicare and FERS. But I would also like to keep working as I do like playing with my money !!!

    Did I mention I am going to see Mariah Carey concert in Sugarland Tx on March 1?? Now that makes me smile big!!!! Got my tickets yesterday ---so awesome... 10th row near center. Me and my sis are gonna have a blast! LOL... wooo Hoooo….. I gotta hear that whistle register in person!!!




    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 01-24-2019 at 09:34 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  21. #2483

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    This makes me go hummm…… How will hitting $22T in US National Debt affect market? you know... like on the day it happens? Just wonder... I do not even recall when it hit $21T. Humm…

    U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  23. #2484

    Default Re: DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by DreamboatAnnie View Post
    This makes me go hummm…… How will hitting $22T in US National Debt affect market? you know... like on the day it happens? Just wonder... I do not even recall when it hit $21T. Humm…

    U.S. National Debt Clock : Real Time
    This is the White Elephant in the room no one is talking about right now with all he other political news going on. It will have to be addressed pretty soon. We can't let it go on unchecked. Eventually, something is going to have to give. I just hope politicians in DC don't think they will balance this too on the backs of the Federal employee. People are going to be harmed by this in the future. Thinking about pulling my money out of TSP because I'm having a hard time believing they will do right thing.


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